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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Bowman County, ND

13 FEMA disaster declarations (1978-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

13
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
2
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Bowman County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 13 declarations, more than 17% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 50% below the North Dakota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 2%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 2%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
13
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
10
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Bowman County compare?

Bowman County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

13 17th percentile higher than 17% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Bowman County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/1002.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Bowman County is led by Cold Wave (about $1.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Bowman County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Bowman County's 13 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within North Dakota, however, the count is 50% below the county mean. 10 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 5 times. The full 42-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits at the very bottom of FEMA's National Risk Index nationally, a composite score of 2.1/100 (rated Very Low). Projected losses are minimal, Expected Annual Loss reads Very Low (roughly $2.7M in annualized losses), and the county's exposure is shaped by a Very Low social-vulnerability profile and Relatively Moderate community resilience. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Winter Weather, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 17 times per year here, based on 326 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 10 claims and $11.8K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Dakota county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Bowman County has 13. The gap is 50% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

49 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Bowman County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

13 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Low
6/25

13 declarations (0.5x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

10 of 13 declarations are major disasters (77%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Bowman County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. North Dakota Avg

-50%

State avg: 25.9

vs. National Avg

-37%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 42 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Bowman County

Bowman County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 9 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 9 8-hazard mean
Bowman County NRI risk profile FIPS 38011 · displayed-hazard mean 9/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

13

Low volume

Major Disaster share

77%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

2

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Bowman County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 17 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,047 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Very Low 40 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 6 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 7,519 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 33 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 7 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 5
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Flood 2
Coastal Storm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Bowman County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 76.9%

of all 13 declarations

Emergency - 3 23.1%

of all 13 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2014 1
2010 1
2009 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 1
2001 1
1997 2
1978 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 13 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 13 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4154 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2013-10-31
1879 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-26
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
1713 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-07-17
1616 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD AND/OR NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Snowstorm 2005-11-21
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1353 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2000-12-29
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
554 STORMS, ICE JAMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-04-17
3061 BLIZZARD & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-02-16

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Bowman County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

10

Total Paid

$11.8K

Avg Per Claim

$1.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 2.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$2.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Bowman County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Bowman County's closest FEMA peer: Benton County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Bowman County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Bowman County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 13 FEMA declarations, Bowman County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Bowman County?
The most common disaster type in Bowman County is Severe Storm, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Snowstorm (2), Flood (2).
How does Bowman County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
The typical North Dakota county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Bowman County has 13, or 50% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 37% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Bowman County received?
Bowman County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 77% of all 13 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Bowman County filed?
Bowman County has 10 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $11.8K in payments, with an average of $1.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Bowman County?
No. In Bowman County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Bowman County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Bowman County was 1978, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1978 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Bowman County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Bowman County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 2.1 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $2.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Bowman County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Bowman County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Very Low) and Cold Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 17 times per year, drawn from 326 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Bowman County

Against a North Dakota county mean of 26 declarations, Bowman County, ND records 13, or 50% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (10 of 13) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. North Dakota overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 17% of recorded county totals, but its own North Dakota benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.