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California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Orange County, CA

42 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High. Most common hazard: Fire.

42
FEMA declarations
24
Major disasters
100
NRI risk · Very High
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Orange County. Its 42 FEMA declarations are 47% above the California county mean and exceed the count for 97% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 1%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
42
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
3,834
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 06059 · Orange County 42 declarations · rank 77/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 42
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-UPPER #77
  • PHOTO-FINISH Lee
  • NRI-HIGH Very High
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +47%

Nearest declaration peer: Lee, KY (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · California state profile

Orange County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Orange County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Orange County carries 42 FEMA declaration records, ranked 77 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Orange County ranks in the national declaration registry

Orange County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Orange County

42 Top 3% higher than 97% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Orange County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100California avg89/10099.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

What does Orange County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 3,834 claims and $21.1M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $5.5K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Orange County's 42 federal records stand 47% above the California county mean of 28.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.8/100 (Very High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very High (roughly $1.9B in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Earthquake stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 10 years here.

82 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Orange County, CA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
30/30

42 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (2.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

42 declarations (1.5x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

24 of 42 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Orange County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Orange County

Orange County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 92, Flood 92, Hurricane 0, Tornado 48, Wildfire 70, Drought 25, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 51 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 51 8-hazard mean
Orange County NRI risk profile FIPS 06059 · displayed-hazard mean 51/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

42

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

100

Very High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Orange County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Very High roughly once every 10 years
Riverine Flooding Very High an average of 2.9 times per year
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 93 years
Landslide Relatively High an average of 18 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively High 7.4 modeled event-days per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively High an average of 2.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 8 years
Hail Relatively Moderate roughly once every 10 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 7.4 times per year
Tsunami Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate roughly once every 6 years
Drought Relatively Low 63 modeled event-days per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 5 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 19
Flood 11
Severe Storm 5
Biological 2
Earthquake 2
Chemical 1
Hurricane 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Orange County's record, 45% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 24 57.1%

of all 42 declarations

Fire Management - 11 26.2%

of all 42 declarations

Emergency - 7 16.7%

of all 42 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2023 2
2022 1
2021 3
2020 2
2018 2
2017 2
2011 1
2009 2
2008 3
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2002 1
1998 1
Show 13 earlier declaration years
1997 1
1995 2
1994 2
1993 1
1992 1
1988 2
1983 1
1982 1
1981 1
1980 1
1979 1
1978 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 42 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 42 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3646 CHEMICAL RELEASE EM Chemical 2026-05-25
3592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-03-10
3591 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-01-09
5439 COASTAL FIRE FM Fire 2022-05-12
5383 BOND FIRE FM Fire 2020-12-03
5381 BLUE RIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2020-10-26
5380 SILVERADO FIRE FM Fire 2020-10-26
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3428 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4344 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2017-10-10
5223 CANYON 2 FIRE FM Fire 2017-10-09
5213 CANYON FIRE FM Fire 2017-09-26
4305 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2017-03-16
1952 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND DEBRIS AND MUD FLOWS DR Flood 2011-01-26
1810 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2008-11-18
2792 FREEWAY FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2008-11-15
1731 WILDFIRES, FLOODING, MUD FLOWS, AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Fire 2007-10-24
3279 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2007-10-23
2737 SANTIAGO FIRE FM Fire 2007-10-22
2683 241 FIRE FM Fire 2007-03-11
Show 22 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
2630 SIERRA FIRE FM Fire 2006-02-06
3248 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1585 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Severe Storm 2005-04-14
1577 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2005-02-04
2405 ANTONIO FIRE FM Fire 2002-05-14
1203 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-02-09
3120 SEVERE FIRESTORMS EM Fire 1996-10-23
1046 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOW DR Severe Storm 1995-03-12
1044 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWS DR Severe Storm 1995-01-10
1008 NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 1994-01-17
1005 FIRES, MUD/LANDSLIDES, FLOODING, SOIL EROSION DR Fire 1993-10-28
979 SEVERE WINTER STORM, MUD & LAND SLIDES, & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-02-03
935 RAIN/SNOW/WIND STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES DR Flood 1992-02-25
812 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH TIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1988-02-05
799 EARTHQUAKE & AFTERSHOCKS DR Earthquake 1987-10-07
677 COASTAL STORMS, FLOODS, SLIDES & TORNADOES DR Coastal Storm 1983-02-09
657 URBAN FIRE DR Fire 1982-04-24
635 BRUSH & TIMBER FIRES DR Fire 1980-11-27
615 SEVERE STORMS, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-02-21
566 LANDSLIDES DR Flood 1978-10-09
547 COASTAL STORMS, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-02-15
253 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-01-26

Storm Events in California

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Orange County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,070 13 27 $228.2M
Flood 3,132 26 25 $985.1M
Heavy Snow 1,814 6 0 $1.6M
Dense Fog 1,605 52 148 $2.8M
Drought 1,421 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

3,834

Total Paid

$21.1M

Avg Per Claim

$5.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very High

Score: 99.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very High

$1.9B/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Very High
Riverine Flooding Very High
Wildfire Relatively High
Landslide Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Coastal Flooding Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Tsunami Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave No Rating
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Orange County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Orange County's closest FEMA peer: Acadia Parish, LA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Orange County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Orange County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Orange County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Orange County's NFIP claims file (3,834 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Orange County?
The most common disaster type in Orange County is Fire, with 19 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (11), Severe Storm (5), Biological (2).
How does Orange County's FEMA declaration record compare with the California average?
FEMA lists 42 declaration records for Orange County. That is 47% above the California county mean of 28.5. Its count is also 103% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Orange County received?
Orange County has received 24 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 42 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Orange County filed?
Orange County has 3,834 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $21.1M in payments, with an average of $5.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Orange County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Orange County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Orange County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Orange County, California has an overall risk score of 99.8 out of 100 (Very High). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very High, representing $1.9B in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Orange County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Orange County is Earthquake (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Very High) and Wildfire (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 10 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Orange County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · California profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events