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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Wayne County, PA

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

25
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
56
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Wayne County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 35% above the Pennsylvania county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 44%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 44%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
221
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 42127 · Wayne County 25 declarations · rank 891/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 25
  • MAJOR-MID 76%
  • RANK-LOWER #891
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW 56
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +35%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, AR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Pennsylvania state profile

Wayne County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Wayne County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Wayne County carries 25 FEMA declaration records, ranked 891 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Wayne County ranks in the national declaration registry

Wayne County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Wayne County

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Wayne County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10056.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Wayne County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $12.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Wayne County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 221 paid claims, totaling $4.7M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $21.4K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Wayne County's 25 federal records stand 35% above the Pennsylvania county mean of 18.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 56.3/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $17.2M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Hurricane, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 33 years here, based on 10 historical events on record.

72 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Wayne County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

25 declarations (1.3x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

19 of 25 declarations are major disasters (76%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Wayne County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Wayne County

Wayne County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Wayne County NRI risk profile FIPS 42127 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

76%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

56

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Wayne County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 33 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 3.4 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 17 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 31 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,185 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1.5 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 6,115 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.1 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Hurricane 6
Flood 6
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Tropical Storm 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Wayne County's federal record, 24% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 76.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 6 24.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 2
2014 1
2013 1
2011 3
2007 1
2006 1
2005 2
2004 2
2003 1
1996 2
1993 1
1986 1
1977 2
1975 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1973 1
1972 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4815 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-09-11
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4149 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-10-01
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4030 TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Flood 2011-09-12
4025 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-03
3339 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-29
1684 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-02-23
1649 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-06-30
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1587 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-14
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1485 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-08-23
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
1085 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
745 HURRICANE GLORIA DR Hurricane 1985-10-08
3026 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-01-29
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
523 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1976-10-20
485 SEVERE STORMS, HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-09-26
400 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-17
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
206 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Wayne County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

221

Total Paid

$4.7M

Avg Per Claim

$21.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 56.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$17.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Wayne County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Low), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Wayne County's closest FEMA peer: Adair County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Wayne County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Wayne County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Wayne County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Wayne County's NFIP claims file (221 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Wayne County?
The most common disaster type in Wayne County is Hurricane, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (6), Flood (6), Snowstorm (3).
How does Wayne County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Wayne County. That is 35% above the Pennsylvania county mean of 18.6. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Wayne County received?
Wayne County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 76% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Wayne County filed?
Wayne County has 221 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.7M in payments, with an average of $21.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Wayne County?
No. In Wayne County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $12.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Wayne County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Wayne County was 2011, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Wayne County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Wayne County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 56.3 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $17.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Wayne County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Wayne County is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 33 years, drawn from 10 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Wayne County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Pennsylvania profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events