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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

El Paso County, TX

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1975-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

16
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
95
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

El Paso County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 16 declarations, more than 27% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 23% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 5%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 5%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
780
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48141 · El Paso County 16 declarations · rank 2363/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 44%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,363
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-HIGH 95
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -23%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

El Paso County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among El Paso County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows El Paso County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2363 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

El Paso County versus quieter counties in this dataset

El Paso County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · El Paso County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

El Paso County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10095.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for El Paso County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $69.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very Low), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does El Paso County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 780 claims and $6.3M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $8.1K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while El Paso County has 16. The gap is 23% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 95.5/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $120.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.4 times per year here, based on 46 historical events on record.

51 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

El Paso County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

16 declarations (0.8x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

7 of 16 declarations are major disasters (44%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in El Paso County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - El Paso County

El Paso County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 70, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 70, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 51 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 51 8-hazard mean
El Paso County NRI risk profile FIPS 48141 · displayed-hazard mean 51/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

44%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

95

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike El Paso County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Very High an average of 2.4 times per year
Lightning Very High an average of 49 times per year
Hail Very High roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively High 7.3 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 4 times per year
Drought Relatively High 40 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively High roughly once every 3 years
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 766 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 5 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 12,860 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 67 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 174 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 30 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 5
Fire 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Other 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on El Paso County's federal record, 31% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 9 56.3%

of all 16 declarations

Major Disaster - 7 43.8%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2008 3
2006 2
2005 3
2003 1
1999 1
1998 1
1975 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1658 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-08-15
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3171 LOSS OF THE SPACE SHUTTLE COLUMBIA EM Other 2003-02-01
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
454 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-11-30

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to El Paso County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

780

Total Paid

$6.3M

Avg Per Claim

$8.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 95.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$120.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Very High
Lightning Very High
Hail Very High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for El Paso County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

El Paso County's closest FEMA peer: Gwinnett County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for El Paso County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for El Paso County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for El Paso County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

El Paso County's NFIP claims file (780 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in El Paso County?
The most common disaster type in El Paso County is Hurricane, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (3), Severe Ice Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does El Paso County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; El Paso County has 16, or 23% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 23% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has El Paso County received?
El Paso County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 44% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has El Paso County filed?
El Paso County has 780 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $6.3M in payments, with an average of $8.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in El Paso County?
No. In El Paso County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $69.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in El Paso County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in El Paso County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1975 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for El Paso County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, El Paso County, Texas has an overall risk score of 95.5 out of 100 (Relatively High). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $120.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to El Paso County?
FEMA's NRI data points to El Paso County is Winter Weather (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Very High) and Hail (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 2.4 times per year, drawn from 46 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for El Paso County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events