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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Orange County, CA

10 FEMA disaster declarations (2017–2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High. Most common hazard: Fire.

10
FEMA declarations
1
Major disasters
100
NRI risk · Very High
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Orange County ranks in the riskiest 1% of U.S. counties for FEMA-modeled hazard risk, with more federally declared disasters than 94% of the 2,791 counties FEMA tracks. FEMA rates the county's overall risk as Very High, based on 10 federal disaster declarations recorded since 2017, most often fire, 160% above the national county average of 4.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
10
FEMA declarations vs 4 national county avg
6
fire declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index score reflects expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience; the declaration count above reflects only Presidentially declared disasters, not every hazard event.

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How does Orange County compare?

Orange County vs. every U.S. county

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

10 Top 6% higher than 94% of 2,791 counties

This county 0 30 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-07-25

Orange County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

0/100100/100California avg89/10099.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

How disaster-prone is Orange County?

Declaration frequency

Orange County, California has recorded 10 FEMA disaster declarations between 2017 and 2026, of which 1 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 1.1 declarations per year across a 9-year record, or roughly 29% above the California county average of 7.8 and 160% above the national county average of 3.8. The dominant disaster type on record is Fire, with 6 of 10 declarations falling under this category.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.8/100 (Very High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very High (roughly $1926.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Earthquake stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High.

Flood exposure & the bottom line

Taken together, these indicators place Orange County at a high relative risk level, its federal disaster history outpaces most of the country, and it is worth pairing that record with forward-looking hazard maps before making insurance or relocation decisions.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

High

vs. California Avg

+29%

State avg: 7.8

vs. National Avg

+160%

National avg: 3.8

Avg Per Year

1.1

Over 9 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Orange County

Orange County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 92, Flood 70, Hurricane 0, Tornado 48, Wildfire 70, Drought 25, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 8. Overall composite 48 of 100, classified Moderate. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 48 composite
Orange County NRI risk profile FIPS 06059 · composite 48/100 (Moderate)
How to read this radar

The radar plots Orange County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.

FEMA Records

10

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

06059

CA state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Fire 6
Flood 2
Chemical 1
Biological 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Fire Management - 6 60.0%

of all 10 declarations

Emergency - 3 30.0%

of all 10 declarations

Major Disaster - 1 10.0%

of all 10 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2023 2
2022 1
2021 3
2020 1
2018 1
2017 1

Disaster Declarations

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3646 CHEMICAL RELEASE EM Chemical 2026-05-25
3592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-03-10
3591 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-01-09
5439 COASTAL FIRE FM Fire 2022-05-12
5383 BOND FIRE FM Fire 2020-12-03
5380 SILVERADO FIRE FM Fire 2020-10-26
5381 BLUE RIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2020-10-26
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
5223 CANYON 2 FIRE FM Fire 2017-10-09
5213 CANYON FIRE FM Fire 2017-09-26

Storm Events in California

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,876 14 30 $229.3M
Flood 3,682 33 31 $991.0M
Heavy Snow 2,071 6 0 $1.6M
Drought 2,039 0 0 $0
Dense Fog 1,820 59 164 $3.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very High

Score: 99.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very High

$1926.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Very High
Wildfire Relatively High
Landslide Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Coastal Flooding Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Tsunami Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave No Rating
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in California

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Orange County, California had?
Orange County, California has received 10 FEMA disaster declarations from 2017 to 2026. Of these, 1 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Orange County?
The most common disaster type in Orange County is Fire, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (2), Chemical (1), Biological (1).
How does Orange County's disaster risk compare to the California average?
Orange County has 10 disaster declarations, which is 29% higher than the California county average of 7.8 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.8, it is 160% higher.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Orange County received?
Orange County has received 1 major disaster declaration, representing 10% of all 10 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in California?
The most common storm types in California include High Wind (4,876 events), Flood (3,682 events), Heavy Snow (2,071 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in Orange County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Orange County was 2021, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2017 to 2026.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Orange County?
Orange County has recorded 10 FEMA disaster declarations, a volume FEMA data classifies as high-risk, well above what most U.S. counties see over the same period.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Orange County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Orange County, California has an overall risk score of 99.8 out of 100 (Very High). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very High, representing $1926.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Orange County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Orange County is Earthquake (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively High) and Landslide (Relatively High). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Orange County

Orange County, CA runs 29% above the California county average for federal disaster declarations (10 vs 8), a high historical load overall.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is fire management (6 of 10) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. California overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, or report a data error.