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California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

San Bernardino County, CA

61 FEMA disaster declarations (1966-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High. Most common hazard: Fire.

61
FEMA declarations
30
Major disasters
100
NRI risk · Very High
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for San Bernardino County. Its 61 FEMA declarations are 114% above the California county mean and exceed the count for 99% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 1%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
61
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
864
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 06071 · San Bernardino County 61 declarations · rank 3/3,266

DECL-MEGA · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-TOP · CLEAR-PEER · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-MEGA 61
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 49%
  • RANK-TOP #3
  • CLEAR-PEER Ascension
  • NRI-HIGH Very High
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-HIGH +114%

Nearest declaration peer: Ascension, LA (3 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · California state profile

San Bernardino County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among San Bernardino County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows San Bernardino County carries 61 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where San Bernardino County ranks in the national declaration registry

San Bernardino County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · San Bernardino County

61 Top 1% higher than 99% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

San Bernardino County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100California avg89/10099.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for San Bernardino County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $959.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does San Bernardino County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 864 claims and $10.2M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $11.9K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. San Bernardino County's 61 federal records stand 114% above the California county mean of 28.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.8/100 (Very High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very High (roughly $2.1B in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Landslide stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 28 times per year here.

87 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

San Bernardino County, CA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
30/30

61 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (2.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
25/25

61 declarations (2.1x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
12/25

30 of 61 declarations are major disasters (49%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in San Bernardino County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - San Bernardino County

San Bernardino County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 92, Flood 92, Hurricane 0, Tornado 48, Wildfire 92, Drought 25, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 56 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 56 8-hazard mean
San Bernardino County NRI risk profile FIPS 06071 · displayed-hazard mean 56/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

61

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

49%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

100

Very High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike San Bernardino County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Very High an average of 28 times per year
Wildfire Very High roughly once every 106 years
Earthquake Very High roughly once every 9 years
Riverine Flooding Very High an average of 13 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively High 12 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively High roughly once every 6 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 17 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate roughly once every 14 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 15 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 78 modeled event-days per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 3,333 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 79 years
Hurricane No Rating roughly once every 765 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 33
Flood 13
Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Earthquake 2
Freezing 2
Hurricane 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on San Bernardino County's record, 54% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 30 49.2%

of all 61 declarations

Fire Management - 24 39.3%

of all 61 declarations

Emergency - 7 11.5%

of all 61 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2023 3
2021 2
2020 5
2019 1
2016 2
2015 1
2011 2
2010 2
2009 3
2008 3
2007 2
2006 1
2005 3
2004 3
Show 19 earlier declaration years
2003 2
2002 3
1999 1
1998 1
1995 2
1994 1
1993 1
1992 2
1991 1
1990 1
1983 3
1981 1
1980 1
1978 1
1976 1
1970 1
1969 1
1967 1
1966 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 61 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 61 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5537 BRIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2024-09-11
5535 LINE FIRE FM Fire 2024-09-07
4699 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-03
3592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-03-10
3591 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-01-09
5381 BLUE RIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2020-10-26
4569 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2020-10-16
5350 EL DORADO FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-06
5325 APPLE FIRE FM Fire 2020-08-02
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3428 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5301 HILLSIDE FIRE FM Fire 2019-10-31
3415 EARTHQUAKES EM Earthquake 2019-07-08
5147 BLUE CUT FIRE FM Fire 2016-08-16
5144 PILOT FIRE FM Fire 2016-08-08
5089 NORTH FIRE FM Fire 2015-07-17
2955 HILL FIRE FM Fire 2011-09-02
1952 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND DEBRIS AND MUD FLOWS DR Flood 2011-01-26
1884 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND DEBRIS AND MUD FLOWS DR Severe Storm 2010-03-08
2841 SHEEP FIRE FM Fire 2009-10-04
Show 41 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
2836 PENDLETON FIRE FM Fire 2009-09-01
2833 OAK GLEN FIRE FM Fire 2009-08-31
2792 FREEWAY FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2008-11-15
1731 WILDFIRES, FLOODING, MUD FLOWS, AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Fire 2007-10-24
3279 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2007-10-23
2738 GRASS VALLEY FIRE FM Fire 2007-10-22
2728 BUTLER 2 FIRE FM Fire 2007-09-15
1689 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 2007-03-13
2653 SAWTOOTH FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2006-07-12
3248 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1585 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Severe Storm 2005-04-14
1577 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2005-02-04
1498 WILDFIRES, FLOODING, MUDFLOW AND DEBRIS FLOW DIRECTLY RELATED T DR Fire 2003-10-27
2503 OLD FIRE FM Fire 2003-10-25
2501 CA-GRAND PRIX FIRE-10-23-2003 FM Fire 2003-10-23
2497 CA-BRIDGE FIRE-09-05-2003 FM Fire 2003-09-06
2491 CA-LOCUST WILDFIRE-08-19-2003 FM Fire 2003-08-19
2464 WILLIAMS FIRE FM Fire 2002-09-24
2433 LOUISIANA FIRE FM Fire 2002-06-27
2425 BLUECUT FIRE FM Fire 2002-06-17
3140 CA-WILDFIRES-08/25/1999 EM Fire 1999-09-01
1203 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-02-09
1046 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOW DR Severe Storm 1995-03-12
1044 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWS DR Severe Storm 1995-01-10
1005 FIRES, MUD/LANDSLIDES, FLOODING, SOIL EROSION DR Fire 1993-10-28
979 SEVERE WINTER STORM, MUD & LAND SLIDES, & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-02-03
947 EARTHQUAKE & AFTERSHOCKS DR Earthquake 1992-07-02
935 RAIN/SNOW/WIND STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES DR Flood 1992-02-25
894 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1991-02-11
872 FIRES DR Fire 1990-06-30
690 FLASH FLOODING DR Flood 1983-09-22
687 FLOODING DR Flood 1983-07-01
677 COASTAL STORMS, FLOODS, SLIDES & TORNADOES DR Coastal Storm 1983-02-09
635 BRUSH & TIMBER FIRES DR Fire 1980-11-27
615 SEVERE STORMS, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-02-21
547 COASTAL STORMS, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-02-15
521 FLOODING, TROPICAL STORM KATHLEEN DR Flood 1976-09-21
295 FOREST & BRUSH FIRES DR Fire 1970-09-29
253 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-01-26
223 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1967-01-02
211 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1965-12-07

Storm Events in California

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to San Bernardino County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,070 13 27 $228.2M
Flood 3,132 26 25 $985.1M
Heavy Snow 1,814 6 0 $1.6M
Dense Fog 1,605 52 148 $2.8M
Drought 1,421 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

864

Total Paid

$10.2M

Avg Per Claim

$11.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very High

Score: 99.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very High

$2.1B/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Very High
Wildfire Very High
Earthquake Very High
Riverine Flooding Very High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for San Bernardino County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

San Bernardino County's closest FEMA peer: Ascension Parish, LA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for San Bernardino County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for San Bernardino County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for San Bernardino County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

San Bernardino County's NFIP claims file (864 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in San Bernardino County?
The most common disaster type in San Bernardino County is Fire, with 33 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (13), Severe Storm (7), Biological (2).
How does San Bernardino County's FEMA declaration record compare with the California average?
FEMA lists 61 declaration records for San Bernardino County. That is 114% above the California county mean of 28.5. Its count is also 194% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has San Bernardino County received?
San Bernardino County has received 30 major disaster declarations, representing 49% of all 61 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has San Bernardino County filed?
San Bernardino County has 864 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $10.2M in payments, with an average of $11.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in San Bernardino County?
No. In San Bernardino County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $959.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in San Bernardino County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in San Bernardino County was 2020, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1966 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for San Bernardino County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, San Bernardino County, California has an overall risk score of 99.8 out of 100 (Very High). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very High, representing $2.1B in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to San Bernardino County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for San Bernardino County is Landslide (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Very High) and Earthquake (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 28 times per year. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for San Bernardino County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · California profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events