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California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Butte County, CA

39 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

39
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
94
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Butte County. Its 39 FEMA declarations are 37% above the California county mean and exceed the count for 96% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 6%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 6%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
39
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
335
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 06007 · Butte County 39 declarations · rank 129/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 39
  • MAJOR-MID 51%
  • RANK-UPPER #129
  • PHOTO-FINISH Canadian
  • NRI-MID 94
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +37%

Nearest declaration peer: Canadian, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · California state profile

Butte County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Butte County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Butte County carries 39 FEMA declaration records, ranked 129 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Butte County ranks in the national declaration registry

Butte County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Butte County

39 Top 4% higher than 96% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Butte County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100California avg89/10093.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Butte County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $48.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Butte County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 335 paid claims, totaling $7.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $21.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Butte County's 39 federal records stand 37% above the California county mean of 28.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 93.9/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $127.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 67 modeled event-days per year here, based on 2,303 historical events on record.

78 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Butte County, CA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
28/30

39 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

39 declarations (1.4x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

20 of 39 declarations are major disasters (51%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Butte County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Butte County

Butte County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 70, Drought 92, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 45 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 45 8-hazard mean
Butte County NRI risk profile FIPS 06007 · displayed-hazard mean 45/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

39

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

51%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

94

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Butte County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Very High 67 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 200 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 21 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 25 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.4 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 6.9 modeled event-days per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 909 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 12 times per year
Hail Relatively Low roughly once every 9 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 64 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 17
Severe Storm 9
Flood 6
Biological 2
Dam/Levee Break 1
Hurricane 1
Freezing 1
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Butte County's record, 44% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 51.3%

of all 39 declarations

Fire Management - 11 28.2%

of all 39 declarations

Emergency - 8 20.5%

of all 39 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 3
2023 3
2020 4
2019 4
2018 3
2017 4
2008 4
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
1999 1
1998 1
1997 1
1995 2
1991 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1986 1
1983 1
1977 1
1970 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 39 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 39 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5519 PARK FIRE FM Fire 2024-07-25
5502 THOMPSON FIRE FM Fire 2024-07-02
4769 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-04-13
4699 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-03
3592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-03-10
4683 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2023-01-14
5363 BEAR FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-09
4558 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2020-08-22
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3428 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4434 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-05-17
4407 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2018-11-12
3409 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2018-11-09
5278 CAMP FIRE FM Fire 2018-11-08
4344 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2017-10-10
5218 LA PORTE FIRE FM Fire 2017-10-09
5216 CASCADE FIRE FM Fire 2017-10-09
5189 WALL FIRE FM Fire 2017-07-09
4308 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2017-04-01
4301 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2017-02-14
Show 19 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3381 POTENTIAL FAILURE OF THE EMERGENCY SPILLWAY AT OROVILLE LAKE EM Dam/Levee Break 2017-02-14
2782 CAMP FIRE FM Fire 2008-07-08
3287 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-06-28
2771 HUMBOLDT FIRE FM Fire 2008-06-11
2770 OPHIR FIRE FM Fire 2008-06-10
1628 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-02-03
3248 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
2545 CA OREGON FIRE 08-11-2004 FM Fire 2004-08-11
3140 CA-WILDFIRES-08/25/1999 EM Fire 1999-09-01
1203 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-02-09
1155 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 1997-01-04
1046 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOW DR Severe Storm 1995-03-12
1044 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWS DR Severe Storm 1995-01-10
894 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1991-02-11
758 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-02-21
677 COASTAL STORMS, FLOODS, SLIDES & TORNADOES DR Coastal Storm 1983-02-09
3023 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-20
283 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-02-16
183 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-24

Storm Events in California

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Butte County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,070 13 27 $228.2M
Flood 3,132 26 25 $985.1M
Heavy Snow 1,814 6 0 $1.6M
Dense Fog 1,605 52 148 $2.8M
Drought 1,421 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

335

Total Paid

$7.2M

Avg Per Claim

$21.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 93.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$127.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Very High
Wildfire Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Butte County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Butte County's closest FEMA peer: Orleans Parish, LA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Butte County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Butte County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Butte County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Butte County's NFIP claims file (335 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Butte County?
The most common disaster type in Butte County is Fire, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (9), Flood (6), Biological (2).
How does Butte County's FEMA declaration record compare with the California average?
FEMA lists 39 declaration records for Butte County. That is 37% above the California county mean of 28.5. Its count is also 88% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Butte County received?
Butte County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 51% of all 39 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Butte County filed?
Butte County has 335 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $7.2M in payments, with an average of $21.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Butte County?
No. In Butte County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $48.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Butte County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Butte County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Butte County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Butte County, California has an overall risk score of 93.9 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $127.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Butte County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Butte County is Drought (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively High) and Landslide (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 67 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 2,303 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Butte County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · California profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events