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Indiana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Posey County, IN

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

19
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
46
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Posey County. Its 19 FEMA declarations are 11% above the Indiana county mean and exceed the count for 41% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 46%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 46%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
144
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 18129 · Posey County 19 declarations · rank 1894/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-MID 74%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,894
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW 46
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +11%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Indiana state profile

Posey County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Posey County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Posey County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1894 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Posey County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Posey County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Posey County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Posey County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Indiana avg46/10046.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Indiana county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Posey County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Posey County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 144 paid claims, totaling $2.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $16.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Posey County's 19 federal records stand 11% above the Indiana county mean of 17.1. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 46.3/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $16.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 136 years here.

61 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Posey County, IN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

19 declarations (1.1x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

14 of 19 declarations are major disasters (74%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Posey County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Posey County

Posey County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Posey County NRI risk profile FIPS 18129 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

74%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

46

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Posey County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 136 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 8.1 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 8.4 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Drought Relatively Low 5.8 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 7.9 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 90 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 52 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 13,642 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Flood 3
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Posey County's record, 53% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 73.7%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 5 26.3%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2011 1
2009 1
2008 2
2005 3
2002 2
1997 1
1996 2
1991 1
1990 1
1979 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3641 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4515 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3456 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1997 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND DR Severe Storm 2011-06-23
1828 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-03-05
1795 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-09-23
1766 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-06-08
3238 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1573 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-01-21
3197 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2005-01-11
1433 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2002-09-25
1418 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-06-13
1165 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-03-06
1125 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1996-07-03
1109 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Flood 1996-04-02
891 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-01-05
869 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-06-04
596 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-07-31
3028 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-02-02

Storm Events in Indiana

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Posey County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,886 16 73 $57.6M
Hail 1,643 0 0 $1.7M
Winter Weather 1,166 32 80 $2.5M
Flood 850 13 3 $16.0M
Flash Flood 648 14 5 $97.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

144

Total Paid

$2.3M

Avg Per Claim

$16.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 46.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$16.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Posey County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Posey County's closest FEMA peer: Kings County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Posey County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Posey County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Posey County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Posey County's NFIP claims file (144 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Posey County?
The most common disaster type in Posey County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Posey County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Indiana average?
FEMA lists 19 declaration records for Posey County. That is 11% above the Indiana county mean of 17.1. Its count is also 8% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Posey County received?
Posey County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 74% of all 19 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Posey County filed?
Posey County has 144 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.3M in payments, with an average of $16.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Posey County?
No. In Posey County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Posey County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Posey County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Posey County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Posey County, Indiana has an overall risk score of 46.3 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $16.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Posey County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Posey County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 136 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Posey County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Indiana profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events