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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Mississippi · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Warren County, MS

33 FEMA disaster declarations (1971-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

33
FEMA declarations
24
Major disasters
86
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Warren County. Its 33 FEMA declarations are 27% above the Mississippi county mean and exceed the count for 91% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 14%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 14%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
33
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2,688
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 28149 · Warren County 33 declarations · rank 284/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 33
  • MAJOR-MID 73%
  • RANK-UPPER #284
  • PHOTO-FINISH Nelson
  • NRI-MID 86
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +27%

Nearest declaration peer: Nelson, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Mississippi state profile

Warren County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Warren County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Warren County carries 33 FEMA declaration records, ranked 284 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Warren County ranks in the national declaration registry

Warren County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Warren County

33 Top 9% higher than 91% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Warren County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Mississippi avg51/10086.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Mississippi county average

What does Warren County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 2,688 claims and $35.6M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $13.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Warren County's 33 federal records stand 27% above the Mississippi county mean of 25.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 86.3/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $42.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 14 modeled event-days per year here, based on 462 historical events on record.

78 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Warren County, MS · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
24/30

33 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

33 declarations (1.3x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

24 of 33 declarations are major disasters (73%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Warren County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Warren County

Warren County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 92, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 43 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 43 8-hazard mean
Warren County NRI risk profile FIPS 28149 · displayed-hazard mean 43/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

33

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

73%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

86

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Warren County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Very High 14 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 4 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 3.5 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 19 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1 time per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 69 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 530 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 13 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 4,740 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 14
Hurricane 7
Flood 4
Winter Storm 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Warren County's record, 42% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 24 72.7%

of all 33 declarations

Emergency - 9 27.3%

of all 33 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2023 1
2022 1
2021 3
2020 3
2019 2
2014 1
2012 1
2011 2
2010 1
2008 2
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
1999 1
Show 8 earlier declaration years
1997 1
1991 2
1983 1
1979 2
1977 1
1975 1
1973 1
1971 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 33 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 33 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4899 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3640 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4727 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES. DR Severe Storm 2023-08-12
4626 HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-10-22
3569 HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-08-28
4598 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-05-04
3548 HURRICANE DELTA EM Hurricane 2020-10-08
4538 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2020-04-23
4528 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3474 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4450 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-06-20
4429 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-04-23
4175 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-04-30
4081 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-08-29
1983 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-11
3320 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-05-04
1906 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-04-29
3291 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
1753 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-05-08
1604 HURRICANE KATRINA DR Hurricane 2005-08-29
Show 13 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1550 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1459 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODS DR Severe Storm 2003-04-24
1265 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, ICE AND FREEZING RAIN DR Severe Ice Storm 1999-01-25
1178 FLOODING DR Flood 1997-06-13
906 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1991-05-17
888 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1991-01-03
683 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1983-06-01
577 STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODS DR Severe Storm 1979-04-16
3077 STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODS EM Severe Storm 1979-04-14
3032 DROUGHT & FREEZING EM Snowstorm 1977-02-22
3010 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING EM Flood 1975-04-04
368 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-03-27
302 STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1971-02-22

Storm Events in Mississippi

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Warren County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,557 17 60 $93.9M
Flash Flood 1,551 6 9 $83.6M
Hail 1,411 0 0 $90.1M
Heat 1,340 3 0 $0
Tornado 1,097 68 610 $562.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2,688

Total Paid

$35.6M

Avg Per Claim

$13.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 86.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$42.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Very High
Hail Relatively High
Tornado Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Warren County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Warren County's closest FEMA peer: Mendocino County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Warren County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Warren County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Warren County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Warren County's NFIP claims file (2,688 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Warren County?
The most common disaster type in Warren County is Severe Storm, with 14 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (7), Flood (4), Winter Storm (2).
How does Warren County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Mississippi average?
FEMA lists 33 declaration records for Warren County. That is 27% above the Mississippi county mean of 25.9. Its count is also 59% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Warren County received?
Warren County has received 24 major disaster declarations, representing 73% of all 33 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Warren County filed?
Warren County has 2,688 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $35.6M in payments, with an average of $13.2K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Warren County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Warren County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1971 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Warren County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Warren County, Mississippi has an overall risk score of 86.3 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $42.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Warren County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Warren County is Drought (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Tornado (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 14 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 462 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Warren County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Mississippi profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events