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Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Cape Girardeau County, MO

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

28
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
86
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Cape Girardeau County. Its 28 FEMA declarations are 14% above the Missouri county mean and exceed the count for 81% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 14%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 14%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,074
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Cape Girardeau County compare?

Cape Girardeau County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Cape Girardeau County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10085.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

What does Cape Girardeau County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,074 claims and $11.2M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $10.4K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Cape Girardeau County's 28 federal records stand 14% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 85.7/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $68.0M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 102 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 28 entries for Cape Girardeau County, including 22 Major Disaster records, 14% above the Missouri county mean. Across the 52-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 15 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

69 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Cape Girardeau County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

28 declarations (1.1x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

22 of 28 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Cape Girardeau County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Missouri Avg

+14%

State avg: 24.6

vs. National Avg

+35%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 52 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Cape Girardeau County

Cape Girardeau County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 38 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 38 8-hazard mean
Cape Girardeau County NRI risk profile FIPS 29031 · displayed-hazard mean 38/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

86

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Cape Girardeau County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 102 years
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.1 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 11 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 7.9 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 6.3 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 56 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 3.9 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 83 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,380 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 15
Flood 6
Severe Ice Storm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Cape Girardeau County's record, 54% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 78.6%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 6 21.4%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2020 2
2019 2
2017 1
2016 2
2013 1
2011 2
2009 4
2008 4
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1995 1
1994 1
1993 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1983 1
1979 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4872 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4451 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-09
4435 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-05-20
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
4250 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-01-21
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
4130 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-18
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1847 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-19
1822 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-17
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1809 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND A TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2008-11-13
1773 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-25
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
1748 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2008-03-12
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
1054 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, HAIL, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-06-02
1006 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-12-01
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
672 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1982-12-10
579 TORNADOES, TORRENTIAL RAIN & FLOODING DR Tornado 1979-04-21
372 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-04-19

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Cape Girardeau County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,074

Total Paid

$11.2M

Avg Per Claim

$10.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 85.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$68.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Cape Girardeau County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Cape Girardeau County's closest FEMA peer: San Luis Obispo County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Cape Girardeau County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Cape Girardeau County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Cape Girardeau County's NFIP claims file (1,074 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Cape Girardeau County?
The most common disaster type in Cape Girardeau County is Severe Storm, with 15 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Severe Ice Storm (3), Biological (2).
How does Cape Girardeau County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
FEMA lists 28 declaration records for Cape Girardeau County. That is 14% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. Its count is also 35% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Cape Girardeau County received?
Cape Girardeau County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Cape Girardeau County filed?
Cape Girardeau County has 1,074 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $11.2M in payments, with an average of $10.4K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Cape Girardeau County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Cape Girardeau County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Cape Girardeau County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Cape Girardeau County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 85.7 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $68.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Cape Girardeau County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Cape Girardeau County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 102 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Cape Girardeau County

Cape Girardeau County, MO has 28 federal declaration records, 14% more than the Missouri county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 22 of 28 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Missouri overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Missouri mean and the totals for 81% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.