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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Ulster County, NY

37 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

37
FEMA declarations
25
Major disasters
88
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Ulster County. Its 37 FEMA declarations are 51% above the New York county mean and exceed the count for 95% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 12%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
37
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,276
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 36111 · Ulster County 37 declarations · rank 171/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 37
  • MAJOR-MID 68%
  • RANK-UPPER #171
  • PHOTO-FINISH Washita
  • NRI-MID 88
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-HIGH +51%

Nearest declaration peer: Washita, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New York state profile

Ulster County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Ulster County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Ulster County carries 37 FEMA declaration records, ranked 171 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Ulster County ranks in the national declaration registry

Ulster County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Ulster County

37 Top 5% higher than 95% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Ulster County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New York avg69/10087.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Ulster County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $45.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Ulster County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,276 claims and $30.2M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $23.7K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Ulster County's 37 federal records stand 51% above the New York county mean of 24.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 87.7/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $67.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.7 times per year here.

83 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Ulster County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
27/30

37 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

37 declarations (1.5x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

25 of 37 declarations are major disasters (68%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Ulster County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Ulster County

Ulster County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Ulster County NRI risk profile FIPS 36111 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

37

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

68%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

88

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Ulster County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3.6 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 2.9 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 18 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 29 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 2.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 3.5 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 745 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 100 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 17 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.4 modeled event-days per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,436 years
Drought Relatively Low 0.6 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Hurricane 9
Flood 7
Snowstorm 5
Biological 2
Other 2
Fire 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Ulster County's record, 27% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 25 67.6%

of all 37 declarations

Emergency - 12 32.4%

of all 37 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 3
2020 2
2017 1
2013 2
2011 4
2009 1
2007 2
2006 1
2005 4
2004 1
2003 3
2001 2
2000 1
1999 1
1996 2
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1987 1
1984 1
1973 1
1972 1
1971 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 37 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 37 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4615 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3572 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
3565 HURRICANE HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4322 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2017-07-12
4085 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-10-30
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4031 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Severe Storm 2011-09-13
4020 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3328 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-26
1993 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Flood 2011-06-10
3299 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2008-12-18
1710 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-07-02
1692 SEVERE STORMS AND INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-24
1650 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-07-01
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1589 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-19
1565 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
1564 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
Show 17 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
3184 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-27
3173 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 2003-02-25
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1335 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-07-21
1296 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-19
1095 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-24
1083 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-12
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
792 FLOODING DR Flood 1987-05-15
702 COASTAL STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-04-17
401 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-20
338 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
311 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-13
204 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Ulster County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,276

Total Paid

$30.2M

Avg Per Claim

$23.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 87.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$67.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Ulster County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Ulster County's closest FEMA peer: Marion County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Ulster County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Ulster County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Ulster County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Ulster County's NFIP claims file (1,276 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Ulster County?
The most common disaster type in Ulster County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (9), Flood (7), Snowstorm (5).
How does Ulster County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
FEMA lists 37 declaration records for Ulster County. That is 51% above the New York county mean of 24.5. Its count is also 79% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Ulster County received?
Ulster County has received 25 major disaster declarations, representing 68% of all 37 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Ulster County filed?
Ulster County has 1,276 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $30.2M in payments, with an average of $23.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Ulster County?
No. In Ulster County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $45.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Ulster County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Ulster County was 2005, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Ulster County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Ulster County, New York has an overall risk score of 87.7 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $67.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Ulster County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Ulster County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate) and Strong Wind (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.7 times per year. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Ulster County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New York profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events