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Indiana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Carroll County, IN

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

16
FEMA declarations
9
Major disasters
30
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Carroll County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 16 declarations, more than 27% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 7% below the Indiana county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 30%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 30%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
501
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 18015 · Carroll County 16 declarations · rank 2222/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-MID 56%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,222
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -7%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Indiana state profile

Carroll County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Carroll County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Carroll County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2222 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Carroll County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Carroll County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Carroll County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Carroll County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Indiana avg46/10029.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Indiana county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Carroll County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Carroll County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 501 claims and $17.3M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $34.6K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a Indiana county averages 17.1 federal declaration records, while Carroll County has 16. The gap is 7% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 29.6/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $12.3M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very Low social-vulnerability score and Relatively High community-resilience score. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Drought, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 1.3 modeled event-days per year here, based on 49 historical events on record.

56 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Carroll County, IN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

16 declarations (0.9x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

9 of 16 declarations are major disasters (56%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Carroll County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Carroll County

Carroll County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Carroll County NRI risk profile FIPS 18015 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

56%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

30

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Carroll County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Low 1.3 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 13 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 625 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 4.5 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9.5 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 49 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 45 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 67,836 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 5
Snowstorm 4
Biological 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Severe Ice Storm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Carroll County's record, 31% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 9 56.3%

of all 16 declarations

Emergency - 7 43.8%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2018 1
2009 1
2008 1
2007 1
2005 2
2004 1
2003 1
2001 1
1999 1
1991 2
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3641 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4515 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3456 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4363 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2018-05-04
1832 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-04-22
1740 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-01-30
3274 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2007-03-12
3238 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1573 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-01-21
1520 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-06-03
1476 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-07-11
3162 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2001-01-24
3135 IN-WINTER STORM 12/23/98 EM Snowstorm 1999-01-15
899 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 1991-03-29
891 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-01-05
3028 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-02-02

Storm Events in Indiana

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Carroll County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,886 16 73 $57.6M
Hail 1,643 0 0 $1.7M
Winter Weather 1,166 32 80 $2.5M
Flood 850 13 3 $16.0M
Flash Flood 648 14 5 $97.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

501

Total Paid

$17.3M

Avg Per Claim

$34.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 29.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$12.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Carroll County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Carroll County's closest FEMA peer: Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Carroll County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Carroll County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Carroll County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Carroll County's NFIP claims file (501 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Carroll County?
The most common disaster type in Carroll County is Severe Storm, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (4), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does Carroll County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Indiana average?
The typical Indiana county has 17.1 FEMA declaration records; Carroll County has 16, or 7% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 23% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Carroll County received?
Carroll County has received 9 major disaster declarations, representing 56% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Carroll County filed?
Carroll County has 501 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $17.3M in payments, with an average of $34.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Carroll County?
No. In Carroll County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Carroll County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Carroll County was 1991, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Carroll County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Carroll County, Indiana has an overall risk score of 29.6 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $12.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Carroll County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Carroll County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Low) and Cold Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 1.3 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 49 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Carroll County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Indiana profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events