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South Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Pennington County, SD

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

21
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
79
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Pennington County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 11% above the South Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 21%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 21%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
135
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 46103 · Pennington County 21 declarations · rank 1436/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 62%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,436
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW 79
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +11%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · South Dakota state profile

Pennington County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Pennington County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Pennington County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1436 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Pennington County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Pennington County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Pennington County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Pennington County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100South Dakota avg27/10078.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the South Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Pennington County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $17.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Pennington County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 135 paid claims, totaling $555.6K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $4.1K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Pennington County's 21 federal records stand 11% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 78.6/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $40.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 225 years here.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Pennington County, SD · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

21 declarations (1.1x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

13 of 21 declarations are major disasters (62%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Pennington County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Pennington County

Pennington County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 48, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Pennington County NRI risk profile FIPS 46103 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

62%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

79

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Pennington County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 225 years
Hail Relatively High an average of 5.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 17 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 40 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 5 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 8 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 0.9 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,887 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Drought Very Low 53 modeled event-days per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 6
Fire 5
Severe Storm 5
Biological 2
Straight-Line Winds 1
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Pennington County's record, 29% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 61.9%

of all 21 declarations

Fire Management - 5 23.8%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 3 14.3%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2022 1
2021 1
2020 2
2019 2
2017 1
2014 1
2005 2
2004 1
2002 1
2000 1
1997 3
1995 1
1976 1
1972 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4903 STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Straight-Line Winds 2026-04-07
5418 AUBURN FIRE FM Fire 2021-10-04
5384 SCHROEDER FIRE FM Fire 2021-03-29
4527 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3475 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4463 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-09-23
4440 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-07
4298 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2017-02-01
4155 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-11-08
3234 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-10
2569 SD SKYLINE #2 FIRE 7/16/05 FM Fire 2005-07-16
2513 SD - MILL ROAD WILDFIRE - 11/19/2003 FM Fire 2003-11-20
2458 SD - BATTLE CREEK FIRE - 08/18/02 FM Fire 2002-08-18
1330 SEVERE WINTER STORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2000-05-19
1173 SEVERE FLOODING, SEVER WINTER STORMS,HEAVY RAINS HIGH WINDS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1161 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1997-02-28
1156 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-10
1052 FLOODING DR Flood 1995-05-26
3015 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
336 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-06-10
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
197 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-05-26

Storm Events in South Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Pennington County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,388 7 21 $10.7M
Hail 4,801 0 3 $4.5M
High Wind 2,277 0 1 $35.0K
Winter Weather 2,125 20 50 $133.0K
Flood 1,523 5 0 $196.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

135

Total Paid

$555.6K

Avg Per Claim

$4.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 78.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$40.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Avalanche Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Pennington County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Pennington County's closest FEMA peer: Newport News (city), VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Pennington County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Pennington County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Pennington County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Pennington County's NFIP claims file (135 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Pennington County?
The most common disaster type in Pennington County is Flood, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (5), Severe Storm (5), Biological (2).
How does Pennington County's FEMA declaration record compare with the South Dakota average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for Pennington County. That is 11% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Pennington County received?
Pennington County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 62% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Pennington County filed?
Pennington County has 135 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $555.6K in payments, with an average of $4.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Pennington County?
No. In Pennington County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $17.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Pennington County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Pennington County was 1997, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Pennington County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Pennington County, South Dakota has an overall risk score of 78.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $40.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Pennington County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Pennington County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 225 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Pennington County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · South Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events