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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Saratoga County, NY

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1988-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
73
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Saratoga County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 18% below the New York county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 27%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 27%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
580
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 36091 · Saratoga County 20 declarations · rank 1623/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 55%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,623
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 73
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -18%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New York state profile

Saratoga County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Saratoga County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Saratoga County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1623 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Saratoga County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Saratoga County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Saratoga County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Saratoga County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New York avg69/10073/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

What does Saratoga County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 580 claims and $8.1M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $14.0K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a New York county averages 24.5 federal declaration records, while Saratoga County has 20. The gap is 18% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 73.0/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Moderate (roughly $53.0M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Riverine Flooding carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.9 times per year here, based on 82 historical events on record.

56 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Saratoga County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

20 declarations (0.8x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

11 of 20 declarations are major disasters (55%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Saratoga County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Saratoga County

Saratoga County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 28 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 28 8-hazard mean
Saratoga County NRI risk profile FIPS 36091 · displayed-hazard mean 28/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

55%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

73

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Saratoga County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.9 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 25 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 26 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 646 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.9 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 18 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 20,481 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 5
Snowstorm 5
Hurricane 4
Biological 2
Other 2
Fire 1
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Saratoga County's record, 25% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 55.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 9 45.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 1
2020 3
2017 1
2013 1
2011 1
2009 2
2005 1
2004 1
2003 2
2001 2
1998 2
1996 1
1993 1
1988 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3565 HURRICANE HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4472 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-12-19
4322 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2017-07-12
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4020 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
1827 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-03-04
3299 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2008-12-18
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
3173 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 2003-02-25
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1222 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1998-06-16
1196 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1998-01-06
1095 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-24
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
801 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1987-11-10

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Saratoga County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

580

Total Paid

$8.1M

Avg Per Claim

$14.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 73.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$53.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

Worth noting for Saratoga County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Riverine Flooding carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Saratoga County's closest FEMA peer: Jeff Davis County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Saratoga County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Saratoga County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Saratoga County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Saratoga County's NFIP claims file (580 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Saratoga County?
The most common disaster type in Saratoga County is Severe Storm, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (5), Hurricane (4), Biological (2).
How does Saratoga County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
The typical New York county has 24.5 FEMA declaration records; Saratoga County has 20, or 18% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Saratoga County received?
Saratoga County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 55% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Saratoga County filed?
Saratoga County has 580 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $8.1M in payments, with an average of $14.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Saratoga County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Saratoga County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1988 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Saratoga County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Saratoga County, New York has an overall risk score of 73.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $53.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Saratoga County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Saratoga County is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at an average of 2.9 times per year, drawn from 82 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Saratoga County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New York profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events