PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Louisiana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

East Carroll Parish, LA

32 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

32
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
22
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

East Carroll Parish has a nationally busy FEMA history: 32 declarations, more than 89% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 23% below the Louisiana county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 22%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
32
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
116
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

How does East Carroll Parish compare?

East Carroll Parish vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

32 Top 11% higher than 89% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

East Carroll Parish's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Louisiana county average

0/100100/100Louisiana avg62/10021.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Louisiana county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for East Carroll Parish is led by Tornado (about $1.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does East Carroll Parish's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 116 paid claims, totaling $2.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $17.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Louisiana county averages 41.4 federal declaration records, while East Carroll Parish has 32. The gap is 23% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, East Carroll Parish's 32 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Louisiana, however, the count is 23% below the county mean. 17 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Hurricane, appearing 16 times. The full 53-year record averages 0.6 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 21.6/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.5M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very High social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 20 modeled event-days per year here, based on 546 historical events on record.

64 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

East Carroll Parish, LA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
23/30

32 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

32 declarations (0.8x state county average of 41)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

17 of 32 declarations are major disasters (53%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in East Carroll Parish

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Louisiana Avg

-23%

State avg: 41.4

vs. National Avg

+54%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 53 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - East Carroll Parish

East Carroll Parish NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
East Carroll Parish NRI risk profile FIPS 22035 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

32

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

53%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

22

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike East Carroll Parish?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 20 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 16 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 426 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.6 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 19 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 65 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 12 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 4,707 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 2.9 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 16
Flood 5
Severe Storm 3
Winter Storm 2
Coastal Storm 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on East Carroll Parish's federal record, 50% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 53.1%

of all 32 declarations

Emergency - 15 46.9%

of all 32 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2024 1
2021 8
2020 6
2019 1
2016 1
2013 1
2012 1
2011 2
2008 2
2005 4
1999 1
1991 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 32 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 32 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4900 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-18
3638 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3614 TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE EM Hurricane 2024-09-10
3574 TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS EM Coastal Storm 2021-09-13
4611 HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-08-29
3568 TROPICAL STORM IDA EM Hurricane 2021-08-27
4590 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-03-09
3556 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-18
3549 TROPICAL STORM ZETA EM Hurricane 2020-10-27
4570 HURRICANE DELTA DR Hurricane 2020-10-16
3547 HURRICANE DELTA EM Hurricane 2020-10-07
3543 HURRICANE SALLY EM Hurricane 2020-09-14
4559 HURRICANE LAURA DR Hurricane 2020-08-28
3538 TROPICAL STORMS LAURA AND MARCO EM Hurricane 2020-08-23
3527 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL EM Coastal Storm 2020-06-07
4484 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-24
3459 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4462 FLOODING DR Flood 2019-09-19
4263 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-03-13
4102 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-02-22
Show 12 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
4080 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-08-29
4015 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-08-18
3322 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-05-06
1786 HURRICANE GUSTAV DR Hurricane 2008-09-02
3289 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
1607 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3260 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
1603 HURRICANE KATRINA DR Hurricane 2005-08-29
3212 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-08-27
1264 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Storm 1999-01-21
904 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1991-05-03
374 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27

Storm Events in Louisiana

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to East Carroll Parish.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,274 12 29 $24.9M
Flash Flood 1,516 20 17 $3.9B
Hail 1,224 0 0 $49.3M
Excessive Heat 1,183 3 0 $0
Heat 1,106 5 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

116

Total Paid

$2.0M

Avg Per Claim

$17.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 21.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for East Carroll Parish: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

East Carroll Parish's closest FEMA peer: Worcester County, MA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for East Carroll Parish. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for East Carroll Parish - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

East Carroll Parish's NFIP claims file (116 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in East Carroll Parish?
The most common disaster type in East Carroll Parish is Hurricane, with 16 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Storm (3), Winter Storm (2).
How does East Carroll Parish's FEMA declaration record compare with the Louisiana average?
The typical Louisiana county has 41.4 FEMA declaration records; East Carroll Parish has 32, or 23% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 54% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has East Carroll Parish received?
East Carroll Parish has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 53% of all 32 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has East Carroll Parish filed?
East Carroll Parish has 116 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.0M in payments, with an average of $17.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in East Carroll Parish?
No. In East Carroll Parish, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Tornado leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in East Carroll Parish?
The most active year for disaster declarations in East Carroll Parish was 2021, with 8 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for East Carroll Parish?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, East Carroll Parish, Louisiana has an overall risk score of 21.6 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to East Carroll Parish?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for East Carroll Parish is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Tornado (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 20 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 546 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for East Carroll Parish

Against a Louisiana county mean of 41 declarations, East Carroll Parish, LA records 32, or 23% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (17 of 32) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Louisiana overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 89% of recorded county totals, but its own Louisiana benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.