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Michigan · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Gogebic County, MI

9 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

9
FEMA declarations
5
Major disasters
26
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Gogebic County: 9 FEMA declaration records are 10% below the Michigan county mean, even though the count is higher than 8% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 26%.

Safer than 26%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
9
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
10
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Gogebic County compare?

Gogebic County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

9 8th percentile higher than 8% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Gogebic County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Michigan county average

0/100100/100Michigan avg50/10025.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Michigan county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Gogebic County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Gogebic County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

The state comparison is the clearest context for Gogebic County's moderate federal record. Its 9 declarations sit 10% below the Michigan county mean, with 5 Major Disaster entries among them. 3 records concern Flood, the file's most frequent incident type. Spread across 43 years, the registry rate is 0.2 per year. FEMA reports authorized programs separately from the DR, EM, and FM codes.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 25.6/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.7M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very High social-vulnerability score and Relatively High community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Lightning stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 26 times per year here, based on 40,630 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 10 claims and $38.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Michigan county averages 10.0 federal declaration records, while Gogebic County has 9. The gap is 10% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

47 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Gogebic County, MI · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

9 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

9 declarations (0.9x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

5 of 9 declarations are major disasters (56%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Gogebic County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

Moderate

vs. Michigan Avg

-10%

State avg: 10.0

vs. National Avg

-57%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.2

Over 43 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Gogebic County

Gogebic County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 12 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 12 8-hazard mean
Gogebic County NRI risk profile FIPS 26053 · displayed-hazard mean 12/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

9

Low volume

Major Disaster share

56%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

26

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Gogebic County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Lightning Relatively High an average of 26 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 33 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 6.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 50 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 38,887 years
Drought Very Low 2.6 modeled event-days per year
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 83 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.3 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 6,897 years
Hurricane No Rating roughly once every 3,384 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Freezing 1
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Gogebic County's record, 33% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 5 55.6%

of all 9 declarations

Emergency - 4 44.4%

of all 9 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2005 1
2002 1
1994 1
1978 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 9 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 9 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4494 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-27
3455 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4381 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2018-08-02
4121 FLOODING DR Flood 2013-06-18
3225 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
1413 FLOODING DR Flood 2002-05-06
1028 SEVERE DEEP FREEZE DR Freezing 1994-05-10
3057 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-27
3035 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-03-02

Storm Events in Michigan

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Gogebic County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,010 10 18 $173.8M
Winter Storm 1,486 3 11 $41.8M
Winter Weather 1,254 21 38 $892.0K
Hail 962 0 0 $77.1M
High Wind 389 3 2 $668.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

10

Total Paid

$38.3K

Avg Per Claim

$3.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 25.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning

Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.

Worth noting for Gogebic County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Lightning carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Gogebic County's closest FEMA peer: Sawyer County, WI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Gogebic County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Gogebic County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Lightning as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively High); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Gogebic County?
The most common disaster type in Gogebic County is Flood, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Hurricane (1), Freezing (1).
How does Gogebic County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Michigan average?
The typical Michigan county has 10.0 FEMA declaration records; Gogebic County has 9, or 10% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 57% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Gogebic County received?
Gogebic County has received 5 major disaster declarations, representing 56% of all 9 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Gogebic County filed?
Gogebic County has 10 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $38.3K in payments, with an average of $3.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Gogebic County?
No. In Gogebic County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Gogebic County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Gogebic County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Gogebic County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Gogebic County, Michigan has an overall risk score of 25.6 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Gogebic County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Gogebic County is Lightning (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 26 times per year, drawn from 40,630 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Gogebic County

Against a Michigan county mean of 10 declarations, Gogebic County, MI records 9, or 10% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as moderate activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (5 of 9) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Michigan overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 8% of recorded county totals, but its own Michigan benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.