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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Ward County, ND

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2022), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

28
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
65
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Ward County. Its 28 FEMA declarations are 8% above the North Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 81% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 35%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 35%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,107
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Ward County compare?

Ward County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Ward County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10064.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Ward County is led by Cold Wave (about $18.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Ward County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,107 claims and $69.5M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $62.8K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Ward County's 28 federal records stand 8% above the North Dakota county mean of 25.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 64.8/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $36.8M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 20 times per year here, based on 383 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 28 entries for Ward County, including 22 Major Disaster records, 8% above the North Dakota county mean. Across the 53-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Flood leads the file with 14 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

69 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Ward County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

28 declarations (1.1x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

22 of 28 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Ward County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. North Dakota Avg

+8%

State avg: 25.9

vs. National Avg

+35%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 53 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Ward County

Ward County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Ward County NRI risk profile FIPS 38101 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

65

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Ward County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Very High an average of 20 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 21 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 2,108 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 21 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 11,494 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 27 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 14
Severe Storm 8
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Ward County's record, 50% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 78.6%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 6 21.4%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2022 1
2020 2
2014 1
2013 1
2011 3
2010 1
2009 1
2006 1
2005 2
2004 2
2000 1
1999 1
1997 2
1979 1
1976 3
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1975 1
1974 1
1972 1
1970 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4190 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2014-08-19
4128 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-12
1986 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2011-05-20
1981 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
3318 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-04-07
1907 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-04-30
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
1616 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD AND/OR NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Snowstorm 2005-11-21
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1597 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2005-07-22
1515 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2004-05-05
3196 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2004-04-02
1334 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1279 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW, ICE, GROUND SATURATION, LANSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND TOR DR Flood 1999-06-08
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
581 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-26
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3016 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-07-21
501 FLOODING DR Flood 1976-04-16
3012 SEVERE FLOODING EM Flood 1976-04-13
469 FLOODING FROM RAINS & SNOWMELT DR Flood 1975-05-24
434 HEAVY RAINS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-05-14
335 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-06-10
287 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-06-05
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Ward County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,107

Total Paid

$69.5M

Avg Per Claim

$62.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 64.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$36.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Very High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Ward County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Ward County's closest FEMA peer: Ballard County, KY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Ward County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Ward County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Ward County's NFIP claims file (1,107 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Ward County?
The most common disaster type in Ward County is Flood, with 14 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (8), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Ward County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
FEMA lists 28 declaration records for Ward County. That is 8% above the North Dakota county mean of 25.9. Its count is also 35% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Ward County received?
Ward County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Ward County filed?
Ward County has 1,107 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $69.5M in payments, with an average of $62.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Ward County?
No. In Ward County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $18.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Ward County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Ward County was 1976, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2022.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Ward County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Ward County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 64.8 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $36.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Ward County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Ward County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively High) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 20 times per year, drawn from 383 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Ward County

Ward County, ND has 28 federal declaration records, 8% more than the North Dakota county mean of 26; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 22 of 28 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. North Dakota overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the North Dakota mean and the totals for 81% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.