PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Pawnee County, OK

36 FEMA disaster declarations (1975-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Ice Storm.

36
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
48
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Ice Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Pawnee County. Its 36 FEMA declarations are 12% above the Oklahoma county mean and exceed the count for 94% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 48%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 48%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
36
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
6
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 40117 · Pawnee County 36 declarations · rank 182/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 36
  • MAJOR-MID 61%
  • RANK-UPPER #182
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardee
  • NRI-LOW 48
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Ice S…
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +12%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardee, FL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oklahoma state profile

Pawnee County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Pawnee County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Pawnee County carries 36 FEMA declaration records, ranked 182 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Pawnee County ranks in the national declaration registry

Pawnee County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Pawnee County

36 Top 6% higher than 94% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Pawnee County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10048.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Pawnee County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Pawnee County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 48.1/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $11.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1 time per year here, based on 70 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 6 claims and $43.1K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Pawnee County's 36 federal records stand 12% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

73 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Pawnee County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
26/30

36 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

36 declarations (1.1x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

22 of 36 declarations are major disasters (61%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Pawnee County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Pawnee County

Pawnee County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 32 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 32 8-hazard mean
Pawnee County NRI risk profile FIPS 40117 · displayed-hazard mean 32/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

36

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

61%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

48

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Pawnee County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1 time per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 101 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 51 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 24 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 10 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 6.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,063 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 126 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 53 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Ice Storm 10
Severe Storm 9
Fire 8
Flood 4
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Ice Storm declarations mean here

Severe Ice Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Pawnee County's record, 28% of its declarations. Ice storms damage differently from snowstorms: accumulating freezing rain loads power lines and tree limbs until they fail, so the dominant cost is usually infrastructure and extended power loss rather than structural damage to buildings. Outages measured in days, not hours, are the characteristic consequence, which is why these declarations frequently authorise emergency protective measures and debris removal.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 61.1%

of all 36 declarations

Emergency - 8 22.2%

of all 36 declarations

Fire Management - 6 16.7%

of all 36 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 4
2023 1
2021 3
2020 2
2019 2
2016 1
2011 4
2010 3
2008 3
2007 3
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
2001 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1991 1
1987 1
1984 1
1975 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 36 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 36 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4866 WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Fire 2025-05-21
5572 328 FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-19
5568 BARN FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-15
5567 KEYSTONE FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-15
4721 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-07-19
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4575 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2020-12-21
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4438 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-06-01
3411 FLOODING EM Flood 2019-05-25
5119 PAWNEE COVE FIRE FM Fire 2016-02-18
2947 CLEVELAND-MANNFORD FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2011-08-07
1985 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-05-13
2887 CLEVELAND FIRE FM Fire 2011-04-10
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1883 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2010-03-05
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
Show 16 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1754 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2008-05-09
1735 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-18
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
1712 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2007-07-07
1707 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-07
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1452 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-02-04
1401 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2002-02-01
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
991 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-05-12
905 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1991-05-08
778 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
704 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1984-05-03
453 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-11-26

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Pawnee County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

6

Total Paid

$43.1K

Avg Per Claim

$7.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 48.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

For Pawnee County the two measures on this page point the same way: Ice Storm is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Ice Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Pawnee County's closest FEMA peer: Pearl River County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Pawnee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Pawnee County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Pawnee County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 36 FEMA declarations, Pawnee County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Pawnee County?
The most common disaster type in Pawnee County is Severe Ice Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (9), Fire (8), Flood (4).
How does Pawnee County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
FEMA lists 36 declaration records for Pawnee County. That is 12% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. Its count is also 74% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Pawnee County received?
Pawnee County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 61% of all 36 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Pawnee County filed?
Pawnee County has 6 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $43.1K in payments, with an average of $7.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Pawnee County?
No. In Pawnee County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Pawnee County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Pawnee County was 2011, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1975 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Pawnee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Pawnee County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 48.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Pawnee County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Pawnee County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Drought (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1 time per year, drawn from 70 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Pawnee County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oklahoma profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events