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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Dutchess County, NY

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

27
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
88
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Dutchess County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 10% above the New York county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 12%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
763
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Dutchess County compare?

Dutchess County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Dutchess County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

0/100100/100New York avg69/10088.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

What does Dutchess County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 763 claims and $14.0M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $18.3K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Dutchess County's 27 federal records stand 10% above the New York county mean of 24.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 88.3/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $85.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Riverine Flooding carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.9 times per year here, based on 54 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 27 entries for Dutchess County, including 17 Major Disaster records, 10% above the New York county mean. Across the 58-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 7 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Dutchess County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

27 declarations (1.1x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

17 of 27 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Dutchess County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. New York Avg

+10%

State avg: 24.5

vs. National Avg

+30%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 58 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Dutchess County

Dutchess County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 32 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 32 8-hazard mean
Dutchess County NRI risk profile FIPS 36027 · displayed-hazard mean 32/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

88

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Dutchess County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 10 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 3.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 29 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 652 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 5.9 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 14 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.5 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.8 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,148 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Drought Relatively Low 1 modeled event-day per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 7
Severe Storm 6
Snowstorm 5
Flood 3
Biological 2
Other 2
Fire 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Dutchess County's federal record, 26% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 63.0%

of all 27 declarations

Emergency - 10 37.0%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2021 3
2020 2
2017 1
2013 1
2011 2
2009 1
2007 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 2
2001 2
2000 1
1999 1
1996 2
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1988 1
1973 1
1971 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4723 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-07-22
4615 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3572 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
3565 HURRICANE HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4322 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2017-07-12
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4020 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
1957 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-02-18
3299 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2008-12-18
1692 SEVERE STORMS AND INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-24
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
3184 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-27
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1335 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-07-21
1296 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-19
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1095 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-24
1083 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-12
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
801 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1987-11-10
401 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-20
311 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-13
204 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Dutchess County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

763

Total Paid

$14.0M

Avg Per Claim

$18.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 88.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$85.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Drought Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

Worth noting for Dutchess County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Riverine Flooding carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Dutchess County's closest FEMA peer: Navarro County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Dutchess County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Dutchess County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Dutchess County's NFIP claims file (763 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Dutchess County?
The most common disaster type in Dutchess County is Hurricane, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (6), Snowstorm (5), Flood (3).
How does Dutchess County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Dutchess County. That is 10% above the New York county mean of 24.5. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Dutchess County received?
Dutchess County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Dutchess County filed?
Dutchess County has 763 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $14.0M in payments, with an average of $18.3K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Dutchess County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Dutchess County was 2021, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Dutchess County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Dutchess County, New York has an overall risk score of 88.3 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $85.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Dutchess County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Dutchess County as of the latest release is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Moderate) and Hurricane (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at an average of 1.9 times per year, drawn from 54 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Dutchess County

Dutchess County, NY has 27 federal declaration records, 10% more than the New York county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 17 of 27 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. New York overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the New York mean and the totals for 78% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.