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South Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Deuel County, SD

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
7
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Deuel County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 26% above the South Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 7%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 7%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
9
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 46039 · Deuel County 24 declarations · rank 947/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 88%
  • RANK-LOWER #947
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +26%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · South Dakota state profile

Deuel County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Deuel County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Deuel County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 947 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Deuel County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Deuel County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Deuel County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Deuel County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100South Dakota avg27/1006.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the South Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Deuel County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $1.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Deuel County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 6.9/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.5M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Relatively High). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1,065 years here.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Deuel County's 24 federal records stand 26% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

73 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Deuel County, SD · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

24 declarations (1.3x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

21 of 24 declarations are major disasters (88%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Deuel County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Deuel County

Deuel County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 18 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 18 8-hazard mean
Deuel County NRI risk profile FIPS 46039 · displayed-hazard mean 18/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

88%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

7

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Deuel County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,065 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 23 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.2 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 13 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 5.8 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 11 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Heat Wave Very Low 2.8 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 4,950 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 34 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 9
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Coastal Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Deuel County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 87.5%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 3 12.5%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2022 1
2020 2
2019 2
2017 1
2013 1
2011 1
2010 2
2006 1
2005 1
2001 1
1997 2
1996 1
1995 1
1994 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1992 1
1986 1
1976 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4689 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORM DR Winter Storm 2023-02-27
4656 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-06-29
4527 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3475 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4463 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-09-23
4440 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-07
4298 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2017-02-01
4137 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-08-02
1984 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-13
1915 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-05-13
1887 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-03-10
1620 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2005-12-20
3234 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-10
1375 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND ICE JAMS DR Flood 2001-05-17
1173 SEVERE FLOODING, SEVER WINTER STORMS,HEAVY RAINS HIGH WINDS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1156 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-10
1075 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1996-01-05
1052 FLOODING DR Flood 1995-05-26
1031 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-06-21
999 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-07-19
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
948 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1992-07-02
764 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-05-03
3015 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
257 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in South Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Deuel County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,388 7 21 $10.7M
Hail 4,801 0 3 $4.5M
High Wind 2,277 0 1 $35.0K
Winter Weather 2,125 20 50 $133.0K
Flood 1,523 5 0 $196.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 6.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Deuel County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Deuel County's closest FEMA peer: Harrison County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Deuel County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Deuel County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Deuel County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 24 FEMA declarations, Deuel County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Deuel County?
The most common disaster type in Deuel County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (9), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Deuel County's FEMA declaration record compare with the South Dakota average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Deuel County. That is 26% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Deuel County received?
Deuel County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 88% of all 24 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Deuel County?
No. In Deuel County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Deuel County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Deuel County was 1997, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Deuel County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Deuel County, South Dakota has an overall risk score of 6.9 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Deuel County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Deuel County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 1,065 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Deuel County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · South Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events