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Iowa · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Grundy County, IA

15 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

15
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
13
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Grundy County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 15 declarations, more than 23% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 22% below the Iowa county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 13%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 13%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
15
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
13
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 19075 · Grundy County 15 declarations · rank 2417/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 15
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 87%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,417
  • PHOTO-FINISH Polk
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -22%

Nearest declaration peer: Polk, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Iowa state profile

Grundy County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Grundy County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Grundy County carries 15 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2417 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Grundy County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Grundy County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Grundy County

15 23rd percentile higher than 23% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Grundy County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Iowa avg40/10013.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Iowa county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Grundy County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Grundy County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 13.1/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $9.5M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Very High). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 13 modeled event-days per year here, based on 406 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 13 claims and $31.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Iowa county averages 19.3 federal declaration records, while Grundy County has 15. The gap is 22% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

53 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Grundy County, IA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
11/30

15 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

15 declarations (0.8x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

13 of 15 declarations are major disasters (87%)

Hazard Diversity High
10/20

4 different disaster types declared in Grundy County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Grundy County

Grundy County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Grundy County NRI risk profile FIPS 19075 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

15

Below median

Major Disaster share

87%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

13

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Grundy County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 13 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 5.6 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 18 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5.9 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 8.9 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 21 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,786 years
Heat Wave Very Low 4 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 4,139 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 43 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Flood 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Grundy County's record, 53% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 86.7%

of all 15 declarations

Emergency - 2 13.3%

of all 15 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 3
2014 1
2013 2
2008 1
2007 1
2005 1
2004 1
2001 1
1998 1
1993 1
1974 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 15 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 15 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4557 SEVERE STORMS DR Severe Storm 2020-08-17
4483 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-23
3480 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4187 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-08-05
4135 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-31
4126 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-02
1763 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-05-27
1688 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-03-14
3239 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1518 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-05-25
1367 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-05-02
1230 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Flood 1998-07-02
996 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
443 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-24
269 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-14

Storm Events in Iowa

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Grundy County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,928 6 227 $40.5M
Hail 3,736 0 0 $4.3M
Heavy Rain 2,394 0 0 $292.0K
Drought 1,556 0 0 $0
Winter Storm 1,543 3 4 $2.8M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

13

Total Paid

$31.4K

Avg Per Claim

$2.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 13.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Grundy County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Grundy County's closest FEMA peer: Rock Island County, IL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Grundy County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Grundy County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Grundy County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 15 FEMA declarations, Grundy County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Grundy County?
The most common disaster type in Grundy County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Grundy County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Iowa average?
The typical Iowa county has 19.3 FEMA declaration records; Grundy County has 15, or 22% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 28% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Grundy County received?
Grundy County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 87% of all 15 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Grundy County filed?
Grundy County has 13 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $31.4K in payments, with an average of $2.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Grundy County?
No. In Grundy County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Grundy County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Grundy County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Grundy County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Grundy County, Iowa has an overall risk score of 13.1 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Grundy County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Grundy County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Low) and Winter Weather (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 13 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 406 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Grundy County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Iowa profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events