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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Orange County, NY

36 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

36
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
91
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Orange County. Its 36 FEMA declarations are 47% above the New York county mean and exceed the count for 94% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 9%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 9%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
36
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2,030
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 36071 · Orange County 36 declarations · rank 191/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 36
  • MAJOR-MID 58%
  • RANK-UPPER #191
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardee
  • NRI-MID 91
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +47%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardee, FL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New York state profile

Orange County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Orange County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Orange County carries 36 FEMA declaration records, ranked 191 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Orange County ranks in the national declaration registry

Orange County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Orange County

36 Top 6% higher than 94% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Orange County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New York avg69/10090.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Orange County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $63.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Orange County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 2,030 claims and $26.8M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $13.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Orange County's 36 federal records stand 47% above the New York county mean of 24.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.6/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $98.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 4.6 times per year here, based on 176 historical events on record.

79 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Orange County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
26/30

36 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

36 declarations (1.5x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

21 of 36 declarations are major disasters (58%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Orange County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Orange County

Orange County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 70, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 46 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 46 8-hazard mean
Orange County NRI risk profile FIPS 36071 · displayed-hazard mean 46/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

36

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

58%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

91

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Orange County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 4.6 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 15 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 2.8 times per year
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1 time per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 14 years
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 30 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 5.7 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 607 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 1.2 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,989 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Hurricane 10
Snowstorm 4
Flood 4
Fire 3
Biological 2
Other 2
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Orange County's record, 28% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 58.3%

of all 36 declarations

Emergency - 13 36.1%

of all 36 declarations

Fire Management - 2 5.6%

of all 36 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2023 1
2021 3
2020 2
2013 2
2011 3
2010 1
2009 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 4
2004 1
2003 3
2001 2
1999 3
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1996 2
1993 1
1984 1
1972 1
1971 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 36 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 36 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5547 JENNINGS CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2024-11-15
4723 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-07-22
4615 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3572 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
3565 HURRICANE HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4085 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-10-30
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4031 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Severe Storm 2011-09-13
4020 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3328 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-26
1899 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-04-16
3299 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2008-12-18
1692 SEVERE STORMS AND INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-24
1650 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-07-01
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1589 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-19
1565 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
1564 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
Show 16 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
3184 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-27
3173 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 2003-02-25
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1296 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-19
3149 HURRICANE FLOYD EMERGENCY DECLARATIONS EM Hurricane 1999-09-18
2269 WEST POINT FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 1999-08-09
1095 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-24
1083 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-12
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
702 COASTAL STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-04-17
338 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
311 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-13
204 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Orange County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2,030

Total Paid

$26.8M

Avg Per Claim

$13.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$98.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

For Orange County the two measures on this page point the same way: Strong Wind is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Orange County's closest FEMA peer: Union Parish, LA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Orange County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Orange County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Orange County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Orange County's NFIP claims file (2,030 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Orange County?
The most common disaster type in Orange County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (10), Snowstorm (4), Flood (4).
How does Orange County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
FEMA lists 36 declaration records for Orange County. That is 47% above the New York county mean of 24.5. Its count is also 74% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Orange County received?
Orange County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 58% of all 36 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Orange County filed?
Orange County has 2,030 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $26.8M in payments, with an average of $13.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Orange County?
No. In Orange County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $63.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Orange County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Orange County was 2005, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Orange County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Orange County, New York has an overall risk score of 90.6 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $98.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Orange County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Orange County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 4.6 times per year, drawn from 176 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Orange County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New York profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events