PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Charlottesville (city), VA

13 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

13
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
24
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Charlottesville (city) has a nationally busy FEMA history: 13 declarations, more than 17% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 36% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 24%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 24%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
13
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
44
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

How does Charlottesville (city) compare?

Charlottesville (city) vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

13 17th percentile higher than 17% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Charlottesville (city)'s FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10024.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Charlottesville (city) is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Charlottesville (city)'s hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Charlottesville (city)'s 13 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Virginia, however, the count is 36% below the county mean. 7 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Hurricane, appearing 5 times. The full 54-year record averages 0.2 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 24.3/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $10.2M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very Low social-vulnerability score and Very High community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.9 times per year here, based on 113 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 44 claims and $287.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while Charlottesville (city) has 13. The gap is 36% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

45 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Charlottesville (city), VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

13 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
8/25

13 declarations (0.6x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

7 of 13 declarations are major disasters (54%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Charlottesville (city)

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Virginia Avg

-36%

State avg: 20.4

vs. National Avg

-37%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.2

Over 54 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Charlottesville (city)

Charlottesville (city) NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Charlottesville (city) NRI risk profile FIPS 51540 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

13

Low volume

Major Disaster share

54%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

24

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Charlottesville (city)?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 2.9 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 556 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 14 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.9 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 41 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9.3 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 347 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 32 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 6,046 years
Drought No Rating 3.5 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 5
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Charlottesville (city)'s federal record, 38% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 7 53.8%

of all 13 declarations

Emergency - 6 46.2%

of all 13 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2012 1
2010 1
2005 1
2003 1
1996 2
1993 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 13 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 13 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4072 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2012-07-27
1874 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2010-02-16
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Charlottesville (city).

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

44

Total Paid

$287.3K

Avg Per Claim

$6.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 24.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Charlottesville (city): the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Charlottesville (city)'s closest FEMA peer: Hansford County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Charlottesville (city). Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Charlottesville (city) - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 13 FEMA declarations, Charlottesville (city) sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Charlottesville (city)?
The most common disaster type in Charlottesville (city) is Hurricane, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Charlottesville (city)'s FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; Charlottesville (city) has 13, or 36% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 37% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Charlottesville (city) received?
Charlottesville (city) has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 54% of all 13 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Charlottesville (city) filed?
Charlottesville (city) has 44 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $287.3K in payments, with an average of $6.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Charlottesville (city)?
No. In Charlottesville (city), Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Charlottesville (city)?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Charlottesville (city) was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Charlottesville (city)?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Charlottesville (city), Virginia has an overall risk score of 24.3 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Charlottesville (city)?
FEMA's NRI data points to Charlottesville (city) as of the latest release is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Hurricane (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 2.9 times per year, drawn from 113 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Charlottesville (city)

Against a Virginia county mean of 20 declarations, Charlottesville (city), VA records 13, or 36% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (7 of 13) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Virginia overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 17% of recorded county totals, but its own Virginia benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.