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Georgia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Baldwin County, GA

14 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

14
FEMA declarations
5
Major disasters
50
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Baldwin County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 14 declarations, more than 20% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the Georgia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 50%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 50%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
14
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
7
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 13009 · Baldwin County 14 declarations · rank 2542/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 14
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 36%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,542
  • PHOTO-FINISH Pulaski
  • NRI-LOW 50
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -19%

Nearest declaration peer: Pulaski, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Georgia state profile

Baldwin County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Baldwin County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Baldwin County carries 14 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2542 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Baldwin County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Baldwin County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Baldwin County

14 20th percentile higher than 20% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Baldwin County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Georgia avg40/10050/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Georgia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Baldwin County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $8.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Baldwin County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 50.0/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $13.8M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Heat Wave, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 6.8 modeled event-days per year here, based on 116 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 7 claims and $85.2K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Georgia county averages 17.4 federal declaration records, while Baldwin County has 14. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

49 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Baldwin County, GA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
10/30

14 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

14 declarations (0.8x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
9/25

5 of 14 declarations are major disasters (36%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Baldwin County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Baldwin County

Baldwin County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 31 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 31 8-hazard mean
Baldwin County NRI risk profile FIPS 13009 · displayed-hazard mean 31/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

14

Low volume

Major Disaster share

36%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

50

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Baldwin County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Relatively Low 6.8 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 47 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 522 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 18 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,598 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 61 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 6 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 5
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Storm 1
Severe Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Baldwin County's federal record, 36% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 9 64.3%

of all 14 declarations

Major Disaster - 5 35.7%

of all 14 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 2
2020 2
2019 1
2017 2
2014 2
2005 1
1998 1
1993 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 14 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 14 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3642 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4830 HURRICANE HELENE DR Hurricane 2024-09-30
3616 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
4501 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3464 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3406 HURRICANE MICHAEL EM Hurricane 2018-10-10
4338 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-15
3387 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-08
4165 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-03-06
3368 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2014-02-11
3218 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1209 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-03-11
3097 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-15
3044 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-20

Storm Events in Georgia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Baldwin County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,617 15 75 $65.4M
Drought 1,363 0 0 $0
Hail 1,257 0 0 $61.8M
Flash Flood 1,154 0 3 $29.3M
Tropical Storm 655 28 19 $855.3M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

7

Total Paid

$85.2K

Avg Per Claim

$12.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 50.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$13.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for Baldwin County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Baldwin County's closest FEMA peer: Clark County, NV

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Baldwin County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Baldwin County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Baldwin County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 14 FEMA declarations, Baldwin County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Baldwin County?
The most common disaster type in Baldwin County is Hurricane, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Baldwin County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Georgia average?
The typical Georgia county has 17.4 FEMA declaration records; Baldwin County has 14, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 32% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Baldwin County received?
Baldwin County has received 5 major disaster declarations, representing 36% of all 14 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Baldwin County filed?
Baldwin County has 7 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $85.2K in payments, with an average of $12.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Baldwin County?
No. In Baldwin County, Heat Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Baldwin County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Baldwin County was 2014, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Baldwin County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Baldwin County, Georgia has an overall risk score of 50.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $13.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Baldwin County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Baldwin County is Heat Wave (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Earthquake (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 6.8 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 116 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Baldwin County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Georgia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events