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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Covington (city), VA

15 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

15
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
10
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Covington (city) has a nationally busy FEMA history: 15 declarations, more than 23% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 26% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 10%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
15
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
206
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Covington (city) compare?

Covington (city) vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

15 23rd percentile higher than 23% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Covington (city)'s FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/1009.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Covington (city) is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Covington (city)'s hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 206 paid claims, totaling $1.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $9.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while Covington (city) has 15. The gap is 26% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Covington (city)'s 15 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Virginia, however, the count is 26% below the county mean. 8 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Flood, appearing 3 times. The full 54-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 9.7/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.7M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Very High). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Strong Wind carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.6 times per year here, based on 99 historical events on record.

51 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Covington (city), VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
11/30

15 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

15 declarations (0.7x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

8 of 15 declarations are major disasters (53%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Covington (city)

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Virginia Avg

-26%

State avg: 20.4

vs. National Avg

-28%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 54 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Covington (city)

Covington (city) NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 9 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 9 8-hazard mean
Covington (city) NRI risk profile FIPS 51580 · displayed-hazard mean 9/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

15

Below median

Major Disaster share

53%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

10

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Covington (city)?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.6 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 43 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 42 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,220 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.9 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 120 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 13 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 1,375 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.1 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 8,571 years
Drought No Rating 1.4 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 3
Snowstorm 3
Flood 3
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Covington (city)'s record, 20% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 8 53.3%

of all 15 declarations

Emergency - 7 46.7%

of all 15 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2024 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2012 1
2010 1
2005 1
1996 2
1993 1
1986 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 15 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 15 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4831 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-01
3621 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-29
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4072 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2012-07-27
1874 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2010-02-16
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1098 FLOODING, HIGH WINDS, AND WIND DRIVEN RAIN DR Flood 1996-01-27
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
755 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Covington (city).

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

206

Total Paid

$1.9M

Avg Per Claim

$9.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 9.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hail Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Covington (city): the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Covington (city)'s closest FEMA peer: Carson County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Covington (city). Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Covington (city) - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Covington (city)'s NFIP claims file (206 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Covington (city)?
The most common disaster type in Covington (city) is Flood, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Snowstorm (3), Tropical Storm (2).
How does Covington (city)'s FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; Covington (city) has 15, or 26% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 28% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Covington (city) received?
Covington (city) has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 53% of all 15 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Covington (city) filed?
Covington (city) has 206 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.9M in payments, with an average of $9.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Covington (city)?
No. In Covington (city), Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Covington (city)?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Covington (city) was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Covington (city)?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Covington (city), Virginia has an overall risk score of 9.7 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Covington (city)?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Covington (city) is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Very Low) and Lightning (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 2.6 times per year, drawn from 99 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Covington (city)

Against a Virginia county mean of 20 declarations, Covington (city), VA records 15, or 26% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (8 of 15) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Virginia overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 23% of recorded county totals, but its own Virginia benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.