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Illinois · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Alexander County, IL

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

17
FEMA declarations
15
Major disasters
44
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Alexander County. Its 17 FEMA declarations are 32% above the Illinois county mean and exceed the count for 32% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 44%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 44%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
442
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Alexander County compare?

Alexander County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Alexander County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Illinois county average

0/100100/100Illinois avg55/10044.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Illinois county average

What does Alexander County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 442 paid claims, totaling $3.1M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $7.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Alexander County's 17 federal records stand 32% above the Illinois county mean of 12.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 44.1/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $9.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 80 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 17 entries for Alexander County, including 15 Major Disaster records, 32% above the Illinois county mean. Across the 51-year span, that works out to 0.3 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 7 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

64 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Alexander County, IL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

17 declarations (1.3x state county average of 13)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

15 of 17 declarations are major disasters (88%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Alexander County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Illinois Avg

+32%

State avg: 12.9

vs. National Avg

-18%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 51 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Alexander County

Alexander County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Alexander County NRI risk profile FIPS 17003 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

88%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

44

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Alexander County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 80 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 5.3 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.9 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 6.9 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 7.3 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 73 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 56 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 6,641 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 7
Flood 6
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Alexander County's record, 41% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 15 88.2%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 2 11.8%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2011 1
2009 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1997 1
1995 1
1994 1
1993 1
1983 1
1979 1
1974 1
1973 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4489 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3435 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4461 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-09-19
1991 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-06-07
1826 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-03-02
3230 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
1469 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-15
1416 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2002-05-21
1170 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-03-21
1053 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-05-30
1025 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-04-26
997 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
684 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1983-06-06
583 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-30
438 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-10
373 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-26
276 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-30

Storm Events in Illinois

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Alexander County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,218 9 67 $46.0M
Hail 3,195 0 0 $27.1M
Winter Weather 1,363 14 49 $1.8M
Flood 1,221 14 11 $84.3M
Flash Flood 1,133 11 3 $1.1B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

442

Total Paid

$3.1M

Avg Per Claim

$7.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 44.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Alexander County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Alexander County's closest FEMA peer: Bremer County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Alexander County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Alexander County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Alexander County's NFIP claims file (442 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Alexander County?
The most common disaster type in Alexander County is Severe Storm, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Alexander County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Illinois average?
FEMA lists 17 declaration records for Alexander County. That is 32% above the Illinois county mean of 12.9. Its count is also 18% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Alexander County received?
Alexander County has received 15 major disaster declarations, representing 88% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Alexander County filed?
Alexander County has 442 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.1M in payments, with an average of $7.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Alexander County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Alexander County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Alexander County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Alexander County, Illinois has an overall risk score of 44.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Alexander County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Alexander County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 80 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Alexander County

Alexander County, IL has 17 federal declaration records, 32% more than the Illinois county mean of 13; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 15 of 17 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Illinois overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Illinois mean and the totals for 32% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.