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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Cavalier County, ND

1 FEMA disaster declarations (2022–2022), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

1
FEMA declarations
1
Major disasters
12
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Cavalier County ranks safer than 12% of U.S. counties for FEMA-modeled hazard risk, with more federally declared disasters than 0% of the 2,791 counties FEMA tracks. FEMA rates the county's overall risk as Very Low, based on 1 federal disaster declarations recorded since 2022, most often severe storm, 74% below the national county average of 4.

Safer than 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
1
FEMA declarations vs 4 national county avg
1
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index score reflects expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience; the declaration count above reflects only Presidentially declared disasters, not every hazard event.

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How does Cavalier County compare?

Cavalier County vs. every U.S. county

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

1 0th percentile higher than 0% of 2,791 counties

This county 0 30 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-07-25

Cavalier County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

0/100100/100North Dakota avg23/10011.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

How disaster-prone is Cavalier County?

Declaration frequency

Cavalier County, North Dakota has recorded 1 FEMA disaster declarations between 2022 and 2022, of which 1 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at - declarations per year, or roughly 64% below the North Dakota county average of 2.8 and 74% below the national county average of 3.8. The dominant disaster type on record is Severe Storm, with 1 of 1 declarations falling under this category.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 11.8/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.5M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Winter Weather carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate.

Flood exposure & the bottom line

Taken together, Cavalier County's federal disaster history is about as quiet as U.S. counties get, a very low relative risk level on this measure.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Very Low

vs. North Dakota Avg

-64%

State avg: 2.8

vs. National Avg

-74%

National avg: 3.8

Avg Per Year

-

-

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Cavalier County

Cavalier County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 0, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. Overall composite 13 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 13 composite
Cavalier County NRI risk profile FIPS 38019 · composite 13/100 (Low)
How to read this radar

The radar plots Cavalier County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.

FEMA Records

1

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

38019

ND state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 1 100.0%

of all 1 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2022 1

Disaster Declarations

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13

Storm Events in North Dakota

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,093 3 11 $84.1M
Hail 3,091 0 2 $131.5M
High Wind 1,553 2 2 $3.1M
Blizzard 1,238 4 4 $120.0M
Heavy Snow 1,119 0 3 $650.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 11.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in North Dakota

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Cavalier County, North Dakota had?
Cavalier County, North Dakota has received 1 FEMA disaster declarations from 2022 to 2022. Of these, 1 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Cavalier County?
The most common disaster type in Cavalier County is Severe Storm, with 1 declaration.
How does Cavalier County's disaster risk compare to the North Dakota average?
Cavalier County has 1 disaster declarations, which is 64% lower than the North Dakota county average of 2.8 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.8, it is 74% lower.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Cavalier County received?
Cavalier County has received 1 major disaster declaration, representing 100% of all 1 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in North Dakota?
The most common storm types in North Dakota include Thunderstorm Wind (3,093 events), Hail (3,091 events), High Wind (1,553 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Cavalier County?
Cavalier County has just 1 FEMA disaster declaration on record, placing it in the very-low-risk band, among the quieter counties in FEMA's declaration history.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Cavalier County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Cavalier County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 11.8 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Cavalier County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Cavalier County is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Low). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Cavalier County

Cavalier County, ND runs 64% below the North Dakota county average for federal disaster declarations (1 vs 3), a very low historical load overall.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is major disaster (1 of 1) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. North Dakota overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, or report a data error.