Cascade County, Montana

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 30013 · population 84,327 · 2,698 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 1,305 records for Cascade County, Montana from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 820 days; the most frequent are high wind and dust records (389 records). 677 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the January 12, 2002 high wind, filed for the forecast zone Cascade, which covers the county: 2 deaths and 4 injuries. FEMA has issued 7 declarations naming the county since 1975, 5 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Storms and Flooding” on June 17, 2011.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
1,305on 820 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
47 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$7.2Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
12strongest F2
FEMA declarations
7latest 2020

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Cascade County most?

The most frequent records are high wind and dust records: 389 since 1996. The rank column places the county among Montana's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Cascade County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
High wind and dust storms 389 295 1996-2026 2 4 $505K 9 of 56
Severe thunderstorm wind 282 151 1955-2026 0 1 $1.2M 5 of 56
Hail 253 133 1955-2025 0 1 $8K 15 of 56
Winter storms 251 210 1996-2026 0 0 $107K 23 of 56
Heavy rain 37 23 2013-2023 0 0 – 1 of 56
Floods 33 25 1997-2025 2 0 $648K 22 of 56
Extreme cold 25 19 2013-2025 0 0 – 32 of 56
Tornadoes 12 10 1958-2000 0 0 $4.7M 16 of 56
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 11 10 2003-2023 0 0 – 12 of 56
Wildfires 8 8 2001-2025 0 0 – 15 of 56
Lightning 4 4 2004-2019 0 1 $27K 4 of 56

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Cascade County had?

NOAA records 12 tornadoes in Cascade County from 1958 to 2000, the strongest rated F2, with 0 deaths and 0 injuries recorded in the county. That is 16th of 56 Montana counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 13 tornadoes whose track touched Cascade County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 12: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Montana.

Every tornado record filed for Cascade County (12)
Every tornado recorded in Cascade County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2000-07-05 Belt, Cascade County F0 1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1998-07-03 Vaughn, Cascade County F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $51K
1988-07-05 Cascade County F1 0.2 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $25K step
1980-05-26 Cascade County F0 0 0 –
1978-07-03 Cascade County 0 0 $250K step
1978-07-03 Cascade County 0 0 $250K step
1978-07-03 Cascade County 0 0 $250K step
1977-06-01 Cascade County 0 0 $250K step
1975-06-30 Cascade County F2 0 0 –
1963-07-24 Cascade County 0 0 –
1961-06-29 Cascade County 0 0 $3K step
1958-06-04 Cascade County 0 0 $30 step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Cascade County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the May 13, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($2,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

The 12 most recent records kept for Cascade County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindGreat Falls Airport, Cascade County 60 kt wind 0 0 $2K
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindMalmstrom Afb, Cascade County 53 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindFife, Cascade County 56 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindGreat Falls Airport, Cascade County 55 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindBlythe, Cascade County 50 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindUlm, Cascade County 53 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindUlm, Cascade County 51 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-13 Thunderstorm WindCascade County 53 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-05-13 High WindLewis and Clark County and Cascade County · forecast zone Gates Of The Mountains 54 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-04-22 Heavy SnowCascade County and 3 more · forecast zone Little Belt And Highwood Mountains 0 0 –
2026-04-07 High WindCascade County · forecast zone Cascade County Below 5000ft 53 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-04-02 Heavy SnowCascade County · forecast zone Cascade County Below 5000ft 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Cascade County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2002-01-12 High WindCascade County · forecast zone Cascade A high wind event moved across north central Montana on the 12th. Sustained wind speeds of 40 to 50 mph were very common throughout the afternoon, and into the evening hours. Wind gusts were near 70 mph during the peak of the event. These winds started to increase in strength around 1100 MST and then they did not ... 60 kt wind 2 4 –
2023-05-17 FloodArmington, Cascade County BTCM8, Belt Creek near Monarch, crested at 6.79 feet on May 17th. Water levels resulted in strong currents that claimed the lives of two men visiting from Canada. The two men went into the fast moving water to retrieve their dog. The dog made it to shore, but the two men were pulled downstream and ultimately drowned. ... 2 0 $58K
2004-08-04 HailGreat Falls, Cascade County A severe thunderstorm dropped 1.5 inch diameter hail at Great Falls. The hail caused minor injury to a citizen on the northwest side of town. 1.50 in hail 0 1 –
2004-06-29 LightningGreat Falls, Cascade County A strong thunderstorm moved across the southern portion of the city of Great Falls during the early evening hours of the 29th. The storm produced numerous lightning strikes. One person was injured when lightning struck the ground and traveled to the metal machine he was operating. Lightning also struck a residence and ... 0 1 $16K
1990-07-02 Thunderstorm WindCascade County 0 1 –
The costliest records in Cascade County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1994-05-27 Thunderstorm WindNeihart, Cascade County 0 0 $995K
2003-06-19 Flash FloodSandcoulee, Cascade County 0 0 $401K
1999-10-31 High WindCascade County · forecast zone Cascade / Eastern Teton 0 0 $354K
2023-05-17 FloodArmington, Cascade County 2 0 $58K
1998-07-03 TornadoVaughn, Cascade County F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $51K
2026-03-08 High WindCascade County · forecast zone Cascade County Below 5000ft 63 kt wind 0 0 $20K
2004-06-29 LightningGreat Falls, Cascade County 0 1 $16K
2008-04-29 Thunderstorm WindFt Shaw, Cascade County 80 kt wind 0 0 $4K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: June 1, 1977 (tornado, Cascade County); July 3, 1978 (tornado, Cascade County); July 3, 1978 (tornado, Cascade County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Cascade County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Cascade County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
High wind and dust storms––––2559156149
Severe thunderstorm wind48192816677466
Hail68111638597045
Winter storms––––21708080
Heavy rain––––001621
Floods––––14226

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

Records by month in Cascade County. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 109 · Feb 80 · Mar 88 · Apr 66 · May 115 · Jun 213 · Jul 181 · Aug 128 · Sep 36 · Oct 69 · Nov 101 · Dec 119 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Cascade County

FEMA's register lists 7 declarations that include Cascade County: 5 major disasters, 2 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for biological (2) and flood (2).

Declarations including Cascade County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2020-03-31DR-4508BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3476BiologicalCovid-19
2011-06-17DR-1996Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2005-09-13EM-3253HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2000-08-30DR-1340FireWildfires
1981-05-27DR-640FloodSevere Storms & Flooding
1975-06-28DR-472FloodRains, Showmelt, Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Cascade County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 33 flood or flash flood records for Cascade County from 1997 to 2025, on 25 days, with 2 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Cascade County ranks 819th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $855,000 on 257 claims filed in Cascade County; the most in one year was 60 in 1981. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1978: 20 · 1979: 15 · 1980: 23 · 1981: 60 · 1982: 5 · 1986: 3 · 1989: 5 · 1991: 3 · 1995: 1 · 1996: 1 · 1997: 41 · 1998: 1 · 2005: 1 · 2006: 2 · 2008: 3 · 2009: 3 · 2010: 1 · 2011: 46 · 2013: 1 · 2014: 3 · 2015: 1 · 2016: 2 · 2017: 1 · 2018: 9 · 2019: 4 · 2021: 1 · 2023: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Cascade County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Cascade County Relatively Moderate overall, with an expected annual loss of $55.3 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Cascade County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Winter WeatherVery High$2.4M46 a year (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively High$23M8.1 a year (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively Moderate$25Mabout once a year (modeled)
AvalancheRelatively Moderate$457Konce in about 30 years (modeled)
LightningRelatively Moderate$604K25 a year (modeled)
Strong WindRelatively Moderate$829Kabout once a year (modeled)
WildfireRelatively Low$714Konce in about 1,443 years (modeled)
LandslideRelatively Low$8K1.5 a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Cascade County

  1. Lewis and Clark County 1,610
  2. Cascade County 1,305
  3. Teton County 1,225
  4. Chouteau County 768
  5. Judith Basin County 684
  6. Meagher County 392

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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