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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Bronx County, NY

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1971-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

20
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
98
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Bronx County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 18% below the New York county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 2%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 2%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,945
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 36005 · Bronx County 20 declarations · rank 1651/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 50%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,651
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-HIGH 98
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -18%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New York state profile

Bronx County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Bronx County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Bronx County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1651 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Bronx County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Bronx County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Bronx County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Bronx County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New York avg69/10098.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Bronx County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $100.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Bronx County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,945 claims and $27.4M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $14.1K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a New York county averages 24.5 federal declaration records, while Bronx County has 20. The gap is 18% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 98.3/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $212.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Heat Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 11 modeled event-days per year here, based on 153 historical events on record.

55 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Bronx County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

20 declarations (0.8x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

10 of 20 declarations are major disasters (50%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Bronx County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Bronx County

Bronx County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 70, Hurricane 70, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 51 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 51 8-hazard mean
Bronx County NRI risk profile FIPS 36005 · displayed-hazard mean 51/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

50%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

98

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Bronx County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Relatively High 11 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Very High roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Very High an average of 5.4 times per year
Winter Weather Very High an average of 10 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 2 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 532 years
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 6 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 31 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively High an average of 5.9 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 56 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 70 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 7,909 years
Drought No Rating 0.8 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Other 2
Flood 2
Fire 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Bronx County's federal record, 40% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 50.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 10 50.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 3
2020 2
2013 2
2011 3
2005 1
2004 1
2003 2
2001 2
1996 1
1993 1
1984 1
1971 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4615 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3572 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
3565 HURRICANE HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4085 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-10-30
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4020 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3328 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-26
1957 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-02-18
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
3184 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-27
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1083 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-12
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
702 COASTAL STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-04-17
311 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-13

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Bronx County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,945

Total Paid

$27.4M

Avg Per Claim

$14.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 98.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$212.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Relatively High
Cold Wave Very High
Strong Wind Very High
Winter Weather Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Coastal Flooding Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for Bronx County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Bronx County's closest FEMA peer: Howard County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Bronx County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Bronx County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Bronx County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Bronx County's NFIP claims file (1,945 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Bronx County?
The most common disaster type in Bronx County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Bronx County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
The typical New York county has 24.5 FEMA declaration records; Bronx County has 20, or 18% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Bronx County received?
Bronx County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 50% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Bronx County filed?
Bronx County has 1,945 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $27.4M in payments, with an average of $14.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Bronx County?
No. In Bronx County, Heat Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $100.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Bronx County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Bronx County was 2011, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1971 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Bronx County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Bronx County, New York has an overall risk score of 98.3 out of 100 (Relatively High). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $212.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Bronx County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Bronx County is Heat Wave (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Very High) and Strong Wind (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 11 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 153 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Bronx County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New York profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events