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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

U.S. Virgin Islands · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

St. Croix Island, VI

29 FEMA disaster declarations (1974-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of null. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

29
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
Hurricane
Top hazard

How does St. Croix Island compare?

St. Croix Island vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

29 Top 15% higher than 85% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for St. Croix Island is led by Hurricane (about $42.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Coastal Flooding carries the highest National Risk Index rating (null). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does St. Croix Island's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,873 claims and $35.4M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $18.9K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. St. Croix Island's 29 federal records stand 4% above the U.S. Virgin Islands county mean of 28.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 29 entries for St. Croix Island, including 18 Major Disaster records, 4% above the U.S. Virgin Islands county mean. Across the 51-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 17 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

Even the county's top-rated hazard, Coastal Flooding, only reaches on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 4 years here.

68 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

St. Croix Island, VI · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
21/30

29 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

29 declarations (1.0x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

18 of 29 declarations are major disasters (62%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in St. Croix Island

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. U.S. Virgin Islands Avg

+4%

State avg: 28.0

vs. National Avg

+40%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 51 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - St. Croix Island

St. Croix Island NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 0, Flood 0, Hurricane 0, Tornado 0, Wildfire 0, Drought 0, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 0. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 0 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 0 8-hazard mean
St. Croix Island NRI risk profile FIPS 78010 · displayed-hazard mean 0/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

29

High volume

Major Disaster share

62%

Major-heavy

County FIPS

78010

VI state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike St. Croix Island?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Coastal Flooding roughly once every 4 years
Earthquake roughly once every 15 years
Hail roughly once every 602 years
Hurricane roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding an average of 1.4 times per year
Strong Wind roughly once every 622 years
Tornado roughly once every 602 years
Tsunami roughly once every 24 years
Volcanic Activity roughly once every 99 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 17
Severe Storm 3
Tropical Storm 2
Other 2
Biological 2
Drought 2
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on St. Croix Island's federal record, 59% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 62.1%

of all 29 declarations

Emergency - 11 37.9%

of all 29 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 2
2022 1
2020 3
2019 1
2017 4
2011 2
2010 1
2009 1
2005 1
2004 1
2000 2
1998 1
1996 1
1995 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1989 1
1985 1
1979 1
1977 1
1975 1
1974 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 29 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 29 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4841 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-25
3611 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-18
3603 ELEVATED LEVELS OF LEAD AND COPPER IN THE WATER SUPPLY EM Other 2023-11-18
3581 WATER SHORTAGE AND HEALTH IMPACT FROM UNPRECEDENTED SARGASSUM SEAGRASS INFLUX EM Other 2022-07-25
3531 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE EM Hurricane 2020-07-29
4513 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3433 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3418 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-08-28
4340 HURRICANE MARIA DR Hurricane 2017-09-20
3390 HURRICANE MARIA EM Hurricane 2017-09-18
4335 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-07
3383 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-05
1949 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, ROCKSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES ASSOC. WITH TS TOMAS DR Severe Storm 2010-11-24
1948 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2010-11-05
1939 HURRICANE EARL DR Hurricane 2010-09-28
1807 HURRICANE OMAR DR Hurricane 2008-10-29
1567 TROPICAL STORM JEANNE DR Hurricane 2004-10-07
1503 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2003-12-09
1309 HURRICANE LENNY MAJOR DECLARATION DR Hurricane 1999-11-23
3152 HURRICANE LENNY EM Hurricane 1999-11-17
Show 9 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1248 HURRICANE GEORGES - 18 SEP 98 DR Hurricane 1998-09-24
1126 HURRICANE BERTHA DR Hurricane 1996-07-11
1067 HURRICANE MARILYN DR Hurricane 1995-09-16
841 HURRICANE HUGO DR Hurricane 1989-09-20
729 TROPICAL STORM KLAUS DR Hurricane 1984-12-10
602 HURRICANE DAVID, TROPICAL STORM FREDERIC DR Hurricane 1979-09-16
3042 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-06-14
451 SEVERE STORMS, LANDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-11-14
3001 DROUGHT, LIVESTOCK LOSSES EM Drought 1974-07-22

Storm Events in U.S. Virgin Islands

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to St. Croix Island.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Drought 22 0 0 $0
Flash Flood 20 0 0 $524.6K
Excessive Heat 16 0 0 $0
Coastal Flood 10 0 0 $400
Tropical Storm 8 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,873

Total Paid

$35.4M

Avg Per Claim

$18.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Score: N/A/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$65.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Data Unavailable

Community Resilience

Data Unavailable

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Coastal Flooding
Earthquake
Hail
Hurricane
Riverine Flooding
Strong Wind
Tornado
Tsunami
Volcanic Activity

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Coastal Flooding

Coastal Flooding is modeled separately from riverine flooding because its driver is different: surge, tide and wave action rather than a watershed draining. It is also the hazard whose baseline is moving, since the same storm rides on a higher starting sea level than it used to.

For St. Croix Island the two measures on this page point the same way: Coastal Flooding is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard, and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

St. Croix Island's closest FEMA peer: Merrimack County, NH

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields for St. Croix Island. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for St. Croix Island - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

St. Croix Island's NFIP claims file (1,873 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in St. Croix Island?
The most common disaster type in St. Croix Island is Hurricane, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Tropical Storm (2), Other (2).
How does St. Croix Island's FEMA declaration record compare with the U.S. Virgin Islands average?
FEMA lists 29 declaration records for St. Croix Island. That is 4% above the U.S. Virgin Islands county mean of 28.0. Its count is also 40% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has St. Croix Island received?
St. Croix Island has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 62% of all 29 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has St. Croix Island filed?
St. Croix Island has 1,873 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $35.4M in payments, with an average of $18.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in St. Croix Island?
No. In St. Croix Island, Coastal Flooding has the highest National Risk Index rating (null), while Hurricane leads Expected Annual Loss at about $42.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in St. Croix Island?
The most active year for disaster declarations in St. Croix Island was 2017, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1974 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for St. Croix Island?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, St. Croix Island, U.S. Virgin Islands has an overall risk score of N/A out of 100 (null). The county's social vulnerability rating is Data Unavailable and community resilience is Data Unavailable. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $65.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to St. Croix Island?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in St. Croix Island is Coastal Flooding (risk rating: null). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (null) and Hail (null). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts coastal flooding here at roughly once every 4 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for St. Croix Island

St. Croix Island, VI has 29 federal declaration records, 4% more than the U.S. Virgin Islands county mean of 28; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 18 of 29 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. U.S. Virgin Islands overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the U.S. Virgin Islands mean and the totals for 85% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.