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Alaska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Juneau City and Borough, AK

3 FEMA disaster declarations (2020-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Mud/Landslide.

3
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
12
NRI risk · Very Low
Mud/Landslide
Top hazard

The verdict

The declaration register is comparatively quiet for Juneau City and Borough. Its 3 federal records sit 58% below the Alaska county mean and above the count for 1% of counties nationally. That historical total does not set the National Risk Index: FEMA's separate loss-and-vulnerability model ranks the county safer than 12%.

Safer than 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
3
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
101
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. Every record in this county's registry is a Major Disaster (DR) declaration.

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How does Juneau City and Borough compare?

Juneau City and Borough vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

3 1st percentile higher than 1% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Juneau City and Borough's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alaska county average

0/100100/100Alaska avg36/10011.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alaska county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Juneau City and Borough is led by Earthquake (about $2.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Juneau City and Borough's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 101 paid claims, totaling $4.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $48.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Alaska county averages 7.2 federal declaration records, while Juneau City and Borough has 3. The gap is 58% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

Declaration frequency

Juneau City and Borough's federal file is quiet on both comparisons: 3 declarations, 58% below the Alaska county mean. Of those, 3 use the Major Disaster code. The register covers 5 years and averages 0.6 entries a year. Mud/Landslide is the most frequent incident label at 1. A small federal count does not include undeclared local events and is not evidence of zero hazard exposure.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 11.5/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.0M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Relatively High). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 11 times per year here.

40 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Juneau City and Borough, AK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
2/30

3 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Low
5/25

3 declarations (0.4x state county average of 7)

Major Disaster Share Very High
25/25

3 of 3 declarations are major disasters (100%)

Hazard Diversity Moderate
8/20

3 different disaster types declared in Juneau City and Borough

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

Low

vs. Alaska Avg

-58%

State avg: 7.2

vs. National Avg

-86%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 5 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Juneau City and Borough

Juneau City and Borough NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 15 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 15 8-hazard mean
Juneau City and Borough NRI risk profile FIPS 02110 · displayed-hazard mean 15/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

3

Low volume

Major Disaster share

100%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

12

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Juneau City and Borough?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 11 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 20 times per year
Avalanche Relatively Moderate roughly once every 6 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 63 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 3,333 years
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 83 years
Tsunami Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 92,829 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 3.9 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 282,373 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 1
Mud/Landslide 1
Biological 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 3 100.0%

of all 3 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2021 1
2020 1

Disaster Declarations

Download these 3 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4836 FLOODING DR Flood 2024-10-16
4585 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Mud/Landslide 2021-02-17
4533 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-09

Storm Events in Alaska

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Juneau City and Borough.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 709 0 1 $8.4M
Blizzard 524 0 0 $60.0K
Heavy Snow 439 0 0 $0
Winter Storm 385 0 0 $200.0K
Flood 182 0 0 $81.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

101

Total Paid

$4.9M

Avg Per Claim

$48.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 11.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Avalanche Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Tsunami Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Drought No Rating
Hail No Rating
Strong Wind No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Juneau City and Borough: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Mud/Landslide. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Juneau City and Borough's closest FEMA peer: Esmeralda County, NV

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Juneau City and Borough. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Juneau City and Borough - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Juneau City and Borough's NFIP claims file (101 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Juneau City and Borough?
The most common disaster type in Juneau City and Borough is Mud/Landslide, with 1 declaration. Other disaster types include Flood (1), Biological (1).
How does Juneau City and Borough's FEMA declaration record compare with the Alaska average?
The typical Alaska county has 7.2 FEMA declaration records; Juneau City and Borough has 3, or 58% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 86% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Juneau City and Borough received?
Juneau City and Borough has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 100% of all 3 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Juneau City and Borough filed?
Juneau City and Borough has 101 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.9M in payments, with an average of $48.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Juneau City and Borough?
No. In Juneau City and Borough, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Juneau City and Borough?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Juneau City and Borough was 2020, with 1 declaration. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2020 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Juneau City and Borough?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Juneau City and Borough, Alaska has an overall risk score of 11.5 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Juneau City and Borough?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Juneau City and Borough is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Avalanche (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 11 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Juneau City and Borough

Against a Alaska county mean of 7 declarations, Juneau City and Borough, AK records 3, or 58% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as low activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (3 of 3) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Alaska overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 1% of recorded county totals, but its own Alaska benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.