FEMA Records
36
Very high volume
Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
36 FEMA disaster declarations (1975-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Ice Storm.
The verdict
Two federal records point in the busier direction for Pawnee County. Its 36 FEMA declarations are 12% above the Oklahoma county mean and exceed the count for 94% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 48%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.
FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.
FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk
County FIPS 40117 · Pawnee County 36 declarations · rank 182/3,266
DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE
Nearest declaration peer: Hardee, FL (0 declaration gap)
FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oklahoma state profile
FEMA declaration records among Pawnee County and nearest peers by total count
Los Angeles · largest
88 declarations
Hardee · near
36 declarations
Pawnee · this county
36 declarations
Pearl River · near
36 declarations
Suffolk · near
36 declarations
Ujelang · smallest
1 declarations
What this shows Pawnee County carries 36 FEMA declaration records, ranked 182 of 3,266 counties in this registry.
Pawnee County vs. high-volume counties in this registry
FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Pawnee County
36 Top 6% higher than 94% of 3,266 counties
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25
FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Pawnee County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.
FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 48.1/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $11.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1 time per year here, based on 70 historical events on record.
This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 6 claims and $43.1K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.
The declaration register points in the busier direction. Pawnee County's 36 federal records stand 12% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.
Historical Activity Index
High historical activity
Pawnee County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records
This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology
36 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.7x national county average)
36 declarations (1.1x state county average of 32)
22 of 36 declarations are major disasters (61%)
7 different disaster types declared in Pawnee County
Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.
FEMA Records
36
Very high volume
Major Disaster share
61%
Major-heavy
NRI risk score
48
Relatively Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release
FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.
| Hazard | NRI Risk Rating | Recurrence |
|---|---|---|
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | an average of 1 time per year |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | roughly once every 101 years |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 51 modeled event-days per year |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | an average of 1.9 times per year |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 24 modeled event-days per year |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | roughly once every 5 years |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | roughly once every 2 years |
| Hail | Relatively Low | an average of 10 times per year |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | an average of 6.8 times per year |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | an average of 9.3 times per year |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Low | an average of 1.3 times per year |
| Earthquake | Very Low | roughly once every 1,063 years |
| Hurricane | Very Low | roughly once every 126 years |
| Lightning | Very Low | an average of 53 times per year |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release
Severe Ice Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Pawnee County's record, 28% of its declarations. Ice storms damage differently from snowstorms: accumulating freezing rain loads power lines and tree limbs until they fail, so the dominant cost is usually infrastructure and extended power loss rather than structural damage to buildings. Outages measured in days, not hours, are the characteristic consequence, which is why these declarations frequently authorise emergency protective measures and debris removal.
Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.
FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).
of all 36 declarations
of all 36 declarations
of all 36 declarations
| Year | Declarations | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | |
| 2023 | 1 | |
| 2021 | 3 | |
| 2020 | 2 | |
| 2019 | 2 | |
| 2016 | 1 | |
| 2011 | 4 | |
| 2010 | 3 | |
| 2008 | 3 | |
| 2007 | 3 | |
| 2006 | 1 | |
| 2005 | 1 | |
| 2003 | 1 | |
| 2002 | 1 | |
| 2001 | 1 | |
| 1993 | 1 | |
| 1991 | 1 | |
| 1987 | 1 | |
| 1984 | 1 | |
| 1975 | 1 | |
How the 36 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.
Download these 36 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4866 | WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS | DR | Fire | 2025-05-21 |
| 5572 | 328 FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-03-19 |
| 5568 | BARN FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-03-15 |
| 5567 | KEYSTONE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-03-15 |
| 4721 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES | DR | Severe Storm | 2023-07-19 |
| 4587 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2021-02-24 |
| 3555 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Severe Ice Storm | 2021-02-17 |
| 4575 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2020-12-21 |
| 4530 | COVID-19 PANDEMIC | DR | Biological | 2020-04-05 |
| 3462 | COVID-19 | EM | Biological | 2020-03-13 |
| 4438 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2019-06-01 |
| 3411 | FLOODING | EM | Flood | 2019-05-25 |
| 5119 | PAWNEE COVE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2016-02-18 |
| 2947 | CLEVELAND-MANNFORD FIRE COMPLEX | FM | Fire | 2011-08-07 |
| 1985 | SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM | DR | Severe Storm | 2011-05-13 |
| 2887 | CLEVELAND FIRE | FM | Fire | 2011-04-10 |
| 3316 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Severe Storm | 2011-02-02 |
| 1883 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2010-03-05 |
| 1876 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | DR | Severe Storm | 2010-02-25 |
| 3308 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Severe Storm | 2010-01-30 |
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1754 | SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2008-05-09 |
| 1735 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2007-12-18 |
| 3280 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS | EM | Severe Ice Storm | 2007-12-10 |
| 1712 | SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES | DR | Severe Storm | 2007-07-07 |
| 1707 | SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2007-06-07 |
| 3272 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING | EM | Severe Ice Storm | 2007-01-14 |
| 1623 | EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT | DR | Fire | 2006-01-10 |
| 3219 | HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION | EM | Hurricane | 2005-09-05 |
| 1452 | SEVERE ICE STORM | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2003-02-04 |
| 1401 | SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2002-02-01 |
| 1355 | SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2001-01-05 |
| 991 | SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 1993-05-12 |
| 905 | SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES | DR | Tornado | 1991-05-08 |
| 778 | SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1986-10-14 |
| 704 | SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES | DR | Tornado | 1984-05-03 |
| 453 | SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1974-11-26 |
Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Pawnee County.
| Storm Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 5,894 | 0 | 1 | $19.8M |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 5,592 | 6 | 36 | $199.5M |
| Drought | 2,935 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heat | 2,134 | 7 | 428 | $0 |
| Excessive Heat | 1,771 | 2 | 401 | $0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025
Total Claims
6
Total Paid
$43.1K
Avg Per Claim
$7.2K
Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data
Overall Risk
Relatively Low
Score: 48.1/100
Expected Annual Loss
Very Low
$11.2M/year
Social Vulnerability
Relatively High
Community Resilience
Relatively Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.
For Pawnee County the two measures on this page point the same way: Ice Storm is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Ice Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.
National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.
Data-matched county comparisons
Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Pawnee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.
Pawnee County shows 36 FEMA declarations, led by Severe Ice Storm.
Pawnee County: 22 of 36 of its declarations are Major.
Pawnee County: NRI composite 48.1 (Relatively Low).
Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.
Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Pawnee County - capture-dated entries only.
Compare beyond this state
Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Pawnee County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.
Nearest out-of-state counties by FEMA NRI score. This county: 48.1 (Relatively Low).
Nearest out-of-state counties by FEMA declaration count. This county: 36. NRI peers are excluded so the two link sets stay distinct.
Most disaster-prone counties
With 36 FEMA declarations, Pawnee County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.
Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.
Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.
Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.
This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.
FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Pawnee County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oklahoma profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events