Erie County, New York
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 36029 · population 954,005 · 1,043 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 1,408 records for Erie County, New York from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 745 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (446 records). The deadliest single record is the December 23, 2022 blizzard, filed for the forecast zone Northern Erie, which covers the county: 40 deaths and $15.1 million in damage in 2025 dollars. FEMA has issued 27 declarations naming the county since 1976, 23 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm” on March 15, 2023.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 1,408on 745 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 5763 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $436Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 27strongest F3
- FEMA declarations
- 27latest 2023
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Erie County most?
The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 446 since 1956. 44% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1956 fell in July and August. The rank column places the county among New York's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 446 | 232 | 1956-2026 | 0 | 12 | $7.0M | 32 of 58 |
| Winter storms | 314 | 240 | 1996-2026 | 56 | 20 | $337M | 22 of 58 |
| Floods | 208 | 109 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | $54M | 15 of 58 |
| High wind and dust storms | 158 | 98 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 17 | $17M | 23 of 58 |
| Hail | 131 | 78 | 1959-2026 | 0 | 1 | $4.4M | 28 of 58 |
| Extreme cold | 60 | 36 | 2008-2026 | 1 | 0 | $54K | 28 of 58 |
| Tornadoes | 27 | 25 | 1957-2024 | 0 | 6 | $16M | 5 of 58 |
| Rip currents and high surf | 21 | 12 | 2000-2020 | 0 | 0 | $568K | 4 of 58 |
| Lightning | 16 | 14 | 1998-2018 | 0 | 7 | $1.5M | 21 of 58 |
| Heavy rain | 15 | 7 | 2018-2025 | 0 | 0 | – | 12 of 58 |
| Drought | 10 | 5 | 2016-2016 | 0 | 0 | – | 35 of 58 |
| Heat | 1 | 1 | 2005-2005 | 0 | 0 | – | 44 of 58 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 1 | 1 | 2023-2023 | 0 | 0 | – | 36 of 58 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Erie County had?
NOAA records 27 tornadoes in Erie County from 1957 to 2024, the strongest rated F3, with 0 deaths and 6 injuries recorded in the county. That is 5th of 58 New York counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 27 tornadoes whose track touched Erie County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 27, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
| Date | Tornado | Rating | Path | Killed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1970-08-19 13:45, as SPC files it | Eden to North Boston | F3 | 2.3 mi | 0 |
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in New York.
Every tornado record filed for Erie County (27)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-09 | Grand Island, Erie County | EF0 1.2 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2024-08-05 | Buffalo, Erie County | EF1 1.4 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2024-07-10 | Jewettville, Erie County | EF1 2.8 mi x 400 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2024-07-10 | Eden, Erie County | EF2 3.2 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2020-07-16 | Brant, Erie County | EF0 1.75 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $6K |
| 2018-10-20 | Orchard Park Airport, Erie County | EF0 0.16 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $18K |
| 2017-10-31 | Buffalo, Erie County | EF0 0.4 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $4K |
| 2017-07-20 | South Wales, Erie County | EF0 1.34 mi x 450 yd | 0 | 0 | $120K |
| 2017-07-20 | Locksley Park, Erie County | EF2 6.11 mi x 700 yd | 0 | 0 | $4K |
| 2006-06-30 | Cheektowaga, Erie County | F1 3 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 2 | $366K |
| 2002-04-28 | East Concord, Erie County | F0 0.7 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | $57K |
| 1997-09-25 | Evans Center, Erie County | F0 0.2 mi x 5 yd | 0 | 0 | $28K |
| 1994-08-28 | Amherst, Erie County | F0 0.3 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $100K |
| 1994-06-24 | Angola, Erie County | F0 0.5 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $100K |
| 1993-09-23 | Grand Island, Erie County | F0 2 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | $102K |
| 1993-08-31 | Clarence, Erie County | F1 0.8 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $1.0M |
| 1992-07-12 | Erie County | F1 0.5 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | $250 step |
| 1991-05-01 | Erie County | F0 0.5 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1991-04-09 | Erie County | F1 0.5 mi x 7 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1987-07-30 | Erie County | F2 1.5 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 1 | $2.5M step |
| 1976-06-30 | Erie County | F1 0.3 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | $250 step |
| 1972-05-02 | Erie County | F2 12 mi x 350 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1971-08-23 | Erie County | F2 | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1970-08-19 | Erie County | F3 2.3 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 3 | $250K step |
| 1966-06-09 | Erie County | F0 1 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1961-07-07 | Erie County | F2 7.8 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1957-04-25 | Erie County | F1 0.5 mi x 17 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Erie County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the March 31, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($5,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Flash FloodGtr Buffalo Int, Erie County | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-06-18 | Flash FloodBuffalo, Erie County | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindSpringville, Erie County | 50 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-05-19 | Thunderstorm WindClarence Center, Erie County | 50 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-05-12 | Frost/FreezeErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-05-12 | Frost/FreezeErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-05-03 | Frost/FreezeErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-31 | HailCollins, Erie County | 1.50 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-03-31 | HailHelmuth, Erie County | 1.50 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-03-31 | Thunderstorm WindEast Hamburg, Erie County | 50 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $5K |
| 2026-03-15 | High WindErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie | 50 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-03-13 | High WindErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-23 | BlizzardErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie A historic lake effect blizzard occurred northeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario during the Christmas holiday weekend. The combination of high winds in excess of 70 mph and heavy lake effect snow resulted in devastating impacts across western New York and also east of Lake Ontario from December 23 through December 27. ... | 40 | 0 | $15M | |
| 2014-11-17 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie The epic November 17-19th 2014 lake effect event will be remembered as one of the most significant winter events in Buffalo’s snowy history. Over 5 feet of snow fell over areas just east of Buffalo, with mere inches a few miles away to the north. There were 13 fatalities with this storm, hundreds of major roof ... | 8 | 8 | $1.6M | |
| 2014-11-19 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie Lake effect snow developed over Eastern Lake Erie and Southern Ontario Wednesday (19) evening on a southwest flow. Cloud to ground lightning was noted near Long Point near the onset of the activity. As the cold air deepened and low level winds veered, the lake band pivoted east and aligned itself with Lake Erie, ... | 3 | 3 | $1.6M | |
| 2022-11-17 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie The incipient lake effect bands formed over far southern Erie County early in the morning hours of Thursday, November 17. The much more intense portion of this event really started with a bang on Thursday evening as an incredibly strong dominant band of lake effect snow developed into the Buffalo area. This intense ... | 2 | 0 | $10M | |
| 2018-01-02 | BlizzardErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie This storm was a rare lake effect blizzard, producing a period of blizzard conditions northeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario. A strong pressure gradient developed between a strong high over the Ohio Valley and low pressure just north of the Great Lakes on the 2nd with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph northeast of Lakes Erie ... | 1 | 7 | $118K | |
| 2014-11-19 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie Lake effect snow developed over Eastern Lake Erie and Southern Ontario Wednesday (19) evening on a southwest flow. Cloud to ground lightning was noted near Long Point near the onset of the activity. As the cold air deepened and low level winds veered, the lake band pivoted east and aligned itself with Lake Erie, ... | 1 | 1 | $3.1M | |
| 2019-01-30 | Extreme Cold/Wind ChillErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie Behind the front that caused widespread blowing and drifting snow across the area with localized blizzard conditions in Buffalo and Watertown, temperatures dipped below zero in the entirety of the area. This combined with wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph dropped wind chills substantially below zero. One homeless man died of ... | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 2006-10-12 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie Low pressure over Lake Superior brought a westerly flow of unseasonably cold air across western New York. Lake Effect rain began Thursday (10/13/06) morning. By midday the rain began mixing with graupel and thunder and lightning was reported. The cold air became deep enough to change the precipitation to wet snow ... | 1 | 0 | $190M |
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-10-12 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie | 1 | 0 | $190M | |
| 2000-11-20 | Heavy SnowErie County · forecast zone Erie | 0 | 0 | $34M | |
| 2006-10-12 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie | 0 | 0 | $29M | |
| 2009-08-09 | Flash FloodHelmuth, Erie County | 0 | 0 | $21M | |
| 2022-11-16 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie | 0 | 0 | $20M | |
| 2001-12-24 | Heavy SnowErie County · forecast zone Erie | 0 | 0 | $17M | |
| 2022-12-23 | BlizzardErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie | 40 | 0 | $15M | |
| 2022-11-17 | Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie | 2 | 0 | $10M |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $2.5M, in the dollars of the day) holds: July 30, 1987 (tornado, Erie County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Erie County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 6 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 59 | 80 | 103 | 117 |
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 39 | 95 | 116 | 64 |
| Floods | – | – | – | – | 49 | 45 | 69 | 45 |
| High wind and dust storms | – | – | – | – | 9 | 42 | 69 | 38 |
| Hail | 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43 | 20 | 24 |
| Extreme cold | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 | 35 z | 18 |
Extreme cold in the 2010s: 35 records against 7 in the decade before, 35 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Erie County days with a record above.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
44% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1956 fell in July and August. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 197 · Feb 93 · Mar 93 · Apr 88 · May 102 · Jun 148 · Jul 179 · Aug 143 · Sep 75 · Oct 59 · Nov 88 · Dec 143 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Erie County
FEMA's register lists 27 declarations that include Erie County: 14 major disasters, 13 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for snowstorm (11) and severe storm (6).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-15 | DR-4694 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2022-12-26 | EM-3590 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2022-11-20 | EM-3589 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2020-03-20 | DR-4480 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3434 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019-12-19 | DR-4472 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2014-12-22 | DR-4204 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding |
| 2012-10-28 | EM-3351 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2009-09-01 | DR-1857 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 2006-10-24 | DR-1665 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 2006-10-15 | EM-3268 | Snowstorm | Lake Effect Snowstorm |
| 2005-09-30 | EM-3262 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2004-08-03 | DR-1534 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 2003-08-23 | EM-3186 | Other | Power Outage |
| 2002-03-01 | DR-1404 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2001-12-31 | EM-3170 | Snowstorm | Snow |
| 2001-09-11 | DR-1391 | Fire | Fires and Explosions |
| 2000-12-04 | EM-3157 | Snowstorm | Snow |
| 2000-10-11 | EM-3155 | Other | West Nile Virus |
| 2000-07-21 | DR-1335 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 1999-01-15 | EM-3136 | Snowstorm | Snow |
| 1998-07-07 | DR-1233 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 1993-03-17 | EM-3107 | Snowstorm | Severe Blizzard |
| 1985-03-22 | DR-734 | Snowstorm | Snow Melt & Ice Jams |
| 1977-02-05 | DR-527 | Snowstorm | Snowstorms |
| 1977-01-29 | EM-3027 | Snowstorm | Snowstorms |
| 1976-03-19 | DR-494 | Severe Ice Storm | Ice Storm,Severe Storms & Flooding |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Erie County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 208 flood or flash flood records for Erie County from 1996 to 2026, on 109 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Erie County ranks 156th of 2,942 U.S. counties.
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $12.8 million on 2,483 claims filed in Erie County; the most in one year was 723 in 1979. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1978: 101 · 1979: 723 · 1980: 70 · 1981: 77 · 1982: 113 · 1983: 10 · 1984: 63 · 1985: 413 · 1986: 82 · 1987: 57 · 1988: 8 · 1989: 18 · 1990: 6 · 1991: 2 · 1992: 19 · 1993: 6 · 1994: 18 · 1995: 1 · 1996: 36 · 1997: 9 · 1998: 58 · 1999: 92 · 2000: 29 · 2001: 12 · 2002: 23 · 2003: 20 · 2004: 30 · 2005: 12 · 2006: 66 · 2007: 6 · 2008: 28 · 2009: 43 · 2010: 8 · 2011: 12 · 2012: 2 · 2013: 31 · 2014: 38 · 2015: 14 · 2016: 2 · 2017: 21 · 2018: 9 · 2019: 22 · 2020: 20 · 2021: 17 · 2022: 22 · 2023: 2 · 2024: 6 · 2026: 6; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Erie County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Erie County Relatively High overall, with an expected annual loss of $286 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cold Wave | Very High | $53M | 4.9 a year (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Very High | $2.2M | 45 a year (modeled) |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively High | $205M | 3.6 a year (modeled) |
| Tornado | Relatively High | $12M | once in about 7 years (modeled) |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | $1.3M | 2.7 a year (modeled) |
| Lightning | Relatively High | $942K | 32 a year (modeled) |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | $6.2M | 2.1 modeled event-days a year |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | $1.3M | 1.5 a year (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Erie County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in New YorkEvery New York tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Severe thunderstorm wind in New YorkThe state's severe thunderstorm wind events, by county, year and month
- The New York recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Erie CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Erie County's FEMA declarations (CSV)27 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis