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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Cross County, AR

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
65
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Cross County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 24 declarations, more than 66% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 1% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 35%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 35%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
61
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Cross County compare?

Cross County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Cross County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10064.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

What does Cross County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 61 paid claims, totaling $2.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $36.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Cross County has 24. The gap is 1% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 64.9/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $19.6M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 109 years here.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Cross County's 24 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Arkansas, however, the count is 1% below the county mean. 16 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 11 times. The full 57-year record averages 0.4 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

64 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Cross County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

24 declarations (1.0x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

16 of 24 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Cross County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Arkansas Avg

-1%

State avg: 24.2

vs. National Avg

+16%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.4

Over 57 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Cross County

Cross County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 32 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 32 8-hazard mean
Cross County NRI risk profile FIPS 05037 · displayed-hazard mean 32/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

65

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Cross County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 109 years
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.1 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 8.1 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 22 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 59 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 6.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 58 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,635 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Flood 4
Severe Ice Storm 3
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Cross County's record, 46% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 66.7%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 8 33.3%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2023 1
2020 3
2017 1
2013 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 2
2008 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2001 2
1997 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1988 1
1978 1
1973 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4698 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-02
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4318 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-06-15
4124 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-06-25
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-03
1819 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-06
3301 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
1636 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2006-04-12
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1472 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-06-06
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1162 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-02
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
807 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-12-31
3054 TORNADOES EM Tornado 1978-01-20
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27
254 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-02-15

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Cross County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

61

Total Paid

$2.2M

Avg Per Claim

$36.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 64.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$19.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Cross County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Cross County's closest FEMA peer: Franklin County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Cross County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Cross County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Cross County's NFIP claims file (61 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Cross County?
The most common disaster type in Cross County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Severe Ice Storm (3), Hurricane (2).
How does Cross County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Cross County has 24, or 1% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 16% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Cross County received?
Cross County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Cross County filed?
Cross County has 61 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.2M in payments, with an average of $36.8K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Cross County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Cross County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Cross County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Cross County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 64.9 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $19.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Cross County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Cross County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Drought (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 109 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Cross County

Against a Arkansas county mean of 24 declarations, Cross County, AR records 24, or 1% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (16 of 24) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Arkansas overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 66% of recorded county totals, but its own Arkansas benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.