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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Pike County, PA

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

18
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
66
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Pike County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 3% below the Pennsylvania county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 34%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 34%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
219
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Pike County compare?

Pike County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Pike County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10065.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

What does Pike County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 219 paid claims, totaling $3.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $13.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Pennsylvania county averages 18.6 federal declaration records, while Pike County has 18. The gap is 3% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 65.9/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $24.5M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Riverine Flooding carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here, based on 17 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Pike County's 18 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Pennsylvania, however, the count is 3% below the county mean. 13 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Hurricane, appearing 6 times. The full 55-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Pike County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

18 declarations (1.0x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

13 of 18 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Pike County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Pennsylvania Avg

-3%

State avg: 18.6

vs. National Avg

-13%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Pike County

Pike County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Pike County NRI risk profile FIPS 42103 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

66

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Pike County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 20 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 3 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,864 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 16 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.1 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 913 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 30 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Drought Very Low 0.1 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 6
Severe Storm 4
Flood 3
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Pike County's federal record, 33% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 72.2%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 5 27.8%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2013 2
2011 2
2006 1
2005 2
2004 2
1998 1
1996 2
1993 1
1972 1
1969 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4099 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2013-01-10
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4025 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-03
3339 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-29
1649 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-06-30
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1587 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-14
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
1219 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES,AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-06-08
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
1085 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
273 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-19
206 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Pike County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

219

Total Paid

$3.0M

Avg Per Claim

$13.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 65.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$24.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

Worth noting for Pike County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Riverine Flooding carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Pike County's closest FEMA peer: Oxford County, ME

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Pike County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Pike County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Pike County's NFIP claims file (219 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Pike County?
The most common disaster type in Pike County is Hurricane, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Flood (3), Biological (2).
How does Pike County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
The typical Pennsylvania county has 18.6 FEMA declaration records; Pike County has 18, or 3% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Pike County received?
Pike County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Pike County filed?
Pike County has 219 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.0M in payments, with an average of $13.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Pike County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Pike County was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Pike County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Pike County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 65.9 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $24.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Pike County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Pike County as of the latest release is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at roughly once every 2 years, drawn from 17 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Pike County

Against a Pennsylvania county mean of 19 declarations, Pike County, PA records 18, or 3% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (13 of 18) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Pennsylvania overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 37% of recorded county totals, but its own Pennsylvania benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.