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Maryland · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Carroll County, MD

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1971-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

19
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
60
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Carroll County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 19 declarations, more than 41% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 3% below the Maryland county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 40%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 40%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
138
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 24013 · Carroll County 19 declarations · rank 1890/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-MID 63%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,890
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW 60
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -3%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Maryland state profile

Carroll County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Carroll County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Carroll County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1890 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Carroll County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Carroll County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Carroll County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Carroll County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Maryland avg60/10059.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Maryland county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Carroll County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $17.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Carroll County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 138 paid claims, totaling $1.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $8.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Maryland county averages 19.6 federal declaration records, while Carroll County has 19. The gap is 3% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 59.5/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $32.3M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 7.8 times per year here, based on 297 historical events on record.

57 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Carroll County, MD · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

19 declarations (1.0x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

12 of 19 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Carroll County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Carroll County

Carroll County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 31 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 31 8-hazard mean
Carroll County NRI risk profile FIPS 24013 · displayed-hazard mean 31/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

60

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Carroll County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 7.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 14 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 37 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 11 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 4.2 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 5.6 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 970 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 77,730 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 5
Flood 5
Snowstorm 4
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Winter Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Carroll County's federal record, 26% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 63.2%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 7 36.8%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2016 1
2014 1
2013 2
2011 1
2010 1
2005 1
2003 2
1996 2
1993 1
1977 1
1976 1
1972 1
1971 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3634 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4491 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3430 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4261 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2016-03-04
4170 SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2014-04-10
4091 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-11-20
3349 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
3335 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-27
1910 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-05-06
3251 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1492 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-19
3179 SNOW EM Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1094 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-23
1081 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-11
3100 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
522 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1976-10-14
489 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-10-04
341 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
309 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-08-17

Storm Events in Maryland

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Carroll County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,959 6 43 $102.0M
Winter Weather 1,341 4 26 $95.0K
Flood 1,089 1 0 $1.4M
Flash Flood 790 9 4 $96.3M
Dense Fog 513 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

138

Total Paid

$1.2M

Avg Per Claim

$8.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 59.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$32.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Avalanche Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Carroll County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Carroll County's closest FEMA peer: Baylor County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Carroll County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Carroll County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Carroll County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Carroll County's NFIP claims file (138 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Carroll County?
The most common disaster type in Carroll County is Hurricane, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Snowstorm (4), Biological (2).
How does Carroll County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Maryland average?
The typical Maryland county has 19.6 FEMA declaration records; Carroll County has 19, or 3% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 8% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Carroll County received?
Carroll County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 19 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Carroll County filed?
Carroll County has 138 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.2M in payments, with an average of $8.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Carroll County?
No. In Carroll County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $17.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Carroll County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Carroll County was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1971 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Carroll County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Carroll County, Maryland has an overall risk score of 59.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $32.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Carroll County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Carroll County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 7.8 times per year, drawn from 297 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Carroll County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Maryland profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events