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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Greene County, PA

15 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

15
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
55
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Greene County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 15 declarations, more than 23% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the Pennsylvania county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 45%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 45%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
15
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
265
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Greene County compare?

Greene County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

15 23rd percentile higher than 23% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Greene County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10055.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Greene County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $14.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Greene County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 265 paid claims, totaling $3.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $13.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Pennsylvania county averages 18.6 federal declaration records, while Greene County has 15. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 55.1/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $17.0M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.4 times per year here.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Greene County's 15 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Pennsylvania, however, the count is 19% below the county mean. 10 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Flood, appearing 4 times. The full 48-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

51 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Greene County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
11/30

15 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

15 declarations (0.8x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

10 of 15 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Greene County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Pennsylvania Avg

-19%

State avg: 18.6

vs. National Avg

-28%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 48 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Greene County

Greene County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Greene County NRI risk profile FIPS 42059 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

15

Below median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

55

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Greene County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.4 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 43 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 43 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 1.5 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,105 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.6 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 15,002 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 10 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 4
Hurricane 3
Snowstorm 3
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Greene County's record, 27% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 66.7%

of all 15 declarations

Emergency - 5 33.3%

of all 15 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2013 1
2010 1
2005 1
2004 2
2003 1
1996 3
1994 1
1993 1
1986 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 15 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 15 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
1898 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-04-16
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
3180 SNOW EM Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1130 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Flood 1996-07-26
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
1085 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1015 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1994-03-10
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
754 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Greene County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

265

Total Paid

$3.5M

Avg Per Claim

$13.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 55.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$17.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Greene County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Greene County's closest FEMA peer: Franklin County, TN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Greene County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Greene County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Greene County's NFIP claims file (265 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Greene County?
The most common disaster type in Greene County is Flood, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Snowstorm (3), Severe Storm (3).
How does Greene County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
The typical Pennsylvania county has 18.6 FEMA declaration records; Greene County has 15, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 28% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Greene County received?
Greene County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 15 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Greene County filed?
Greene County has 265 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.5M in payments, with an average of $13.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Greene County?
No. In Greene County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Greene County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Greene County was 1996, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Greene County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Greene County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 55.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $17.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Greene County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Greene County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate) and Hurricane (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.4 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Greene County

Against a Pennsylvania county mean of 19 declarations, Greene County, PA records 15, or 19% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (10 of 15) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Pennsylvania overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 23% of recorded county totals, but its own Pennsylvania benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.