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Montana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Phillips County, MT

10 FEMA disaster declarations (1986-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

10
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
35
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Phillips County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 10 declarations, more than 10% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 9% below the Montana county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 35%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 35%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
10
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
39
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 30071 · Phillips County 10 declarations · rank 2923/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 10
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 80%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,923
  • PHOTO-FINISH Cheyenne
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -9%

Nearest declaration peer: Cheyenne, NE (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Montana state profile

Phillips County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Phillips County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Phillips County carries 10 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2923 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Phillips County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Phillips County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Phillips County

10 10th percentile higher than 10% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Phillips County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Montana avg33/10034.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Montana county average

What does Phillips County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 34.5/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $7.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Cold Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 14 times per year here, based on 272 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 39 claims and $134.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Montana county averages 11.0 federal declaration records, while Phillips County has 10. The gap is 9% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

53 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Phillips County, MT · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

10 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

10 declarations (0.9x state county average of 11)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

8 of 10 declarations are major disasters (80%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Phillips County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Phillips County

Phillips County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Phillips County NRI risk profile FIPS 30071 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

10

Low volume

Major Disaster share

80%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

35

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Phillips County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 14 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 18 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 695 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 26 times per year
Landslide Very Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Drought Very Low 59 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Very Low 2.5 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 5,291 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Straight-Line Winds 1
Hurricane 1
Fire 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Phillips County's record, 30% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 8 80.0%

of all 10 declarations

Emergency - 2 20.0%

of all 10 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2020 2
2011 1
2005 1
2000 1
1996 1
1987 1
1986 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 10 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 10 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4902 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Straight-Line Winds 2026-04-07
4745 FLOODING DR Flood 2023-10-11
4508 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-31
3476 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1996 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-06-17
3253 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1340 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2000-08-30
1113 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, ICE JAMS, SOIL SATURATION DR Severe Storm 1996-05-16
777 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
761 HEAVY RAINS, LANDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-03-15

Storm Events in Montana

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Phillips County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 3,735 1 2 $5.3M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,396 5 24 $15.1M
Hail 2,015 0 0 $4.1M
Winter Storm 1,502 13 18 $11.2M
Heavy Snow 796 5 3 $143.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

39

Total Paid

$134.7K

Avg Per Claim

$3.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 34.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Hail Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Avalanche Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Phillips County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Phillips County's closest FEMA peer: Perkins County, NE

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Phillips County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Phillips County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Phillips County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 10 FEMA declarations, Phillips County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Phillips County?
The most common disaster type in Phillips County is Flood, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Severe Storm (2), Straight-Line Winds (1).
How does Phillips County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Montana average?
The typical Montana county has 11.0 FEMA declaration records; Phillips County has 10, or 9% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 52% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Phillips County received?
Phillips County has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 80% of all 10 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Phillips County filed?
Phillips County has 39 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $134.7K in payments, with an average of $3.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Phillips County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Phillips County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1986 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Phillips County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Phillips County, Montana has an overall risk score of 34.5 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Phillips County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Phillips County as of the latest release is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 14 times per year, drawn from 272 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Phillips County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Montana profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events