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Michigan · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Hillsdale County, MI

9 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Snowstorm.

9
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
50
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Snowstorm
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Hillsdale County: 9 FEMA declaration records are 10% below the Michigan county mean, even though the count is higher than 8% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks in the riskiest 50%.

Riskiest 50%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
9
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
13
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Hillsdale County compare?

Hillsdale County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

9 8th percentile higher than 8% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Hillsdale County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Michigan county average

0/100100/100Michigan avg50/10050/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Michigan county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Hillsdale County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Tornado carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Hillsdale County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 50.0/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $13.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Tornado carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 3 years here, based on 23 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The state comparison is the clearest context for Hillsdale County's moderate federal record. Its 9 declarations sit 10% below the Michigan county mean, with 3 Major Disaster entries among them. 3 records concern Snowstorm, the file's most frequent incident type. Spread across 55 years, the registry rate is 0.2 per year. FEMA reports authorized programs separately from the DR, EM, and FM codes.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 13 claims and $184.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Michigan county averages 10.0 federal declaration records, while Hillsdale County has 9. The gap is 10% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

39 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Hillsdale County, MI · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

9 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

9 declarations (0.9x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
8/25

3 of 9 declarations are major disasters (33%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Hillsdale County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

Moderate

vs. Michigan Avg

-10%

State avg: 10.0

vs. National Avg

-57%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.2

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Hillsdale County

Hillsdale County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Hillsdale County NRI risk profile FIPS 26059 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

9

Low volume

Major Disaster share

33%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

50

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Hillsdale County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 37 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.2 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.4 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 871 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.5 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 0.3 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 97 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 79,199 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Hurricane 1
Other 1

What Snowstorm declarations mean here

Snowstorm is the most frequent declaration type on Hillsdale County's record, 33% of its declarations. Snow-related declarations work on a narrower basis than most other hazards: they are generally issued to reimburse the cost of snow removal and emergency protective measures, rather than to repair destroyed property.

The qualifying test is unusual too. FEMA assesses snowfall against record levels for the affected area, so the same storm total can qualify in a county where it is historically extreme and not qualify a few hundred miles north where it is an ordinary winter. A low snowstorm declaration count is therefore not evidence of mild winters.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 6 66.7%

of all 9 declarations

Major Disaster - 3 33.3%

of all 9 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2005 1
2003 1
2001 1
1978 1
1977 1
1974 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 9 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 9 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4494 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-27
3455 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3225 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
3189 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-09-23
3160 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2001-01-10
3057 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-27
3030 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-02-05
429 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-12
190 TORNADOES & SEVERE STORMS DR Tornado 1965-04-14

Storm Events in Michigan

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Hillsdale County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,010 10 18 $173.8M
Winter Storm 1,486 3 11 $41.8M
Winter Weather 1,254 21 38 $892.0K
Hail 962 0 0 $77.1M
High Wind 389 3 2 $668.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

13

Total Paid

$184.3K

Avg Per Claim

$14.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 50.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$13.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

Worth noting for Hillsdale County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Tornado carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Snowstorm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Hillsdale County's closest FEMA peer: Juab County, UT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Hillsdale County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Hillsdale County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Tornado as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Hillsdale County?
The most common disaster type in Hillsdale County is Snowstorm, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Tornado (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Hillsdale County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Michigan average?
The typical Michigan county has 10.0 FEMA declaration records; Hillsdale County has 9, or 10% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 57% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Hillsdale County received?
Hillsdale County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 33% of all 9 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Hillsdale County filed?
Hillsdale County has 13 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $184.3K in payments, with an average of $14.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Hillsdale County?
No. In Hillsdale County, Tornado has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Hillsdale County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Hillsdale County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Hillsdale County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Hillsdale County, Michigan has an overall risk score of 50.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $13.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Hillsdale County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Hillsdale County as of the latest release is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 3 years, drawn from 23 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Hillsdale County

Against a Michigan county mean of 10 declarations, Hillsdale County, MI records 9, or 10% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as moderate activity.

  • Emergency is the largest group (6 of 9) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Michigan overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 8% of recorded county totals, but its own Michigan benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.