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New Jersey · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Somerset County, NJ

30 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

30
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
91
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Somerset County. Its 30 FEMA declarations are 1% above the New Jersey county mean and exceed the count for 86% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 9%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 9%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
30
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
6,501
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Somerset County compare?

Somerset County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

30 Top 14% higher than 86% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Somerset County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Jersey county average

0/100100/100New Jersey avg91/10090.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Jersey county average

What does Somerset County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 6,501 claims and $239.8M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $36.9K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Somerset County's 30 federal records stand 1% above the New Jersey county mean of 29.7. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.9/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $160.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Riverine Flooding stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 6.3 times per year here, based on 176 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 30 entries for Somerset County, including 19 Major Disaster records, 1% above the New Jersey county mean. Across the 56-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 9 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Somerset County, NJ · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

30 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

30 declarations (1.0x state county average of 30)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

19 of 30 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Somerset County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. New Jersey Avg

+1%

State avg: 29.7

vs. National Avg

+45%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 56 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Somerset County

Somerset County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 70, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 43 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 43 8-hazard mean
Somerset County NRI risk profile FIPS 34035 · displayed-hazard mean 43/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

30

High volume

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

91

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Somerset County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 6.3 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 12 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 6.8 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 535 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 7.4 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 9 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 34 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 9 years
Drought Relatively Low 2.9 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,855 years
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 83 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 9
Severe Storm 6
Flood 5
Snowstorm 4
Biological 2
Drought 2
Fire 1
Other 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Somerset County's federal record, 30% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 63.3%

of all 30 declarations

Emergency - 11 36.7%

of all 30 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2018 1
2016 1
2013 2
2012 1
2011 3
2010 1
2007 1
2005 1
2003 1
2001 2
1999 2
1997 1
1996 1
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1993 2
1981 1
1975 1
1973 1
1971 1
1968 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 30 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 30 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4614 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3573 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
4488 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3451 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4368 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2018-06-08
4264 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2016-03-14
4086 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-10-30
3354 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4048 SEVERE STORM DR Severe Storm 2011-11-30
4021 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3332 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-27
1954 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2011-02-04
1897 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-04-02
1694 SEVERE STORMS AND INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-26
3257 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-19
3181 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-20
3169 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS EM Fire 2001-09-19
3156 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-11-01
1295 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-18
3148 HURRICANE FLOYD EMERGENCY DECLARATIONS EM Hurricane 1999-09-17
Show 10 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1145 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1996-11-19
1088 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3106 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
973 COASTAL STORM, HIGH TIDES, HEAVY RAIN, & FLOODING DR Flood 1992-12-18
3083 WATER SHORTAGE EM Drought 1980-10-19
477 HEAVY RAINS, HIGH WINDS, HAIL & TORNADOES DR Flood 1975-07-23
402 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-08-07
310 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-04
245 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1968-06-18
205 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in New Jersey

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Somerset County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 2,853 6 27 $33.9M
Winter Weather 1,141 8 114 $0
Flash Flood 955 32 7 $226.8M
Coastal Flood 380 0 0 $2.0M
Winter Storm 361 11 8 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

6,501

Total Paid

$239.8M

Avg Per Claim

$36.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$160.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

Worth noting for Somerset County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Riverine Flooding carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Somerset County's closest FEMA peer: St. Clair County, AL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Somerset County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Somerset County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Somerset County's NFIP claims file (6,501 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Somerset County?
The most common disaster type in Somerset County is Hurricane, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (6), Flood (5), Snowstorm (4).
How does Somerset County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Jersey average?
FEMA lists 30 declaration records for Somerset County. That is 1% above the New Jersey county mean of 29.7. Its count is also 45% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Somerset County received?
Somerset County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 30 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Somerset County filed?
Somerset County has 6,501 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $239.8M in payments, with an average of $36.9K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Somerset County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Somerset County was 2011, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Somerset County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Somerset County, New Jersey has an overall risk score of 90.9 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $160.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Somerset County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Somerset County as of the latest release is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Strong Wind (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at an average of 6.3 times per year, drawn from 176 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Somerset County

Somerset County, NJ has 30 federal declaration records, 1% more than the New Jersey county mean of 30; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 19 of 30 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. New Jersey overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the New Jersey mean and the totals for 86% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.