PlainHazard

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Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Carter County, OK

33 FEMA disaster declarations (1971-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

33
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
75
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Carter County. Its 33 FEMA declarations are 2% above the Oklahoma county mean and exceed the count for 91% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 25%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 25%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
33
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
84
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 40019 · Carter County 33 declarations · rank 264/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 33
  • MAJOR-MID 61%
  • RANK-UPPER #264
  • PHOTO-FINISH Nelson
  • NRI-LOW 75
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +2%

Nearest declaration peer: Nelson, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oklahoma state profile

Carter County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Carter County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Carter County carries 33 FEMA declaration records, ranked 264 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Carter County ranks in the national declaration registry

Carter County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Carter County

33 Top 9% higher than 91% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Carter County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10074.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

What does Carter County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 84 paid claims, totaling $2.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $30.1K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Carter County's 33 federal records stand 2% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 74.9/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $28.0M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Tornado stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here, based on 44 historical events on record.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Carter County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
24/30

33 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

33 declarations (1.0x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

20 of 33 declarations are major disasters (61%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Carter County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Carter County

Carter County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 40 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 40 8-hazard mean
Carter County NRI risk profile FIPS 40019 · displayed-hazard mean 40/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

33

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

61%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

75

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Carter County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively High an average of 9.1 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 20 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.4 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 186 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 3.7 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 47 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 6.8 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 784 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 54 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 95 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Fire 7
Severe Ice Storm 6
Tornado 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Carter County's record, 39% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 60.6%

of all 33 declarations

Emergency - 9 27.3%

of all 33 declarations

Fire Management - 4 12.1%

of all 33 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2021 2
2020 2
2015 1
2011 1
2010 3
2009 3
2008 1
2007 1
2006 3
2005 1
2003 1
2001 4
1996 1
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1995 1
1993 1
1990 1
1987 1
1979 1
1973 1
1971 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 33 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 33 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5620 HOSPITAL ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2026-02-19
4776 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2024-04-30
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4222 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-26
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1917 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2010-05-24
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
1846 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2009-06-19
2811 HEALDTON CARTER FIRE FM Fire 2009-04-10
1820 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2009-02-15
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
2618 RATCLIFF FIRE FM Fire 2006-01-13
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
2588 VELMA FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2005-11-30
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
Show 13 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1465 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-05-10
1384 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-06-29
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
3158 SEVERE WINTER AND ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1349 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-11-27
3118 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-27
1058 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Tornado 1995-06-26
991 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-05-12
866 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-18
794 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-07-09
576 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1979-04-13
392 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1973-06-13
297 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1970-10-14

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Carter County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

84

Total Paid

$2.5M

Avg Per Claim

$30.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 74.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$28.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively High
Hail Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

For Carter County the two measures on this page point the same way: Tornado is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Carter County's closest FEMA peer: Smith County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Carter County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Carter County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Carter County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Carter County's NFIP claims file (84 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Carter County?
The most common disaster type in Carter County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (7), Severe Ice Storm (6), Tornado (3).
How does Carter County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
FEMA lists 33 declaration records for Carter County. That is 2% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. Its count is also 59% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Carter County received?
Carter County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 61% of all 33 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Carter County filed?
Carter County has 84 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.5M in payments, with an average of $30.1K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Carter County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Carter County was 2001, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1971 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Carter County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Carter County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 74.9 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $28.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Carter County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Carter County is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 1 years, drawn from 44 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Carter County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oklahoma profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events