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Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Tulsa County, OK

40 FEMA disaster declarations (1971-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

40
FEMA declarations
27
Major disasters
98
NRI risk · Relatively High
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Tulsa County. Its 40 FEMA declarations are 24% above the Oklahoma county mean and exceed the count for 97% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 2%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 2%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
40
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
3,821
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 40143 · Tulsa County 40 declarations · rank 99/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 40
  • MAJOR-MID 68%
  • RANK-UPPER #99
  • PHOTO-FINISH Essex
  • NRI-HIGH 98
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +24%

Nearest declaration peer: Essex, MA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oklahoma state profile

Tulsa County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Tulsa County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Tulsa County carries 40 FEMA declaration records, ranked 99 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Tulsa County ranks in the national declaration registry

Tulsa County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Tulsa County

40 Top 3% higher than 97% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Tulsa County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10097.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Tulsa County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $137.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Tulsa County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 3,821 claims and $71.2M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $18.6K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Tulsa County's 40 federal records stand 24% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 97.9/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $292.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.3 times per year here, based on 86 historical events on record.

80 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Tulsa County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
29/30

40 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

40 declarations (1.2x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

27 of 40 declarations are major disasters (68%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Tulsa County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Tulsa County

Tulsa County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 70, Hurricane 8, Tornado 92, Wildfire 48, Drought 48, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 57 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 57 8-hazard mean
Tulsa County NRI risk profile FIPS 40143 · displayed-hazard mean 57/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

40

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

68%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

98

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Tulsa County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively High 26 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Very High an average of 6.8 times per year
Tornado Very High roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively High an average of 9 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 4.8 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 1.7 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 54 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 288 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 833 years
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 9.2 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 21 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 111 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Flood 9
Severe Ice Storm 8
Fire 5
Tornado 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Tulsa County's record, 28% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 27 67.5%

of all 40 declarations

Emergency - 10 25.0%

of all 40 declarations

Fire Management - 3 7.5%

of all 40 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2022 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 2
2015 1
2011 4
2010 2
2008 2
2007 2
2006 2
2005 1
2002 1
2001 2
1999 1
Show 10 earlier declaration years
1996 1
1993 2
1987 1
1984 2
1976 2
1975 1
1974 2
1973 1
1972 1
1971 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 40 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 40 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4721 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-07-19
4657 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-06-29
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4438 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-06-01
3411 FLOODING EM Flood 2019-05-25
4222 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-26
2946 265TH WEST FIRE FM Fire 2011-08-05
2944 TURLEY FIRE FM Fire 2011-08-02
1985 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-05-13
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
1735 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-18
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
1678 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-02-01
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
2628 SPERRY FIRE FM Fire 2006-01-19
Show 20 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1401 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2002-02-01
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
3158 SEVERE WINTER AND ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1272 OK, TORNADOES 5/3/99 DR Tornado 1999-05-04
3118 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-27
991 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-05-12
987 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1993-04-26
778 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
709 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-05-31
704 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1984-05-03
504 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1976-06-05
491 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1975-12-10
453 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-11-26
441 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-10
419 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-03-22
392 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1973-06-13
317 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-14
314 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODS DR Flood 1971-09-28

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Tulsa County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

3,821

Total Paid

$71.2M

Avg Per Claim

$18.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 97.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$292.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Strong Wind Very High
Tornado Very High
Hail Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Tulsa County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Tulsa County's closest FEMA peer: Mobile County, AL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Tulsa County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Tulsa County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Tulsa County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Tulsa County's NFIP claims file (3,821 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Tulsa County?
The most common disaster type in Tulsa County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (9), Severe Ice Storm (8), Fire (5).
How does Tulsa County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
FEMA lists 40 declaration records for Tulsa County. That is 24% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. Its count is also 93% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Tulsa County received?
Tulsa County has received 27 major disaster declarations, representing 68% of all 40 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Tulsa County filed?
Tulsa County has 3,821 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $71.2M in payments, with an average of $18.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Tulsa County?
No. In Tulsa County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $137.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Tulsa County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Tulsa County was 2011, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1971 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Tulsa County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Tulsa County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 97.9 out of 100 (Relatively High). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $292.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Tulsa County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Tulsa County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Heat Wave (Relatively High) and Strong Wind (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.3 times per year, drawn from 86 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Tulsa County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oklahoma profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events