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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Sullivan County, NY

35 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

35
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
78
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Sullivan County. Its 35 FEMA declarations are 43% above the New York county mean and exceed the count for 93% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 22%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
35
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
940
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Sullivan County compare?

Sullivan County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

35 Top 7% higher than 93% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Sullivan County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

0/100100/100New York avg69/10078.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

What does Sullivan County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 940 claims and $16.2M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $17.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Sullivan County's 35 federal records stand 43% above the New York county mean of 24.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 78.3/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $36.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Riverine Flooding carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.9 times per year here, based on 53 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 35 entries for Sullivan County, including 22 Major Disaster records, 43% above the New York county mean. Across the 56-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 12 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

79 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Sullivan County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

35 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

35 declarations (1.4x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

22 of 35 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Sullivan County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. New York Avg

+43%

State avg: 24.5

vs. National Avg

+69%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 56 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Sullivan County

Sullivan County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Sullivan County NRI risk profile FIPS 36105 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

35

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

78

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Sullivan County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 24 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 4.4 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 30 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 769 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 18 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.2 modeled event-days per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,053 years
Drought Very Low 0.5 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 12
Hurricane 8
Snowstorm 5
Flood 4
Biological 2
Other 2
Fire 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Sullivan County's record, 34% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 62.9%

of all 35 declarations

Emergency - 13 37.1%

of all 35 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 3
2020 2
2017 1
2013 2
2011 3
2009 1
2007 2
2006 1
2005 4
2004 1
2003 4
2001 2
2000 1
1998 1
1996 2
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1984 1
1973 1
1969 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 35 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 35 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4615 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3572 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
3565 HURRICANE HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4322 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2017-07-12
4085 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-10-30
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
3341 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE EM Severe Storm 2011-09-08
4020 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3328 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-26
3299 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2008-12-18
1710 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-07-02
1670 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-12-12
1650 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-07-01
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1589 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-19
1564 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
1565 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
Show 15 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1486 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-08-29
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
3184 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-27
3173 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 2003-02-25
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1335 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-07-21
1233 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-07-07
1095 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-24
1083 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-12
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
702 COASTAL STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-04-17
401 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-20
275 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-26
204 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Sullivan County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

940

Total Paid

$16.2M

Avg Per Claim

$17.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 78.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$36.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

Worth noting for Sullivan County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Riverine Flooding carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Sullivan County's closest FEMA peer: Lafayette County, FL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Sullivan County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Sullivan County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Sullivan County's NFIP claims file (940 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Sullivan County?
The most common disaster type in Sullivan County is Severe Storm, with 12 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (8), Snowstorm (5), Flood (4).
How does Sullivan County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
FEMA lists 35 declaration records for Sullivan County. That is 43% above the New York county mean of 24.5. Its count is also 69% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Sullivan County received?
Sullivan County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 35 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Sullivan County filed?
Sullivan County has 940 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $16.2M in payments, with an average of $17.2K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Sullivan County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Sullivan County was 2003, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Sullivan County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Sullivan County, New York has an overall risk score of 78.3 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $36.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Sullivan County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Sullivan County is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at an average of 1.9 times per year, drawn from 53 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Sullivan County

Sullivan County, NY has 35 federal declaration records, 43% more than the New York county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 22 of 35 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. New York overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the New York mean and the totals for 93% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.