Erie County, New York

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 36029 · population 954,005 · 1,043 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 1,408 records for Erie County, New York from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 745 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (446 records). The deadliest single record is the December 23, 2022 blizzard, filed for the forecast zone Northern Erie, which covers the county: 40 deaths and $15.1 million in damage in 2025 dollars. FEMA has issued 27 declarations naming the county since 1976, 23 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm” on March 15, 2023.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
1,408on 745 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
5763 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$436Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
27strongest F3
FEMA declarations
27latest 2023

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Erie County most?

The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 446 since 1956. 44% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1956 fell in July and August. The rank column places the county among New York's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Erie County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Severe thunderstorm wind 446 232 1956-2026 0 12 $7.0M 32 of 58
Winter storms 314 240 1996-2026 56 20 $337M 22 of 58
Floods 208 109 1996-2026 0 0 $54M 15 of 58
High wind and dust storms 158 98 1996-2026 0 17 $17M 23 of 58
Hail 131 78 1959-2026 0 1 $4.4M 28 of 58
Extreme cold 60 36 2008-2026 1 0 $54K 28 of 58
Tornadoes 27 25 1957-2024 0 6 $16M 5 of 58
Rip currents and high surf 21 12 2000-2020 0 0 $568K 4 of 58
Lightning 16 14 1998-2018 0 7 $1.5M 21 of 58
Heavy rain 15 7 2018-2025 0 0 – 12 of 58
Drought 10 5 2016-2016 0 0 – 35 of 58
Heat 1 1 2005-2005 0 0 – 44 of 58
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 1 1 2023-2023 0 0 – 36 of 58

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Erie County had?

NOAA records 27 tornadoes in Erie County from 1957 to 2024, the strongest rated F3, with 0 deaths and 6 injuries recorded in the county. That is 5th of 58 New York counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 27 tornadoes whose track touched Erie County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 27, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Erie County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1970-08-19 13:45, as SPC files itEden to North BostonF32.3 mi0

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in New York.

Every tornado record filed for Erie County (27)
Every tornado recorded in Erie County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-09-09 Grand Island, Erie County EF0 1.2 mi x 75 yd 0 0 –
2024-08-05 Buffalo, Erie County EF1 1.4 mi x 300 yd 0 0 –
2024-07-10 Jewettville, Erie County EF1 2.8 mi x 400 yd 0 0 –
2024-07-10 Eden, Erie County EF2 3.2 mi x 300 yd 0 0 –
2020-07-16 Brant, Erie County EF0 1.75 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $6K
2018-10-20 Orchard Park Airport, Erie County EF0 0.16 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $18K
2017-10-31 Buffalo, Erie County EF0 0.4 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $4K
2017-07-20 South Wales, Erie County EF0 1.34 mi x 450 yd 0 0 $120K
2017-07-20 Locksley Park, Erie County EF2 6.11 mi x 700 yd 0 0 $4K
2006-06-30 Cheektowaga, Erie County F1 3 mi x 75 yd 0 2 $366K
2002-04-28 East Concord, Erie County F0 0.7 mi x 25 yd 0 0 $57K
1997-09-25 Evans Center, Erie County F0 0.2 mi x 5 yd 0 0 $28K
1994-08-28 Amherst, Erie County F0 0.3 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $100K
1994-06-24 Angola, Erie County F0 0.5 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $100K
1993-09-23 Grand Island, Erie County F0 2 mi x 25 yd 0 0 $102K
1993-08-31 Clarence, Erie County F1 0.8 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $1.0M
1992-07-12 Erie County F1 0.5 mi x 20 yd 0 0 $250 step
1991-05-01 Erie County F0 0.5 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $250K step
1991-04-09 Erie County F1 0.5 mi x 7 yd 0 0 $25K step
1987-07-30 Erie County F2 1.5 mi x 30 yd 0 1 $2.5M step
1976-06-30 Erie County F1 0.3 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $250 step
1972-05-02 Erie County F2 12 mi x 350 yd 0 0 $250K step
1971-08-23 Erie County F2 0 0 $25K step
1970-08-19 Erie County F3 2.3 mi x 300 yd 0 3 $250K step
1966-06-09 Erie County F0 1 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $3K step
1961-07-07 Erie County F2 7.8 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $250K step
1957-04-25 Erie County F1 0.5 mi x 17 yd 0 0 $25K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Erie County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the March 31, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($5,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

The 12 most recent records kept for Erie County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-18 Flash FloodGtr Buffalo Int, Erie County 0 0 –
2026-06-18 Flash FloodBuffalo, Erie County 0 0 –
2026-06-11 Thunderstorm WindSpringville, Erie County 50 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-19 Thunderstorm WindClarence Center, Erie County 50 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-12 Frost/FreezeErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie 0 0 –
2026-05-12 Frost/FreezeErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie 0 0 –
2026-05-03 Frost/FreezeErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie 0 0 –
2026-03-31 HailCollins, Erie County 1.50 in hail 0 0 –
2026-03-31 HailHelmuth, Erie County 1.50 in hail 0 0 –
2026-03-31 Thunderstorm WindEast Hamburg, Erie County 50 kt wind 0 0 $5K
2026-03-15 High WindErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie 50 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-03-13 High WindErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie 52 kt wind 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Erie County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2022-12-23 BlizzardErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie A historic lake effect blizzard occurred northeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario during the Christmas holiday weekend. The combination of high winds in excess of 70 mph and heavy lake effect snow resulted in devastating impacts across western New York and also east of Lake Ontario from December 23 through December 27. ... 40 0 $15M
2014-11-17 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie The epic November 17-19th 2014 lake effect event will be remembered as one of the most significant winter events in Buffalo’s snowy history. Over 5 feet of snow fell over areas just east of Buffalo, with mere inches a few miles away to the north. There were 13 fatalities with this storm, hundreds of major roof ... 8 8 $1.6M
2014-11-19 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie Lake effect snow developed over Eastern Lake Erie and Southern Ontario Wednesday (19) evening on a southwest flow. Cloud to ground lightning was noted near Long Point near the onset of the activity. As the cold air deepened and low level winds veered, the lake band pivoted east and aligned itself with Lake Erie, ... 3 3 $1.6M
2022-11-17 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie The incipient lake effect bands formed over far southern Erie County early in the morning hours of Thursday, November 17. The much more intense portion of this event really started with a bang on Thursday evening as an incredibly strong dominant band of lake effect snow developed into the Buffalo area. This intense ... 2 0 $10M
2018-01-02 BlizzardErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie This storm was a rare lake effect blizzard, producing a period of blizzard conditions northeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario. A strong pressure gradient developed between a strong high over the Ohio Valley and low pressure just north of the Great Lakes on the 2nd with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph northeast of Lakes Erie ... 1 7 $118K
2014-11-19 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie Lake effect snow developed over Eastern Lake Erie and Southern Ontario Wednesday (19) evening on a southwest flow. Cloud to ground lightning was noted near Long Point near the onset of the activity. As the cold air deepened and low level winds veered, the lake band pivoted east and aligned itself with Lake Erie, ... 1 1 $3.1M
2019-01-30 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie Behind the front that caused widespread blowing and drifting snow across the area with localized blizzard conditions in Buffalo and Watertown, temperatures dipped below zero in the entirety of the area. This combined with wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph dropped wind chills substantially below zero. One homeless man died of ... 1 0 –
2006-10-12 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie Low pressure over Lake Superior brought a westerly flow of unseasonably cold air across western New York. Lake Effect rain began Thursday (10/13/06) morning. By midday the rain began mixing with graupel and thunder and lightning was reported. The cold air became deep enough to change the precipitation to wet snow ... 1 0 $190M
The costliest records in Erie County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2006-10-12 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie 1 0 $190M
2000-11-20 Heavy SnowErie County · forecast zone Erie 0 0 $34M
2006-10-12 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie 0 0 $29M
2009-08-09 Flash FloodHelmuth, Erie County 0 0 $21M
2022-11-16 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Southern Erie 0 0 $20M
2001-12-24 Heavy SnowErie County · forecast zone Erie 0 0 $17M
2022-12-23 BlizzardErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie 40 0 $15M
2022-11-17 Lake-Effect SnowErie County · forecast zone Northern Erie 2 0 $10M

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $2.5M, in the dollars of the day) holds: July 30, 1987 (tornado, Erie County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Erie County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Erie County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Severe thunderstorm wind61117535980103117
Winter storms––––399511664
Floods––––49456945
High wind and dust storms––––9426938
Hail1591019432024
Extreme cold––––0735 z18

Extreme cold in the 2010s: 35 records against 7 in the decade before, 35 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Erie County days with a record above.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

44% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1956 fell in July and August. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 197 · Feb 93 · Mar 93 · Apr 88 · May 102 · Jun 148 · Jul 179 · Aug 143 · Sep 75 · Oct 59 · Nov 88 · Dec 143 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Erie County

FEMA's register lists 27 declarations that include Erie County: 14 major disasters, 13 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for snowstorm (11) and severe storm (6).

Declarations including Erie County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2023-03-15DR-4694SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2022-12-26EM-3590Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
2022-11-20EM-3589Winter StormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2020-03-20DR-4480BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3434BiologicalCovid-19
2019-12-19DR-4472Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2014-12-22DR-4204SnowstormSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding
2012-10-28EM-3351HurricaneHurricane Sandy
2009-09-01DR-1857Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2006-10-24DR-1665Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2006-10-15EM-3268SnowstormLake Effect Snowstorm
2005-09-30EM-3262HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2004-08-03DR-1534Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2003-08-23EM-3186OtherPower Outage
2002-03-01DR-1404SnowstormSevere Winter Storm
2001-12-31EM-3170SnowstormSnow
2001-09-11DR-1391FireFires and Explosions
2000-12-04EM-3157SnowstormSnow
2000-10-11EM-3155OtherWest Nile Virus
2000-07-21DR-1335Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
1999-01-15EM-3136SnowstormSnow
1998-07-07DR-1233Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
1993-03-17EM-3107SnowstormSevere Blizzard
1985-03-22DR-734SnowstormSnow Melt & Ice Jams
1977-02-05DR-527SnowstormSnowstorms
1977-01-29EM-3027SnowstormSnowstorms
1976-03-19DR-494Severe Ice StormIce Storm,Severe Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Erie County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 208 flood or flash flood records for Erie County from 1996 to 2026, on 109 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Erie County ranks 156th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $12.8 million on 2,483 claims filed in Erie County; the most in one year was 723 in 1979. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1978: 101 · 1979: 723 · 1980: 70 · 1981: 77 · 1982: 113 · 1983: 10 · 1984: 63 · 1985: 413 · 1986: 82 · 1987: 57 · 1988: 8 · 1989: 18 · 1990: 6 · 1991: 2 · 1992: 19 · 1993: 6 · 1994: 18 · 1995: 1 · 1996: 36 · 1997: 9 · 1998: 58 · 1999: 92 · 2000: 29 · 2001: 12 · 2002: 23 · 2003: 20 · 2004: 30 · 2005: 12 · 2006: 66 · 2007: 6 · 2008: 28 · 2009: 43 · 2010: 8 · 2011: 12 · 2012: 2 · 2013: 31 · 2014: 38 · 2015: 14 · 2016: 2 · 2017: 21 · 2018: 9 · 2019: 22 · 2020: 20 · 2021: 17 · 2022: 22 · 2023: 2 · 2024: 6 · 2026: 6; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Erie County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Erie County Relatively High overall, with an expected annual loss of $286 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Erie County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Cold WaveVery High$53M4.9 a year (modeled)
Winter WeatherVery High$2.2M45 a year (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively High$205M3.6 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively High$12Monce in about 7 years (modeled)
Ice StormRelatively High$1.3M2.7 a year (modeled)
LightningRelatively High$942K32 a year (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Moderate$6.2M2.1 modeled event-days a year
Strong WindRelatively Moderate$1.3M1.5 a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Erie County

  1. Erie County 1,408
  2. Chautauqua County 1,169
  3. Cattaraugus County 979
  4. Niagara County 591
  5. Wyoming County 534
  6. Genesee County 450

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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