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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

New Hampshire · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Carroll County, NH

35 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

35
FEMA declarations
24
Major disasters
71
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Carroll County. Its 35 FEMA declarations are 10% above the New Hampshire county mean and exceed the count for 93% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 29%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 29%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
35
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
290
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Carroll County compare?

Carroll County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

35 Top 7% higher than 93% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Carroll County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Hampshire county average

0/100100/100New Hampshire avg70/10071/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Hampshire county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Carroll County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $22.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Carroll County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 290 paid claims, totaling $2.8M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $9.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Carroll County's 35 federal records stand 10% above the New Hampshire county mean of 31.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 71.0/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $31.0M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 22 times per year here, based on 421 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 35 entries for Carroll County, including 24 Major Disaster records, 10% above the New Hampshire county mean. Across the 51-year span, that works out to 0.7 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 13 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Carroll County, NH · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

35 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

35 declarations (1.1x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

24 of 35 declarations are major disasters (69%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Carroll County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. New Hampshire Avg

+10%

State avg: 31.9

vs. National Avg

+69%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.7

Over 51 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Carroll County

Carroll County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Carroll County NRI risk profile FIPS 33003 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

35

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

69%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

71

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Carroll County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 22 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 12 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.6 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 100 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 19 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 576 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 57,581 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Hail Very Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Drought No Rating 0.2 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Flood 6
Snowstorm 6
Hurricane 6
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Ice Storm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Carroll County's record, 37% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 24 68.6%

of all 35 declarations

Emergency - 11 31.4%

of all 35 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2023 2
2020 2
2018 2
2017 1
2013 3
2012 1
2011 2
2009 2
2008 2
2007 1
2006 1
2005 4
2004 1
1998 2
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1996 1
1993 1
1991 1
1990 1
1987 1
1974 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 35 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 35 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4799 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Winter Storm 2024-07-10
4761 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-02-27
4740 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2023-09-14
4693 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-03-15
4516 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3445 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4371 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2018-06-08
4355 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2018-01-02
4316 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2017-06-01
4105 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2013-03-19
4095 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-11-28
3360 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-30
3344 SEVERE STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-11-01
4026 TROPICAL STORM IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-03
3333 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-27
1812 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-02
3297 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2008-12-13
1787 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-09-05
1782 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADO, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-08-11
1695 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-27
Show 15 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1643 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-05-25
3258 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-19
3211 RECORD SNOW EM Snowstorm 2005-04-28
3207 RECORD AND/OR NEAR RECORD SNOW EM Snowstorm 2005-03-30
3208 RECORD SNOW EM Snowstorm 2005-03-30
3193 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2004-01-15
1231 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-07-02
1199 SEVERE ICE STORM, RAINS AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1998-01-15
1077 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL, HIGH WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-03
3101 BLIZZARDS, HIGH WINDS & RECORD SNOWFALL EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
917 HURRICANE BOB & SEVERE STORMS DR Hurricane 1991-09-09
876 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-08-29
789 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-04-16
411 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-01-21
399 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-11

Storm Events in New Hampshire

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Carroll County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 921 3 48 $1.9M
Heavy Snow 344 0 0 $0
Winter Storm 300 1 0 $0
Hail 278 0 0 $17.1K
Flash Flood 256 0 1 $26.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

290

Total Paid

$2.8M

Avg Per Claim

$9.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 71.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$31.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Avalanche Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Carroll County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Carroll County's closest FEMA peer: Adjuntas Municipio, PR

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Carroll County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Carroll County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Carroll County's NFIP claims file (290 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Carroll County?
The most common disaster type in Carroll County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Snowstorm (6), Hurricane (6).
How does Carroll County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Hampshire average?
FEMA lists 35 declaration records for Carroll County. That is 10% above the New Hampshire county mean of 31.9. Its count is also 69% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Carroll County received?
Carroll County has received 24 major disaster declarations, representing 69% of all 35 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Carroll County filed?
Carroll County has 290 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.8M in payments, with an average of $9.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Carroll County?
No. In Carroll County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $22.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Carroll County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Carroll County was 2005, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Carroll County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Carroll County, New Hampshire has an overall risk score of 71.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $31.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Carroll County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Carroll County is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Hurricane (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 22 times per year, drawn from 421 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Carroll County

Carroll County, NH has 35 federal declaration records, 10% more than the New Hampshire county mean of 32; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 24 of 35 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. New Hampshire overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the New Hampshire mean and the totals for 93% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.