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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Montour County, PA

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

17
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
15
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Montour County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 9% below the Pennsylvania county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 15%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 15%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
154
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Montour County compare?

Montour County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Montour County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10014.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Montour County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Montour County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 154 paid claims, totaling $3.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $20.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Pennsylvania county averages 18.6 federal declaration records, while Montour County has 17. The gap is 9% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Montour County's 17 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Pennsylvania, however, the count is 9% below the county mean. 11 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Flood, appearing 5 times. The full 48-year record averages 0.4 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 14.7/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.5M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Very High). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Hurricane, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 28 years here, based on 8 historical events on record.

52 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Montour County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

17 declarations (0.9x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

11 of 17 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Montour County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Pennsylvania Avg

-9%

State avg: 18.6

vs. National Avg

-18%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.4

Over 48 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Montour County

Montour County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 13 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 13 8-hazard mean
Montour County NRI risk profile FIPS 42093 · displayed-hazard mean 13/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

15

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Montour County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 28 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 12 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,348 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 34 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 2.8 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 20 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 18,979 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 38 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 5
Flood 5
Hurricane 3
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Montour County's record, 29% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 64.7%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 6 35.3%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2013 1
2011 2
2006 1
2005 1
2004 2
2003 1
1996 2
1994 1
1993 1
1975 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4408 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2018-11-27
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4030 TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Flood 2011-09-12
3340 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE EM Flood 2011-09-08
1649 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-06-30
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
3180 SNOW EM Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
1085 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1015 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1994-03-10
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
485 SEVERE STORMS, HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-09-26
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Montour County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

154

Total Paid

$3.2M

Avg Per Claim

$20.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 14.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

Worth noting for Montour County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Hurricane carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Montour County's closest FEMA peer: Boone County, IN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Montour County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Montour County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Montour County's NFIP claims file (154 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Montour County?
The most common disaster type in Montour County is Flood, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (5), Hurricane (3), Biological (2).
How does Montour County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
The typical Pennsylvania county has 18.6 FEMA declaration records; Montour County has 17, or 9% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Montour County received?
Montour County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Montour County filed?
Montour County has 154 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.2M in payments, with an average of $20.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Montour County?
No. In Montour County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Montour County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Montour County was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Montour County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Montour County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 14.7 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Montour County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Montour County as of the latest release is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Very Low) and Winter Weather (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 28 years, drawn from 8 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Montour County

Against a Pennsylvania county mean of 19 declarations, Montour County, PA records 17, or 9% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (11 of 17) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Pennsylvania overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 32% of recorded county totals, but its own Pennsylvania benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.