FEMA Records
3
Low volume
Alaska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
3 FEMA disaster declarations (2020-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Mud/Landslide.
The verdict
The declaration register is comparatively quiet for Juneau City and Borough. Its 3 federal records sit 58% below the Alaska county mean and above the count for 1% of counties nationally. That historical total does not set the National Risk Index: FEMA's separate loss-and-vulnerability model ranks the county safer than 12%.
FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. Every record in this county's registry is a Major Disaster (DR) declaration.
Juneau City and Borough vs. all counties in this dataset
FEMA disaster declarations, all-time
3 1st percentile higher than 1% of 3,266 counties
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03
FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Juneau City and Borough is led by Earthquake (about $2.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.
The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 101 paid claims, totaling $4.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $48.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.
Start with the state benchmark: a Alaska county averages 7.2 federal declaration records, while Juneau City and Borough has 3. The gap is 58% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.
Juneau City and Borough's federal file is quiet on both comparisons: 3 declarations, 58% below the Alaska county mean. Of those, 3 use the Major Disaster code. The register covers 5 years and averages 0.6 entries a year. Mud/Landslide is the most frequent incident label at 1. A small federal count does not include undeclared local events and is not evidence of zero hazard exposure.
FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 11.5/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.0M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Relatively High). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 11 times per year here.
Historical Activity Index
Moderate historical activity
Juneau City and Borough, AK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records
This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology
3 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.1x national county average)
3 declarations (0.4x state county average of 7)
3 of 3 declarations are major disasters (100%)
3 different disaster types declared in Juneau City and Borough
Activity Band
Low
vs. Alaska Avg
-58%
State avg: 7.2
vs. National Avg
-86%
National avg: 20.7
Avg Per Year
0.6
Over 5 years
Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.
FEMA Records
3
Low volume
Major Disaster share
100%
Mostly major
NRI risk score
12
Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release
FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.
| Hazard | NRI Risk Rating | Recurrence |
|---|---|---|
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | an average of 11 times per year |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High | an average of 20 times per year |
| Avalanche | Relatively Moderate | roughly once every 6 years |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | roughly once every 63 years |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | roughly once every 3,333 years |
| Coastal Flooding | Very Low | roughly once every 83 years |
| Tsunami | Very Low | roughly once every 3 years |
| Wildfire | Very Low | roughly once every 92,829 years |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | roughly once every 67 years |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | roughly once every 4 years |
| Riverine Flooding | Very Low | roughly once every 100 years |
| Lightning | Very Low | an average of 3.9 times per year |
| Tornado | Very Low | roughly once every 282,373 years |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release
FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).
of all 3 declarations
| Year | Declarations | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | |
| 2021 | 1 | |
| 2020 | 1 | |
Download these 3 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4836 | FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2024-10-16 |
| 4585 | SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Mud/Landslide | 2021-02-17 |
| 4533 | COVID-19 PANDEMIC | DR | Biological | 2020-04-09 |
Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Juneau City and Borough.
| Storm Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Wind | 709 | 0 | 1 | $8.4M |
| Blizzard | 524 | 0 | 0 | $60.0K |
| Heavy Snow | 439 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Winter Storm | 385 | 0 | 0 | $200.0K |
| Flood | 182 | 0 | 0 | $81.9M |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025
Total Claims
101
Total Paid
$4.9M
Avg Per Claim
$48.9K
Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data
Overall Risk
Very Low
Score: 11.5/100
Expected Annual Loss
Very Low
$6.0M/year
Social Vulnerability
Relatively Low
Community Resilience
Relatively High
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.
Worth noting for Juneau City and Borough: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Mud/Landslide. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.
National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.
Data-matched county comparisons
Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Juneau City and Borough. Record similarity, not a safety rating.
Juneau City and Borough shows 3 FEMA declarations, led by Mud/Landslide.
Juneau City and Borough: 3 of 3 of its declarations are Major.
Juneau City and Borough: NRI composite 11.5 (Very Low).
Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.
Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Juneau City and Borough - capture-dated entries only.
Understanding disaster data
Juneau City and Borough's NFIP claims file (101 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.
Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.
Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.
Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.
This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.
What this means for Juneau City and Borough
Against a Alaska county mean of 7 declarations, Juneau City and Borough, AK records 3, or 58% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as low activity.
A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.
PlainHazard derives this profile from FEMA's Disaster Declarations Summaries and National Risk Index data. The declaration comparison covers 3,266 U.S. counties and county equivalents in this database, refreshed as of 2026-08-03. Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.