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Florida · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Gilchrist County, FL

37 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

37
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
28
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Gilchrist County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 37 declarations, more than 95% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 8% below the Florida county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 28%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 28%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
37
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
212
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 12041 · Gilchrist County 37 declarations · rank 172/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 37
  • MAJOR-MID 51%
  • RANK-UPPER #172
  • PHOTO-FINISH Washita
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -8%

Nearest declaration peer: Washita, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Florida state profile

Gilchrist County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Gilchrist County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Gilchrist County carries 37 FEMA declaration records, ranked 172 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Gilchrist County ranks in the national declaration registry

Gilchrist County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Gilchrist County

37 Top 5% higher than 95% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Gilchrist County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Florida avg76/10028/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Florida county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Gilchrist County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Gilchrist County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 212 paid claims, totaling $2.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $10.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Florida county averages 40.4 federal declaration records, while Gilchrist County has 37. The gap is 8% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 28.0/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.8M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hurricane carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 4 years here, based on 62 historical events on record.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Gilchrist County, FL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
27/30

37 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

37 declarations (0.9x state county average of 40)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

19 of 37 declarations are major disasters (51%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Gilchrist County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Gilchrist County

Gilchrist County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Gilchrist County NRI risk profile FIPS 12041 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

37

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

51%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

28

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Gilchrist County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 404 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 84 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 3.4 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Drought Relatively Low 17 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,214 years
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 23 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 19 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 18
Tropical Storm 5
Severe Storm 5
Fire 4
Biological 2
Freezing 1
Tornado 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Gilchrist County's federal record, 49% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 51.4%

of all 37 declarations

Emergency - 16 43.2%

of all 37 declarations

Fire Management - 2 5.4%

of all 37 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2024 4
2023 4
2022 2
2021 3
2020 2
2019 2
2017 2
2016 1
2012 1
2009 1
2008 1
2005 1
2004 3
2001 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
2000 1
1999 2
1998 2
1993 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 37 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 37 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4834 HURRICANE MILTON DR Hurricane 2024-10-11
3622 HURRICANE MILTON EM Hurricane 2024-10-07
4828 HURRICANE HELENE DR Hurricane 2024-09-28
3615 TROPICAL STORM HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-24
4806 HURRICANE DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-08-10
3605 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-03
4734 HURRICANE IDALIA DR Hurricane 2023-08-31
3596 TROPICAL STORM IDALIA EM Tropical Storm 2023-08-28
4680 HURRICANE NICOLE DR Hurricane 2022-12-13
3587 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE EM Tropical Storm 2022-11-08
4673 HURRICANE IAN DR Hurricane 2022-09-29
3584 TROPICAL STORM IAN EM Hurricane 2022-09-24
3562 TROPICAL STORM FRED EM Hurricane 2021-08-16
3561 TROPICAL STORM ELSA EM Severe Storm 2021-07-04
3551 HURRICANE ETA EM Hurricane 2020-11-11
4486 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3432 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3419 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-08-30
3405 HURRICANE MICHAEL EM Hurricane 2018-10-09
4337 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-10
Show 17 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3385 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-05
4280 HURRICANE HERMINE DR Hurricane 2016-09-28
4068 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY DR Severe Storm 2012-07-03
1831 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2009-04-21
3288 TROPICAL STORM FAY EM Severe Storm 2008-08-21
3220 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1561 HURRICANE JEANNE DR Hurricane 2004-09-26
1545 HURRICANE FRANCES DR Hurricane 2004-09-04
1539 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE AND HURRICANE CHARLEY DR Hurricane 2004-08-13
1359 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 2001-02-05
2303 FL, WACCASASSA FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2000-05-29
3139 FL-FIRES 04/15/99 EM Fire 1999-04-27
2252 FL-FIRES 04/13/99 FM Fire 1999-04-15
1223 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD DR Fire 1998-06-18
1195 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-06
982 TORNADOES, FLOODING, HIGH WINDS & TIDES, FREEZING DR Tornado 1993-03-13
387 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-26

Storm Events in Florida

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Gilchrist County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,243 17 45 $24.8M
Hail 1,012 0 0 $564.6K
Heavy Rain 865 2 3 $200.0K
Flood 826 9 0 $2.0B
Tropical Storm 767 92 6 $4.9B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

212

Total Paid

$2.2M

Avg Per Claim

$10.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 28.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Hail Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Gilchrist County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Gilchrist County's closest FEMA peer: Travis County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Gilchrist County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Gilchrist County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Gilchrist County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Gilchrist County's NFIP claims file (212 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Gilchrist County?
The most common disaster type in Gilchrist County is Hurricane, with 18 declarations. Other disaster types include Tropical Storm (5), Severe Storm (5), Fire (4).
How does Gilchrist County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Florida average?
The typical Florida county has 40.4 FEMA declaration records; Gilchrist County has 37, or 8% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 79% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Gilchrist County received?
Gilchrist County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 51% of all 37 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Gilchrist County filed?
Gilchrist County has 212 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.2M in payments, with an average of $10.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Gilchrist County?
No. In Gilchrist County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Gilchrist County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Gilchrist County was 2023, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Gilchrist County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Gilchrist County, Florida has an overall risk score of 28.0 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Gilchrist County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Gilchrist County as of the latest release is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 4 years, drawn from 62 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Gilchrist County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Florida profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events