Fredericksburg (city), Virginia

City storm and disaster record · FIPS 51630 · population 27,967 · 10 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 113 records for Fredericksburg (city), Virginia from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 83 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (48 records). The deadliest single record is the June 3, 2009 lightning: 1 death. FEMA has issued 19 declarations naming the county since 1972, 17 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 23, 2026.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
113on 83 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
11 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$2.6Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
2strongest F1
FEMA declarations
19latest 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Fredericksburg (city) most?

The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 48 since 1979. 60% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1979 fell in June and July. Census land area gives no figure for Fredericksburg (city) under this code, so it carries no per-area rank.

Fredericksburg (city): records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Severe thunderstorm wind 48 41 1979-2026 0 0 $2.5M –
Hail 19 10 1988-2023 0 0 – –
Floods 17 15 1999-2023 0 0 $44K –
Winter storms 9 8 2024-2026 0 0 – –
Lightning 7 7 1998-2009 1 1 $32K –
Heavy rain 6 6 2000-2004 0 0 – –
Extreme cold 4 4 2025-2026 0 0 – –
Tornadoes 2 2 1999-2004 0 0 $35K –
Heat 1 1 2024-2024 0 0 – –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Fredericksburg (city) had?

NOAA records 2 tornadoes in Fredericksburg (city) from 1999 to 2004, the strongest rated F1, with 0 deaths and 0 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 2 tornadoes whose track touched Fredericksburg (city) since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 2, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Virginia.

Every tornado record filed for Fredericksburg (city) (2)
Every tornado recorded in Fredericksburg (city), newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2004-09-17 Fredericksburg (city) F0 0.5 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
1999-07-24 Fredericksburg (city) F1 2 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $35K

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Fredericksburg (city)?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 22, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($3,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

The 12 most recent records kept for Fredericksburg (city)
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-22 Thunderstorm WindFredericksburg (city) 52 kt wind 0 0 $3K
2026-06-12 Thunderstorm WindFredericksburg (city) 61 kt wind 0 0 $25K
2026-06-12 Thunderstorm WindFredericksburg (city) 61 kt wind 0 0 $25K
2026-02-07 Cold/Wind ChillSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2026-02-01 Cold/Wind ChillSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2026-01-24 Winter StormSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2026-01-23 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2025-12-05 Winter WeatherSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2025-12-05 Winter WeatherSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2025-02-19 Winter WeatherSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2025-02-12 Winter WeatherSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –
2025-02-11 Winter StormSpotsylvania County and Fredericksburg (city) · forecast zone Spotsylvania 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Fredericksburg (city), most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2009-06-03 LightningFredericksburg Airport, Fredericksburg (city) Lightning struck two boys playing baseball during a thunderstorm at Lee Hill Park in Fredericksburg, Virginia. One boy was pronounced dead at Mary Washington Hospital in Fredericksburg and the other boy was in critical condition. 1 0 –
2001-07-01 LightningFredericksburg (city) A man was injured by lightning after a bolt struck his home. Other homes across the county were damaged by lightning. 0 1 –
The costliest records in Fredericksburg (city) since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2022-06-22 Thunderstorm WindFredericksburg (city) 70 kt wind 0 0 $2.0M
1999-07-24 TornadoFredericksburg (city) F1 2 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $35K
2026-06-12 Thunderstorm WindFredericksburg (city) 61 kt wind 0 0 $25K
2008-05-08 Thunderstorm WindFredericksburg Airport, Fredericksburg (city) 100 kt wind 0 0 $14K

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Fredericksburg (city)'s most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Fredericksburg (city): records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Severe thunderstorm wind00122161611
Hail000101611
Floods––––1583

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

60% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1979 fell in June and July. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 5 · Feb 7 · Mar 6 · Apr 9 · May 7 · Jun 38 · Jul 18 · Aug 11 · Sep 5 · Oct 0 · Nov 1 · Dec 6 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Fredericksburg (city)

FEMA's register lists 19 declarations that include Fredericksburg (city): 13 major disasters, 6 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for snowstorm (6) and hurricane (5).

Declarations including Fredericksburg (city), newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2026-01-23EM-3631Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
2022-03-11DR-4644Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2020-04-02DR-4512BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3448BiologicalCovid-19
2018-09-11EM-3403HurricaneHurricane Florence
2016-03-07DR-4262SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2012-10-29EM-3359HurricaneHurricane Sandy
2012-07-27DR-4072Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
2011-11-04DR-4042EarthquakeEarthquake
2010-04-27DR-1905SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and Snowstorms
2010-02-16DR-1874SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2005-09-12EM-3240HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2003-09-18DR-1491HurricaneHurricane Isabel
2000-02-28DR-1318Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
1996-09-06DR-1135HurricaneHurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm Cond
1996-01-13DR-1086SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)
1994-03-10DR-1014SnowstormSevere Ice Storms, Flooding
1993-03-25EM-3112SnowstormSevere Winter Storm
1972-06-23DR-339FloodTropical Storm Agnes

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Fredericksburg (city) had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 17 flood or flash flood records for Fredericksburg (city) from 1999 to 2023, on 15 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Fredericksburg (city) ranks 1723rd of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $259,000 on 44 claims filed in Fredericksburg (city); the most in one year was 6 in 1979. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1979: 6 · 1984: 2 · 1985: 1 · 1989: 1 · 1993: 1 · 1995: 6 · 1996: 6 · 1998: 3 · 1999: 2 · 2000: 2 · 2003: 1 · 2011: 2 · 2014: 2 · 2018: 5 · 2020: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2024: 2; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Fredericksburg (city)

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Fredericksburg (city) Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $6.8 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Fredericksburg (city) (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
LightningRelatively Moderate$543K40 a year (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Low$343K5.9 modeled event-days a year
Strong WindRelatively Low$573K5 a year (modeled)
HurricaneVery Low$252Konce in about 12 years (modeled)
EarthquakeVery Low$629Konce in about 640 years (modeled)
TornadoVery Low$404Konce in about 143 years (modeled)
HailVery Low$116K3.5 a year (modeled)
Riverine FloodingVery Low$3.9Mabout once a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Fredericksburg (city)

  1. Spotsylvania County 799
  2. Stafford County 636
  3. Fredericksburg (city) 113

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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