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New Jersey · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Mercer County, NJ

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

28
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
95
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Mercer County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 28 declarations, more than 81% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 6% below the New Jersey county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 5%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 5%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2,430
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Mercer County compare?

Mercer County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Mercer County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Jersey county average

0/100100/100New Jersey avg91/10095.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Jersey county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Mercer County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $113.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Mercer County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 2,430 claims and $48.4M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $19.9K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a New Jersey county averages 29.7 federal declaration records, while Mercer County has 28. The gap is 6% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 95.4/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $176.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 7 times per year here, based on 267 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Mercer County's 28 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within New Jersey, however, the count is 6% below the county mean. 17 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Hurricane, appearing 9 times. The full 56-year record averages 0.5 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

67 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Mercer County, NJ · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

28 declarations (0.9x state county average of 30)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

17 of 28 declarations are major disasters (61%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Mercer County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. New Jersey Avg

-6%

State avg: 29.7

vs. National Avg

+35%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 56 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Mercer County

Mercer County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 70, Hurricane 70, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 53 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 53 8-hazard mean
Mercer County NRI risk profile FIPS 34021 · displayed-hazard mean 53/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

61%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

95

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Mercer County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Very High an average of 7 times per year
Winter Weather Very High an average of 11 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 3.6 times per year
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.1 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 11 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 9 years
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 532 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 34 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 11 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,861 years
Drought Relatively Low 3.2 modeled event-days per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 6.2 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 15 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 9
Severe Storm 7
Snowstorm 4
Biological 2
Drought 2
Flood 2
Fire 1
Other 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Mercer County's federal record, 32% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 60.7%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 11 39.3%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2016 1
2013 2
2012 1
2011 3
2010 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2003 1
2001 2
1999 2
1996 1
1993 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1981 1
1975 1
1971 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4614 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3573 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
4488 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3451 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4264 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2016-03-14
4086 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-10-30
3354 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4039 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Severe Storm 2011-10-14
4021 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3332 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-27
1954 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2011-02-04
1897 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-04-02
1694 SEVERE STORMS AND INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-26
1653 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-07-07
3257 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-19
1588 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-19
1563 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
3181 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-20
3169 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS EM Fire 2001-09-19
3156 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-11-01
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1295 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-18
3148 HURRICANE FLOYD EMERGENCY DECLARATIONS EM Hurricane 1999-09-17
1088 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3106 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
3083 WATER SHORTAGE EM Drought 1980-10-19
477 HEAVY RAINS, HIGH WINDS, HAIL & TORNADOES DR Flood 1975-07-23
310 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-04
205 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in New Jersey

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Mercer County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 2,853 6 27 $33.9M
Winter Weather 1,141 8 114 $0
Flash Flood 955 32 7 $226.8M
Coastal Flood 380 0 0 $2.0M
Winter Storm 361 11 8 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2,430

Total Paid

$48.4M

Avg Per Claim

$19.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 95.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$176.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Very High
Winter Weather Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Ice Storm Very High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Mercer County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Mercer County's closest FEMA peer: Henry County, AL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Mercer County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Mercer County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Mercer County's NFIP claims file (2,430 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Mercer County?
The most common disaster type in Mercer County is Hurricane, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Snowstorm (4), Biological (2).
How does Mercer County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Jersey average?
The typical New Jersey county has 29.7 FEMA declaration records; Mercer County has 28, or 6% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 35% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Mercer County received?
Mercer County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 61% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Mercer County filed?
Mercer County has 2,430 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $48.4M in payments, with an average of $19.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Mercer County?
No. In Mercer County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $113.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Mercer County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Mercer County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Mercer County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Mercer County, New Jersey has an overall risk score of 95.4 out of 100 (Relatively High). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $176.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Mercer County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Mercer County as of the latest release is Strong Wind (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Very High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 7 times per year, drawn from 267 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Mercer County

Against a New Jersey county mean of 30 declarations, Mercer County, NJ records 28, or 6% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (17 of 28) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. New Jersey overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 81% of recorded county totals, but its own New Jersey benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.