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Ohio · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Mercer County, OH

14 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

14
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
32
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Mercer County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 14 declarations, more than 20% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 4% below the Ohio county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 32%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 32%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
14
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
96
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 39107 · Mercer County 14 declarations · rank 2614/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 14
  • MAJOR-MID 71%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,614
  • PHOTO-FINISH Pulaski
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -4%

Nearest declaration peer: Pulaski, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Ohio state profile

Mercer County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Mercer County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Mercer County carries 14 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2614 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Mercer County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Mercer County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Mercer County

14 20th percentile higher than 20% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Mercer County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Ohio avg55/10031.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Ohio county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Mercer County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $9.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Mercer County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 96 paid claims, totaling $1.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $14.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Ohio county averages 14.6 federal declaration records, while Mercer County has 14. The gap is 4% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 31.6/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $18.0M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 488 years here.

55 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Mercer County, OH · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
10/30

14 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

14 declarations (1.0x state county average of 15)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

10 of 14 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Mercer County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Mercer County

Mercer County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 18 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 18 8-hazard mean
Mercer County NRI risk profile FIPS 39107 · displayed-hazard mean 18/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

14

Low volume

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

32

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Mercer County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 488 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.5 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.5 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 87 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 12 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 43 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 13 years
Heat Wave Very Low 4 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 99,079 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Tornado 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Flood 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Mercer County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 71.4%

of all 14 declarations

Emergency - 4 28.6%

of all 14 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 2
2019 1
2012 1
2005 2
2004 1
2003 1
1995 1
1992 1
1989 1
1978 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 14 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 14 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4777 TORNADOES DR Tornado 2024-05-02
4507 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-31
3457 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4447 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDE DR Tornado 2019-06-18
3346 SEVERE STORMS EM Severe Storm 2012-06-30
3250 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1580 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2005-02-15
1556 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1478 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-07-15
1065 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-08-25
951 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1992-08-04
831 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-06-10
3055 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-26
191 TORNADOES & SEVERE STORMS DR Tornado 1965-04-14

Storm Events in Ohio

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Mercer County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,938 6 39 $60.4M
Winter Weather 2,101 7 42 $3.3M
Hail 1,749 0 0 $673.5K
Flood 1,607 9 0 $84.5M
Flash Flood 1,089 9 7 $112.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

96

Total Paid

$1.3M

Avg Per Claim

$14.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 31.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$18.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Mercer County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Mercer County's closest FEMA peer: Washington County, WI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Mercer County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Mercer County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Mercer County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Mercer County's NFIP claims file (96 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Mercer County?
The most common disaster type in Mercer County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Tornado (3), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Mercer County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Ohio average?
The typical Ohio county has 14.6 FEMA declaration records; Mercer County has 14, or 4% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 32% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Mercer County received?
Mercer County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 14 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Mercer County filed?
Mercer County has 96 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.3M in payments, with an average of $14.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Mercer County?
No. In Mercer County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $9.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Mercer County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Mercer County was 2005, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Mercer County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Mercer County, Ohio has an overall risk score of 31.6 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $18.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Mercer County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Mercer County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 488 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Mercer County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Ohio profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events