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Montana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Meagher County, MT

10 FEMA disaster declarations (1975-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

10
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
3
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Meagher County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 10 declarations, more than 10% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 9% below the Montana county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 3%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 3%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
10
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
6
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Meagher County compare?

Meagher County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

10 10th percentile higher than 10% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Meagher County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Montana county average

0/100100/100Montana avg33/1002.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Montana county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Meagher County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $1.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Meagher County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Meagher County's 10 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Montana, however, the count is 9% below the county mean. 7 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 3 times. The full 45-year record averages 0.2 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits at the very bottom of FEMA's National Risk Index nationally, a composite score of 2.8/100 (rated Very Low). Projected losses are minimal, Expected Annual Loss reads Very Low (roughly $2.2M in annualized losses), and the county's exposure is shaped by a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile and Very Low community resilience. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.7 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 6 claims and $78.1K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Montana county averages 11.0 federal declaration records, while Meagher County has 10. The gap is 9% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

49 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Meagher County, MT · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

10 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

10 declarations (0.9x state county average of 11)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

7 of 10 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Meagher County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Montana Avg

-9%

State avg: 11.0

vs. National Avg

-52%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.2

Over 45 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Meagher County

Meagher County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 11 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 11 8-hazard mean
Meagher County NRI risk profile FIPS 30059 · displayed-hazard mean 11/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

10

Low volume

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

3

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Meagher County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 2.7 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,541 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 42 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 5.4 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 214 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Drought Very Low 86 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 33 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.4 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Fire 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Meagher County's record, 30% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 7 70.0%

of all 10 declarations

Emergency - 2 20.0%

of all 10 declarations

Fire Management - 1 10.0%

of all 10 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2011 1
2005 1
2000 2
1997 1
1996 1
1981 1
1975 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 10 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 10 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4508 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-31
3476 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1996 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-06-17
3253 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1340 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2000-08-30
2314 MT - CENTRAL ZONE 3B FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2000-07-24
1183 SEVERE STORMS,ICE JAMS, SNOW MELT, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-07-25
1105 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND ICE JAMS DR Severe Storm 1996-02-23
640 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1981-05-27
472 RAINS, SHOWMELT, STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-06-28

Storm Events in Montana

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Meagher County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 3,735 1 2 $5.3M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,396 5 24 $15.1M
Hail 2,015 0 0 $4.1M
Winter Storm 1,502 13 18 $11.2M
Heavy Snow 796 5 3 $143.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

6

Total Paid

$78.1K

Avg Per Claim

$13.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 2.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$2.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Drought Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Hail Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Meagher County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Meagher County's closest FEMA peer: Lincoln County, CO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Meagher County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Meagher County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 10 FEMA declarations, Meagher County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Meagher County?
The most common disaster type in Meagher County is Severe Storm, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Fire (2), Flood (2).
How does Meagher County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Montana average?
The typical Montana county has 11.0 FEMA declaration records; Meagher County has 10, or 9% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 52% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Meagher County received?
Meagher County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 10 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Meagher County filed?
Meagher County has 6 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $78.1K in payments, with an average of $13.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Meagher County?
No. In Meagher County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Meagher County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Meagher County was 2000, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1975 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Meagher County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Meagher County, Montana has an overall risk score of 2.8 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $2.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Meagher County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Meagher County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Winter Weather (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 2.7 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Meagher County

Against a Montana county mean of 11 declarations, Meagher County, MT records 10, or 9% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (7 of 10) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Montana overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 10% of recorded county totals, but its own Montana benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.