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Guam · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Guam, GU

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1976-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of null. Most common hazard: Typhoon.

22
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
Typhoon
Top hazard

How does Guam compare?

Guam vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Guam is led by Hurricane (about $148.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Coastal Flooding carries the highest National Risk Index rating (null). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Guam's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 182 paid claims, totaling $2.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $13.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Guam's 22 federal records stand 0% above the Guam county mean of 22.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 22 entries for Guam, including 17 Major Disaster records, 0% above the Guam county mean. Across the 50-year span, that works out to 0.4 declarations a year. Typhoon leads the file with 13 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

Even the county's top-rated hazard, Coastal Flooding, only reaches on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Guam, GU · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

22 declarations (1.0x state county average of 22)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

17 of 22 declarations are major disasters (77%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Guam

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Guam Avg

+0%

State avg: 22.0

vs. National Avg

+6%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.4

Over 50 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Guam

Guam NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 0, Flood 0, Hurricane 0, Tornado 0, Wildfire 0, Drought 0, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 0. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 0 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 0 8-hazard mean
Guam NRI risk profile FIPS 66010 · displayed-hazard mean 0/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

77%

Mostly major

County FIPS

66010

GU state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Guam?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Coastal Flooding roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake roughly once every 10 years
Hurricane roughly once every 3 years
Riverine Flooding an average of 2.6 times per year
Tsunami roughly once every 8 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Typhoon 13
Tropical Storm 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Hurricane 1
Earthquake 1

What Typhoon declarations mean here

Typhoon is the most frequent declaration type on Guam's federal record, 59% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 77.3%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 5 22.7%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 3
2024 1
2023 2
2020 2
2019 2
2015 1
2014 1
2004 1
2003 1
2002 2
1998 1
1992 2
1991 1
1988 1
1976 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3648 TYPHOON BAVI EM Typhoon 2026-07-03
4921 SUPER TYPHOON SINLAKU DR Typhoon 2026-06-30
3644 TYPHOON SINLAKU EM Tropical Storm 2026-04-11
3601 TROPICAL STORM BOLAVEN EM Tropical Storm 2023-10-08
4715 TYPHOON MAWAR DR Hurricane 2023-05-25
3594 TYPHOON MAWAR EM Tropical Storm 2023-05-22
4495 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-27
3466 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4433 TYPHOON WUTIP DR Typhoon 2019-05-07
4398 TYPHOON MANGKHUT DR Typhoon 2018-10-01
4224 TYPHOON DOLPHIN DR Typhoon 2015-06-05
4191 TROPICAL STORM HALONG DR Severe Storm 2014-09-10
1533 HIGH WINDS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES AS A RESULT OF TROPICAL STORM TINGTING DR Severe Storm 2004-07-29
1446 SUPER TYPHOON PONGSONA DR Typhoon 2002-12-08
1426 TYPHOON CHATA'AN DR Typhoon 2002-07-06
1397 EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 2001-12-05
1193 TYPHOON PAKA, TORRENTIAL RAINS, HIGH WINDS, HIGH SURF DR Typhoon 1997-12-17
957 TYPHOON OMAR DR Typhoon 1992-08-28
924 TYPHOON YURI DR Typhoon 1991-12-04
887 TYPHOON RUSS DR Typhoon 1990-12-24
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
810 TYPHOON ROY DR Typhoon 1988-01-20
503 TYPHOON PAMELA DR Typhoon 1976-05-22

Storm Events in Guam

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Guam.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Drought 131 0 0 $8.3K
Tropical Storm 22 9 1 $4.6M
Hurricane (Typhoon) 20 8 292 $6.0B
Rip Current 18 17 17 $0
Coastal Flood 14 0 1 $3.1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

182

Total Paid

$2.5M

Avg Per Claim

$13.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Score: N/A/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$215.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Data Unavailable

Community Resilience

Data Unavailable

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Coastal Flooding
Earthquake
Hurricane
Riverine Flooding
Tsunami

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Coastal Flooding

Coastal Flooding is modeled separately from riverine flooding because its driver is different: surge, tide and wave action rather than a watershed draining. It is also the hazard whose baseline is moving, since the same storm rides on a higher starting sea level than it used to.

For Guam the two measures on this page point the same way: Coastal Flooding is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard, and Typhoon declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Guam's closest FEMA peer: Jefferson County, OH

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields for Guam. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Guam - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Guam's NFIP claims file (182 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Guam?
The most common disaster type in Guam is Typhoon, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Tropical Storm (3), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Guam's FEMA declaration record compare with the Guam average?
FEMA lists 22 declaration records for Guam. That is 0% above the Guam county mean of 22.0. Its count is also 6% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Guam received?
Guam has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 77% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Guam filed?
Guam has 182 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.5M in payments, with an average of $13.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Guam?
No. In Guam, Coastal Flooding has the highest National Risk Index rating (null), while Hurricane leads Expected Annual Loss at about $148.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Guam?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Guam was 2026, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1976 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Guam?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Guam, Guam has an overall risk score of N/A out of 100 (null). Social vulnerability here rates Data Unavailable, while community resilience comes in at Data Unavailable. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $215.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Guam?
FEMA's NRI data points to Guam as of the latest release is Coastal Flooding (risk rating: null). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (null) and Hurricane (null). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts coastal flooding here at roughly once every 1 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Guam

Guam, GU has 22 federal declaration records, 0% more than the Guam county mean of 22; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 17 of 22 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Guam overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Guam mean and the totals for 57% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.