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Michigan · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Emmet County, MI

7 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

7
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
38
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Emmet County: 7 FEMA declaration records are 30% below the Michigan county mean, even though the count is higher than 4% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 38%.

Safer than 38%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
7
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
7
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 26047 · Emmet County 7 declarations · rank 3137/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-MODERATE · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 7
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 43%
  • RANK-LOWER #3,137
  • PHOTO-FINISH Clinton
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-MODERATE Moderate
  • TYPE-LEAD Biological
  • VS-ST-BELOW -30%

Nearest declaration peer: Clinton, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Michigan state profile

Emmet County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Emmet County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Emmet County carries 7 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3137 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Emmet County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Emmet County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Emmet County

7 4th percentile higher than 4% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Emmet County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Michigan avg50/10038.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Michigan county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Emmet County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Cold Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Emmet County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 38.1/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $12.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Cold Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2 times per year here, based on 37 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 7 claims and $13.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Michigan county averages 10.0 federal declaration records, while Emmet County has 7. The gap is 30% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

40 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Emmet County, MI · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
5/30

7 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

7 declarations (0.7x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

3 of 7 declarations are major disasters (43%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Emmet County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Emmet County

Emmet County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Emmet County NRI risk profile FIPS 26047 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

7

Low volume

Major Disaster share

43%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

38

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Emmet County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 22 times per year
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 68 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 13 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 30 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0.7 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 26,730 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 29 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 5,814 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Flood 1
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Emmet County's record, 29% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Emmet County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 4 57.1%

of all 7 declarations

Major Disaster - 3 42.9%

of all 7 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2020 2
2005 1
1978 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 7 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 7 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4925 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2026-06-30
4880 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2025-07-22
4494 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-27
3455 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3225 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
3057 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-27
3035 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-03-02

Storm Events in Michigan

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Emmet County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,010 10 18 $173.8M
Winter Storm 1,486 3 11 $41.8M
Winter Weather 1,254 21 38 $892.0K
Hail 962 0 0 $77.1M
High Wind 389 3 2 $668.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

7

Total Paid

$13.6K

Avg Per Claim

$1.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 38.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$12.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Emmet County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Emmet County's closest FEMA peer: Lea County, NM

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Emmet County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Emmet County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Emmet County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Cold Wave as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Emmet County?
The most common disaster type in Emmet County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (1), Severe Ice Storm (1), Hurricane (1).
How does Emmet County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Michigan average?
The typical Michigan county has 10.0 FEMA declaration records; Emmet County has 7, or 30% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 66% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Emmet County received?
Emmet County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 43% of all 7 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Emmet County filed?
Emmet County has 7 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $13.6K in payments, with an average of $1.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Emmet County?
No. In Emmet County, Cold Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Emmet County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Emmet County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Emmet County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Emmet County, Michigan has an overall risk score of 38.1 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $12.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Emmet County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Emmet County is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 2 times per year, drawn from 37 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Emmet County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Michigan profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events